Hello there,
I’ve looked around for an answer, but can’t find it anywhere.
I know that real longshot horses with a betfair starting price of above 200 win once a month or so at the combined racing tracks. But could anybody give me a winning frequency (once, twice, thrice per day/week/month) for the following categories:
BSP: around 100
around 70
around 40
Thanks!
Alex
Longshot winners
You can find the data here https://promo.betfair.com/betfairsp/pricesXander170885 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 31, 2024 5:49 pmHello there,
I’ve looked around for an answer, but can’t find it anywhere.
I know that real longshot horses with a betfair starting price of above 200 win once a month or so at the combined racing tracks. But could anybody give me a winning frequency (once, twice, thrice per day/week/month) for the following categories:
BSP: around 100
around 70
around 40
Thanks!
Alex
I looked thru some old Data from a year or 2 a go
90-100 = 0.009
60-80 = 0.0155
30-50 = 0.0257
That's from average of 2000 runners in each group. So even at high odds SP pretty close over time. Take commission out and it's not looking good.
90-100 = 0.009
60-80 = 0.0155
30-50 = 0.0257
That's from average of 2000 runners in each group. So even at high odds SP pretty close over time. Take commission out and it's not looking good.
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Wow, thank you for your detailed reply This indeed is very helpful. Im kinda a newbee to this. Would you mind providing this information also for the real longshot BSP 200-300, 300-500, and 500+?
THANK YOU SO MUCH
Alex
THANK YOU SO MUCH
Alex
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- Posts: 10
- Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:55 am
Thank you very much again for your effort. However, I can’t see how to read this table in regards to my question. Could you please explain me more? Please give me some examples.
I will be very thankful.
Cheers, Alex
I will be very thankful.
Cheers, Alex