Over 0.5 goal accumulator

[kelpie]

Thanks kelpie u have been helpful, I have been looking at sno balling high prob bets and this was the first market I have looked at . I haven't actually employed it yet...

One could argue that the odds don't reduce with a new game, therefore you have 95% chance at every game.

Welcome. Hope you find something right for you.

snowballing is absolutely the way to go, once you have an edge

[PeterLe]

Dont forget to factor in commission and premium charge too (even if you dont pay premium charge currently, if you have a profitable strategy, you very soon will)

[marko236]

Why go for 20 in a row? you need to have an edge.

I would look at the whole market and pick 5 games that have a great chance of scoring, going for twenty will lead you to taking risks not only for not winning but your bank could take a heavy loss.

[marko236]

Just running through some numbers there.

To get 5 in a row right you need a win ratio of about 8 to 1.

Going for 20 in a row haven't worked it out but sod that, no way would i try it.

[LeTiss]

The key to a successful formula, is not what you do when it's winning, it's what you do after a loss

[burdo77]

enter matches where 2.5 goals below 1.75 before match

How about bet 5 bob

@50% loss recovery

Entry point 1.15

Go for 5 in a row, If I win 5 in row I start at 6.

If loss occurs 50% loss recovery kicks in, therefore I start at 7.5

Is that a staking plan?

[marko236]

Sounds like a martingale plan, bad choice.

If your plan works there is no need to increase your bet.

It's all about making the right choices on the odds and the percentage chance of you getting it right.

[burdo77]

I know all about the martingale and I am under no illusion to how shit if is. Most people employ martingale at low probability eg, red or black = 0.5 prob, however I like my chances at 0.95prob. Anyway it's a fiver not my savings.

[LeTiss]

enter matches where 2.5 goals below 1.75 before match

How about bet 5 bob

@50% loss recovery

Entry point 1.15

Go for 5 in a row, If I win 5 in row I start at 6.

If loss occurs 50% loss recovery kicks in, therefore I start at 7.5

Is that a staking plan?

Terrible idea

In order for any strategy to be considered successful, the winners have to outweigh the losers

If you decided to lay 'in play' horses at 1.10 - then you would need 1 winner every 10 races to break even (it's actually 1 in 9 due to commission). What you don't do is start doubling up etc after 10 losses!

You are committing the cardinal sin of failed traders - and that's the inability to accept a losing trade

IMO, the biggest reason for people failing at this game, has nothing to do with reading markets, graphs, having an edge etc.......it's everything to do with the mental barrier of moving on from a red screen with a clear head

[burdo77]

Le tiss, u have tested ur strategy 1000 times stats show you win 60% of the time.

U finally cough up some dollars to test ur strategy.... U loose ten times in row, what do you do??? Accept a loss or have a staking plan to recover?

[steven1976]

Make sure you can turnover your bank more times than what is on offer to find value.