3.99 : Real Madrid vs. Getafe
3.67 : Valencia vs. Barcelona
3.19 : Wolfsburg vs. Dortmund
3.02 : Arsenal vs. Sunderland
2.97 : Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
2.71 : Inter vs. Genoa
2.66 : Stoke vs. Man City
2.66 : Swansea vs. Leicester
2.63 : Brighton vs. Charlton
2.62 : Brentford vs. MK Dons
2.61 : Southampton vs. Aston Villa
2.51 : Watford vs. Norwich
2.50 : Hertha Berlin vs. Leverkusen
2.49 : Man Utd vs. West Ham
2.47 : Birmingham vs. Huddersfield
2.38 : Torino vs. Roma
2.36 : Mgladbach vs. Bayern Munich
2.35 : West Brom vs. Tottenham
2.25 : Granada vs. Atletico Madrid
2.15 : Leeds vs. Hull
2.09 : Burnley vs. Preston
1.90 : Albion vs. Stranraer
Football ratings
Yes very disappointing - hope Koeman turns it around soon.scottydog wrote:What is happening with Saints at the moment. Some poor home form
I was tempted to put £10 on Bournemouth at half-time at 9.2 on Betfair but as I am trying to avoid pure gambling I resisted the temptation - doh!
I went against them yesterday after their demoralising defeat mid-week. Other than the first minute they didn't really look very fluent. This is when a manager shows his true abilities IMHO.scottydog wrote:What is happening with Saints at the moment. Some poor home form
From what I saw they have lost their shape. Mid week they missed Fonte, but no real excuses for yesterday.
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Thanks for the goal ratings. Very useful
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West Ham hit the post twice as wellEuler wrote:Go for unexpected goals and results today I reckon.
Didn't think southampton would win either.
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Goal ratings for this today's matches, ranked from most goals to least. We reckon there will be around 60 goals today - an average of 2.72 per match.
3.61 : Dortmund vs. PAOK
3.15 : Ajax vs. Molde
3.09 : Skenderbeu vs. Lokomotiv
3.00 : Partizan Belgrade vs. Augsburg
3.00 : Napoli vs. Legia Warsaw
2.96 : Ath Bilbao vs. Az Alkmaar
2.89 : Fenerbahce vs. Celtic
2.87 : Rapid Vienna vs. Dinamo Minsk
2.82 : Fiorentina vs. Belenenses
2.71 : Plzen vs. Villarreal
2.66 : Asteras Tripolis vs. Schalke
2.64 : FC Midtjylland vs. Club Brugge
2.58 : Dnipro vs. Rosenborg
2.57 : Sporting Lisbon vs. Besiktas
2.53 : Tottenham vs. Monaco
2.51 : FK Qabala vs. FK Krasnodar
2.47 : St Etienne vs. Lazio
2.46 : Slovan Liberec vs. Marseille
2.46 : Bordeaux vs. Rubin Kazan
2.44 : APOEL vs. Sparta Prague
2.33 : Lech Poznan vs. FC Basel
2.10 : Sion vs. Liverpool
3.61 : Dortmund vs. PAOK
3.15 : Ajax vs. Molde
3.09 : Skenderbeu vs. Lokomotiv
3.00 : Partizan Belgrade vs. Augsburg
3.00 : Napoli vs. Legia Warsaw
2.96 : Ath Bilbao vs. Az Alkmaar
2.89 : Fenerbahce vs. Celtic
2.87 : Rapid Vienna vs. Dinamo Minsk
2.82 : Fiorentina vs. Belenenses
2.71 : Plzen vs. Villarreal
2.66 : Asteras Tripolis vs. Schalke
2.64 : FC Midtjylland vs. Club Brugge
2.58 : Dnipro vs. Rosenborg
2.57 : Sporting Lisbon vs. Besiktas
2.53 : Tottenham vs. Monaco
2.51 : FK Qabala vs. FK Krasnodar
2.47 : St Etienne vs. Lazio
2.46 : Slovan Liberec vs. Marseille
2.46 : Bordeaux vs. Rubin Kazan
2.44 : APOEL vs. Sparta Prague
2.33 : Lech Poznan vs. FC Basel
2.10 : Sion vs. Liverpool
4.01 : PSV vs. Roda JC
3.93 : Barcelona vs. Deportivo
3.44 : Bayern Munich vs. Ingolstadt
3.31 : Sevilla vs. Sporting Gijon
3.22 : Peterborough vs. Shrewsbury
3.07 : Man City vs. Swansea
3.01 : Leverkusen vs. Mgladbach
2.95 : Wolfsburg vs. Hamburg
2.85 : Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol
2.75 : Livingston vs. Alloa
2.66 : Norwich vs. Everton
2.54 : Huddersfield vs. Bristol City
2.50 : Middlesbrough vs. Birmingham
2.48 : MK Dons vs. Ipswich
2.47 : Hull vs. Bolton
2.45 : C Palace vs. Southampton
2.36 : Sunderland vs. Watford
2.34 : Bournemouth vs. Man Utd
2.34 : Derby vs. Brighton
2.32 : Sassuolo vs. Torino
2.32 : West Ham vs. Stoke
2.27 : Genoa vs. Bologna
3.93 : Barcelona vs. Deportivo
3.44 : Bayern Munich vs. Ingolstadt
3.31 : Sevilla vs. Sporting Gijon
3.22 : Peterborough vs. Shrewsbury
3.07 : Man City vs. Swansea
3.01 : Leverkusen vs. Mgladbach
2.95 : Wolfsburg vs. Hamburg
2.85 : Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol
2.75 : Livingston vs. Alloa
2.66 : Norwich vs. Everton
2.54 : Huddersfield vs. Bristol City
2.50 : Middlesbrough vs. Birmingham
2.48 : MK Dons vs. Ipswich
2.47 : Hull vs. Bolton
2.45 : C Palace vs. Southampton
2.36 : Sunderland vs. Watford
2.34 : Bournemouth vs. Man Utd
2.34 : Derby vs. Brighton
2.32 : Sassuolo vs. Torino
2.32 : West Ham vs. Stoke
2.27 : Genoa vs. Bologna
Did i miss anything as "If the match was played 100 times then we would expect to see 23 goals in those 100 matches." means there will be around 1 goal in 5 matches which is really little.Euler wrote:I'm going to try and post regular goal ratings to this thread. They have proved popular in the past and should give you some insight in what games to trade with certain strategies.
First ratings should go up tomorrow morning
How to use the ratings
It's important to note that the ratings give you a guide as to where high and low scoring matches are most likely to exist.
It does NOT tell you specifically which matches will or won't have a certain number of goals or whether there are no goals expected, but it does give you a confidence that something will happen.
Typically it's best to use a strategy on a group of matches. Such is the variability of goals in a football match, putting a strategy to use in a cluster of low scoring matches will always deliver more consistent results than gambling it all on one match.
If you see a rating of 2.30 what that is saying, if the match was played 100 times then we would expect to see 23 goals in those 100 matches. You could easily see a 5-0 in there, but it would be very rare and a low score would be much more likely.
Over the course of the season we would expect to be very close in terms of goals to average rating but....
Unlikely results do occur and high scoring matches can deliver low scores and vice versa. You could have poor weather, a key player sent off or a freak goal. So you can never say exactly what will happen. Only that something is more or less likely and that is how you should the ratings.