Today's Football

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
Post Reply
Michael5482
Posts: 1693
Joined: Fri Jan 14, 2022 8:11 pm

Let's hope for a few more FA Cup goals today than there was yesterday. Considering Premier League teams are constantly moaning about playing to many games alot of them seem intent on doing not alot for 90 mins looking for replays :lol:
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
User avatar
jamesedwards
Posts: 3987
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
Even before yesterday, the lack of goals in FA Cup matches involving PL teams has been weird. Was putting it down to coincidence, but it seems more than that now.
User avatar
jamesedwards
Posts: 3987
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

jamesedwards wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 12:02 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
Even before yesterday, the lack of goals in FA Cup matches involving PL teams has been weird. Was putting it down to coincidence, but it seems more than that now.
Will be interesting to see how these all-PL cup games get on this afternoon...
Picture26.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

jamesedwards wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 12:02 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
Even before yesterday, the lack of goals in FA Cup matches involving PL teams has been weird. Was putting it down to coincidence, but it seems more than that now.
Even Ipswich can't score against Maidstone after 39 minutes. All credit to Maidstone though.
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Maidstone a goal up against Ipswich, 42nd minute. :)
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Maidstone knock Ipswich out of the cup (2-1)!!
Michael5482
Posts: 1693
Joined: Fri Jan 14, 2022 8:11 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 1:10 pm
jamesedwards wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 12:02 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
Even before yesterday, the lack of goals in FA Cup matches involving PL teams has been weird. Was putting it down to coincidence, but it seems more than that now.
Even Ipswich can't score against Maidstone after 39 minutes. All credit to Maidstone though.
Got to take ya chances, Ipswich could of put Maidstone away inside 20 mins, but that's football. Well done to Maidstone great to see non-league sides doing the business in the FA Cup.
Snopyman
Posts: 40
Joined: Sat Jul 08, 2023 1:45 pm

Does anyone know what's up with the Germans and interrupting matches with tennis balls :D ?
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
My own observation is you seem to get caught out a bit too often for my liking, and look for goals too often too

FWIW seems generally easier for me to find these types than finding goals, you see some very daft prices at kickoff

I wouldn't base a bet on stats alone but I'm not completely oblivious to stats either, I have found trading City and Liverpool similar but different for example

If you look at the stats they paint the picture that I've been seeing all season, one of those is "Second Half FC" where the manager has used the most subs in the league, while the other has used the least
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Kai wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 4:39 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 11:22 am
I have observed (not with stats or data) that in all domestic cup matches lately the Under n.5 goals seems overpriced.
My own observation is you seem to get caught out a bit too often for my liking, and look for goals too often too

FWIW seems generally easier for me to find these types than finding goals, you see some very daft prices at kickoff

I wouldn't base a bet on stats alone but I'm not completely oblivious to stats either, I have found trading City and Liverpool similar but different for example

If you look at the stats they paint the picture that I've been seeing all season, one of those is "Second Half FC" where the manager has used the most subs in the league, while the other has used the least
I've been experimenting with a semi-automated system of manually backing under or over and automating closing the trades. It's fine when you're automating but frustrating when you're manually trading for 110 minutes and the goals don't come it. Agree with the daft pre-kickoff prices.
Michael5482
Posts: 1693
Joined: Fri Jan 14, 2022 8:11 pm

Snopyman wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 4:33 pm
Does anyone know what's up with the Germans and interrupting matches with tennis balls :D ?
The back end of last year it was because of the price of football, clubs were going to charge more than 20 Euros for a ticket which for German fans is unnaceptable, they've also been protesting in realtion to the Bundelsiga to allow more private investment into German football which they also find unnacetpable so will be to do with one of them. It's becomming a regular occurance.

I admire German football fans.
User avatar
Kai
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Michael5482 wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2024 5:01 pm
I admire German football fans.
I think that's spot on Mike 👍

German fan culture seems the best one in Europe for me, followed by England maybe... Italians are too stabby and French maybe the worst with Paris being an absolute shithole
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Juventus down to 10 men.
Post Reply

Return to “Football trading”