Eurovision 2026

Eurovision, Political betting markets, reality TV and other special markets.
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Euler
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I've got so much data it's impossible to post it all up, so you'll have to request something and I'll see if I can find it.

I've correlated voting between countries, jury versus public, and running order.

For example, I've looked at the distance between countries and whether that's correlated, and I can split that by jury, public, or in total. I've got how the jury voted versus the public, and I've got how the running order affected voting.
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Euler
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Here's one that I looked up: which countries does the UK vote for that vote for the UK consistently?
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Euler
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I should add this is the public vote.

Have a guess which country we don't vote for that doesn't vote for us.
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RichterRed
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It is probably Croatia. Apparently when Sam Ryder came second the only country UK received no votes from was Croatia. Or maybe Italy. Considering how consistently Italy has done recently and the UK has given them no votes.

An interesting correlation is that whenever Australia has missed the final (3 times in 11 years) the UK received 0 points from the public but whenever Australia has got to the final the UK has received points from the public.

Also since 2003 no country has won from 8 or less in the running order. So that makes it hard for Australia to win. Loreen and JJ won from 9th in the running order.

Another interesting stat is that since 2010 no opening song (Denmark this year) has come top 5 in the final.

GL All
Last edited by RichterRed on Sat May 16, 2026 4:14 am, edited 3 times in total.
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gstar1975
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I can't believe no one gas mentioned the real reason Finland are fav to win the Eurovision. Could it be because they are making a great effort against Russia and have the largest land border with Russia from any NATO country?
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nikolong
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Does France not vote for us? We have 1000 years of history and all that.
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Naffman
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Bulgaria hammered the last couple of days, not surprising as it’s a very polished act, in English too, should do well with both jury and tele.
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Euler
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nikolong wrote:
Sat May 16, 2026 10:47 am
Does France not vote for us? We have 1000 years of history and all that.
When it comes to Eurovision, we have a mutual disrespect for each other. But that seems to extend to a lot of our nearest neighbours.
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Euler
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Well, I can't see the UK winning.
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Euler
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Jury v public voting
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Crazyskier
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Euler wrote:
Sat May 16, 2026 9:47 pm
Well, I can't see the UK winning.
8 Points maximum. My old Gran would be spinning in her grave at hearing the UK entrant singing in the language that she fought to prevent invading us. Sickening.

CS
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jamesedwards
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Surely Israel have this in the bag? 5.1 right now.
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Dublin_Flyer
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Bulgarian girl reminds me of Rihanna ........from Temu :lol:
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Euler
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UK bottom but at least no null points.
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Euler
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Markets saying Bulgaria ahead of Australia and Israel in third
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