UK General Election July 4th 2024 - Trading ONLY thread

[sionascaig]

But I hope there are tradable opportunities out there as well, I wouldn't know where to start!

I pretty sure there is quite a history of the fav going into a conservative leadership competition not actually winning )

[Holsbols]

Hi all I'm hoping you guys can help me! (As after lots of research online I simply can't find much info on Thai topic.) I betted on the voter turnout percentage this year in the UK general election. (I think I have won if Sky news's turnout percentage is correct). HOWEVER I'm really struggling to find out when the official voter turnout percentage is released and by who?? And therefore WHEN I can see if my bet has won!! Any info/links on when I can check if my voter turnout bet has won would be greatly appreciated

[jamesedwards]

Hi all I'm hoping you guys can help me! (As after lots of research online I simply can't find much info on Thai topic.) I betted on the voter turnout percentage this year in the UK general election. (I think I have won if Sky news's turnout percentage is correct). HOWEVER I'm really struggling to find out when the official voter turnout percentage is released and by who?? And therefore WHEN I can see if my bet has won!! Any info/links on when I can check if my voter turnout bet has won would be greatly appreciated

59.9% according to Wiki https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Unit ... l_election

[Derek27]

Hi all I'm hoping you guys can help me! (As after lots of research online I simply can't find much info on Thai topic.) I betted on the voter turnout percentage this year in the UK general election. (I think I have won if Sky news's turnout percentage is correct). HOWEVER I'm really struggling to find out when the official voter turnout percentage is released and by who?? And therefore WHEN I can see if my bet has won!! Any info/links on when I can check if my voter turnout bet has won would be greatly appreciated

If you've placed your bet on Betfair, find the market page click on "Rules" and it should tell you exactly what source they use to settle the market.

[Derek27]

Tory prime ministers begin their premiership by immediately visiting Ukraine. Smart move by Starmer to visit the UK first.

[Derek27]

Marcus Fysh, former Tory MP who lost his seat, says the Conservative party should be dissolved and a new party created out of the ashes. Great idea!

[Emmson]

Rachel Reeves made a good start, providing it wasn't just words

Let's hope NIMBYism can be defeated, whether its from left or right

That James Dolan Sphere is London had the plug pulled (Sadiq Khan) despite the massive economic benefits it would have brought.

[Archery1969]

The new UK government is now going to have to find and pay out allot of money for service personnel who suffered hearing loss after 1987, its expected this decision in the high court on Monday will affect around 12,000 individuals. And all this ontop of the monies/compensation to be paid to those affected by the blood scandal, totalling 30,000 individuals.

Combined total cost of the above compensation expected to be around £14 billion.

[Derek27]

Tory members trusted to select a new party leader after selecting Liz Truss.

[Derek27]

Tory party can't organise a piss up in a brewery. 1922 committee vote went badly wrong when many MPs were given the wrong time and were unable to vote.

[greenmark]

Tory members trusted to select a new party leader after selecting Liz Truss.

A respected group for a better Britain. Oh dear. Sarcasm. The lowest form of wit. Guilty as charged.
Her behaviour at the announcement of her demise as an MP lacked any kind of dignity or respect for democracy. I guess I should be grateful she didn't make a speech and scuttled away being hounded by the BBC asking was she willing to apologise to her former constituents. Which she ignored. Bit like she ignored the OBR, BOE and the entire financial community. Funny that.

[jamesedwards]

Latest YouGov poll states Reform UK have pulled to within 2 points of the conservatives.

And Reform now ahead of Labour.

Farage is favourite, yes FAVOURITE, in the next PM market.

Incredible how quickly things change...

https://findoutnow.co.uk/blog/voting-in ... -dec-2024/

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[firlandsfarm]

Farage is favourite, yes FAVOURITE, in the next PM market.

Hmmm, not sure respondents read the question properly ... it's asking next PM after KS so it is assuming KS will be PM through to the next GE. I think that casts a reasonable doubt, if KS doesn't recover his popularity I wouldn't be surprised if he is ousted from office and Labour appoint a more popular leader.

[Archery1969]

Latest YouGov poll states Reform UK have pulled to within 2 points of the conservatives.

And Reform now ahead of Labour.

Farage is favourite, yes FAVOURITE, in the next PM market.

Incredible how quickly things change...

https://findoutnow.co.uk/blog/voting-in ... -dec-2024/


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Holy

Although I did read something somewhere saying the biggest increase in applications to a single political party from 18 to 29 year olds was going to Reform UK.

If that’s true then that’s rather strange as what would 18 to 29 year olds have in common with their policies.

Although, across Europe people overwhelmingly I voting towards right wing politicians.

Seems rather scary to me. But the former head of UK security services did say that countries in Europe need to be wary of home grown lone wolfs or those forming packs.

[Vaz0202]

Pretty concerning how Reform seem to be trading in the next GE market. I think their odds are far too low but I have been wrong many times in the past 10 years.