Interesting bookie promo..

[bobalski]

An Aust corporate bookmaker is running a promo until mid Feb where on all EPL and A-League games, you get a refund (max $100) of correct score bets if you are off by one goal. One refund only on your first bet on the market.

eg. If you back a 1-1 draw, money back if the score finishes 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2.

Obviously I'd imagine prices are wound in slightly, but as an example, the WBA v Everton match yesterday had the 1-1 at 6.5 (7.6 on BF Exchange close to kickoff) and the 1-2 at 8.5 (10 on BF).

I'm always acutely aware of the 'If it looks too good to be true, it probably is' maxim, but this looks beatable to me.

I guess the strategy would be never choose a scoreline with a '0' as you can only get a refund one way.

Can this be taken advantage of from a trading point of view as well?

Thoughts.

[CaerMyrddin]

Hi, you can also lay the other immediate scores for $100/(odd-1) to edge all your positions across the book, if I'm reading this rigth.

I'd definitively go for tight matches and back 1-1.

[bobalski]

Well that didn't last long. I decided to just back the favourites to win 2-1 on each game. Had a win on the A-League last weekend, but got rogered on the EPL midweek.

This morning I got an email from the bookie to advise me they have placed a 'promo' ban on my account and I'm no longer eligible to receive any money back or free bets as a result of any promotions...lol

[LeTiss]

Yes, that sounds familiar

It doesn't take them long to identify problem punters

[barlorca]

Don't know if it applies to everyone, but BETDAQ are advertising the 12.45 Saurday Matches as "Commision Free"!

Next one is Liverpool v Arsenal so chances for arbitrage possible.

[gazuty]

Hmm. I must exist under the radar thankfully.

[steven1976]

I read a note on another forum that an exchange called matchbook offer commission free on all football games for a few months. Maybe a few nice opportunities for PC customers on bf