The 2025 Trump Tantrum Tariff sell-off

[Euler]

Tesla has suspended sales in China.

[casbian]

Hello

I'm not sure how to ask questions or starting a new thread but can i ask members for some help please.

I am trying to utilise TPD to the fullest and am trying to Green up at 60% of race ran, Can i ask how to do this please.

I have learnt how to stored "remain" "percentage of race left to run"

Am I right in thinking i use a "green all" and have a condition have "remain" set up as equal to 60.

i don't know why but i am having trouble greening up. I also am trying to green up in tennis at 0-30 without success.

Any help would be appreciative.
If i am gate crashing the post then please just let me know. i will not take offence just point me in the right direction.

Kind regards

Casbian

[Euler]

This is out of place here and will probably get ignore.

Find a area on the forum that you think the post should be: -

index.php

After you click on that section, on the top left a 'New topic' button will appear. Click that to make a post.

[The dog of ry]

A small point but quite important - the new tariffs don't apply to goods already shipped - which makes Trumps claim that already taking in 2bn a day in new tariffs an alternative truth in an alternative world..

There was a three letter word for this in the past... back when things were normal

[ForFolksSake]

the U.S. holds the largest trade deficit in the world, hitting a record $1.2 trillion dollars in 2024 because of four large deficits in particular — with China, Mexico, Vietnam and Ireland.

In 2024, the UK trade deficit was £32 billion, with a £226 billion deficit in goods offset by a £194 billion surplus in services.

[ForFolksSake]

....

[Dublin_Flyer]

the U.S. holds the largest trade deficit in the world, hitting a record $1.2 trillion dollars in 2024 because of four large deficits in particular — with China, Mexico, Vietnam and Ireland.

I'm not an expert but I assume Vietnam's deficit is clothing (Walmart/K-mart/cheap as chips......sweatshops), Mexico a lot of things related to a back and forth trade, car seat frames made in US and shipped to Mexico to be upholstered, then back to US. China for everything in bulk and cheap as chips.
Ireland has the EU base for a lot of the US companies as the only English speaking country in the EU (fuck off Malta ) due to the previous ultra low Corporate Tax rate. That's why all the big techies based here, and a lot of the pharma did too.

However while techie companies can base wherever there is sufficient skill/knowledge level, like your internet/tv/phone supplier outsourcing to Indian or Philippine call centres, pharma can't. It takes literally years to plan, schedule, and build pharma plants. Then maybe 2 more years to commission, validate and verify all equipment and processes. Then once the demonstration batch is made to confirm the plant does what it is supposed to do, there's around an 18 month waiting period so the demonstration batch can be tested for stability and shelf life (various samples at different temperatures and humidities etc)

The only way pharma companies would move production back to the States is if there was a complete gutting of the FDA (Food and Drug Administration, who are actually a good regulatory authority) so they could bypass all regulations and testing, and just throw any old shit on the market, no standards, no regulation.

OxyContin problem x 1000000000 then.

[ForFolksSake]

the U.S. holds the largest trade deficit in the world, hitting a record $1.2 trillion dollars in 2024 because of four large deficits in particular — with China, Mexico, Vietnam and Ireland.

I'm not an expert but I assume Vietnam's deficit is clothing (Walmart/K-mart/cheap as chips......sweatshops), Mexico a lot of things related to a back and forth trade, car seat frames made in US and shipped to Mexico to be upholstered, then back to US. China for everything in bulk and cheap as chips.
Ireland has the EU base for a lot of the US companies as the only English speaking country in the EU (fuck off Malta ) due to the previous ultra low Corporate Tax rate. That's why all the big techies based here, and a lot of the pharma did too.

However while techie companies can base wherever there is sufficient skill/knowledge level, like your internet/tv/phone supplier outsourcing to Indian or Philippine call centres, pharma can't. It takes literally years to plan, schedule, and build pharma plants. Then maybe 2 more years to commission, validate and verify all equipment and processes. Then once the demonstration batch is made to confirm the plant does what it is supposed to do, there's around an 18 month waiting period so the demonstration batch can be tested for stability and shelf life (various samples at different temperatures and humidities etc)

The only way pharma companies would move production back to the States is if there was a complete gutting of the FDA (Food and Drug Administration, who are actually a good regulatory authority) so they could bypass all regulations and testing, and just throw any old shit on the market, no standards, no regulation.

OxyContin problem x 1000000000 then.

Very interesting

[Naffman]

Market finally realised Trump has no deals lined up?

BTC rallied heavily too, USD continues to weaken, the longer this goes on the more the EUR/GBP will be the currency of the world

[Dublin_Flyer]

Last month:
DOW is down 7%
NASDAQ is down 8%
Gold is up 10%
Bitcoin is up 7%
USD is down 7% on Euro
USD is down 3% on Sterling

The dollar is being devalued so much, people are putting their money into Gold as fast as they can. Some Gold nerds on other forums think it will hit over 4k in the next few months because there's so much uncertainty over wishy-washy tariffs, that the big players want to just GTFO and grab some relative stability or profit if they're ahead of the queue.

If Trump manages to oust Powell from the Fed and stick an ass-kisser in, then check your pensions and savings fast and get them the fuck out of USD cos it'll be a wheelbarrow of money for a loaf of bread once the quantitative easing kicks in and billions of USD are printed out of nowhere daily.

Then if China (or Japan) start selling off the US T-Bonds faster than they are now.....fuck knows

[Euler]

China has refused to take delivery of Boeing orders. That's going to hurt.

It's starting to feel more like a general reset of trade relations. Wouldn't surprise me if China decide they don't want to play ball any more.

[Naffman]

China seems to have called Trumps bluff and now the latter is unsure at what to do. IMO, China doesn’t move unless all restrictions are lifted, so Trump will have to fold, or if he can’t take the ego hit, he’ll keep the tariffs and it goes on and on until he eventually gives up.

The Chinese people can take this a lot longer than the Americans that’s for sure.

[ruthlessimon]

Whether the 8th was the low or a dead cat, it’s been an important wake-up call regarding true risk tolerances. I went into 2025 far too aggressively; it’s been a horrific time for anyone with momentum exposure. Even if this marks the start of the next great depression, my soul is now prepared. Ideally though if we could stay as far from the iceberg as possible that would be nice Capt. Trump