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Emmson
Posts: 3566
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Womens World T20 semi Windies v NZ is

VOLUMINOUS

&

LIQUID

47 Million Matched

and its not properly over yet.
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Emmson
Posts: 3566
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Emmson wrote:
Fri Oct 18, 2024 6:12 pm
Womens World T20 semi Windies v NZ is

VOLUMINOUS

&

LIQUID

47 Million Matched

and its not properly over yet.
52.3 Million Matched at suspension :)

NZ lasses into final where they face the Saffer lasses
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 6727
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Emmson wrote:
Fri Oct 18, 2024 6:12 pm
VOLUMINOUS
Why does that sound like a Roman general that conquered Gaul or something

Maximus Decimus Voluminous

Learned a new word today 👍
Rob51852
Posts: 44
Joined: Mon May 30, 2016 7:28 am

LinusP wrote:
Sun Aug 11, 2024 8:52 pm
Emmson wrote:
Sun Aug 11, 2024 8:50 pm
Nicolas Pooran when he's on he is pure box office.

Sensational tonight.
Can’t get a handle on these 100 games, is this year normal? I am getting loads of value but pnl does not align :lol:
Hi Liam, how do you determine value?
LinusP
Posts: 1886
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

Rob51852 wrote:
Tue Oct 22, 2024 9:52 pm
Hi Liam, how do you determine value?
Its an interesting question when it comes to sports inplay, unlike preplay we don't have a starting price however there are a few other options. You can obviously just look at the final result and use profit but on sports like cricket it's not ideal due to the low number of games resulting in pnl taking a while to settle etc. One option is to compare the price matched against a price into the future, ie in horse racing this might be 5/10 seconds but in cricket it could be 5/10 minutes

Code: Select all

ev = (1/future_price) - (1/price_matched)
Another option is to use the price at the end of the innings, I really like doing this as this as it is a very accurate price and you don't even need that much of a sample to get a good idea of if you are getting unlucky or if your strategy is sht.

Code: Select all

ev = (1/innings_end_price) - (1/price_matched)
Here is an example of my profit against ev for a strategy (first innings) this month using `innings_end_price`, beautiful.
Screenshot 2024-10-23 at 10.43.36.png
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henbet22
Posts: 353
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

LinusP wrote:
Wed Oct 23, 2024 10:44 am
Rob51852 wrote:
Tue Oct 22, 2024 9:52 pm
Hi Liam, how do you determine value?
Its an interesting question when it comes to sports inplay, unlike preplay we don't have a starting price however there are a few other options. You can obviously just look at the final result and use profit but on sports like cricket it's not ideal due to the low number of games resulting in pnl taking a while to settle etc. One option is to compare the price matched against a price into the future, ie in horse racing this might be 5/10 seconds but in cricket it could be 5/10 minutes

Code: Select all

ev = (1/future_price) - (1/price_matched)
Another option is to use the price at the end of the innings, I really like doing this as this as it is a very accurate price and you don't even need that much of a sample to get a good idea of if you are getting unlucky or if your strategy is sht.

Code: Select all

ev = (1/innings_end_price) - (1/price_matched)
Here is an example of my profit against ev for a strategy (first innings) this month using `innings_end_price`, beautiful.

Screenshot 2024-10-23 at 10.43.36.png
A graph of beauty!!
Is this straight betting or trading?
LinusP
Posts: 1886
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

henbet22 wrote:
Wed Oct 23, 2024 5:36 pm
A graph of beauty!!
Is this straight betting or trading?
I only bet where I believe to have ev, nevergreen.
henbet22
Posts: 353
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Thank you for the answer. :idea: I think I need to have a re-think.
Rob51852
Posts: 44
Joined: Mon May 30, 2016 7:28 am

LinusP wrote:
Wed Oct 23, 2024 10:44 am
Rob51852 wrote:
Tue Oct 22, 2024 9:52 pm
Hi Liam, how do you determine value?
Its an interesting question when it comes to sports inplay, unlike preplay we don't have a starting price however there are a few other options. You can obviously just look at the final result and use profit but on sports like cricket it's not ideal due to the low number of games resulting in pnl taking a while to settle etc. One option is to compare the price matched against a price into the future, ie in horse racing this might be 5/10 seconds but in cricket it could be 5/10 minutes

Code: Select all

ev = (1/future_price) - (1/price_matched)
Another option is to use the price at the end of the innings, I really like doing this as this as it is a very accurate price and you don't even need that much of a sample to get a good idea of if you are getting unlucky or if your strategy is sht.

Code: Select all

ev = (1/innings_end_price) - (1/price_matched)
Here is an example of my profit against ev for a strategy (first innings) this month using `innings_end_price`, beautiful.

Screenshot 2024-10-23 at 10.43.36.png
Thanks Liam. That’s given me lots to think about.
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