US Presidential Election 2020

[Euler]

I've got some spare money on her, but have used this opportunity to put it back to use. But I'll always leave a little on outsiders for that once in a lifetime result.

[jamesedwards]

I've got some spare money on her, but have used this opportunity to put it back to use. But I'll always leave a little on outsiders for that once in a lifetime result.

There was quite a few moments where you could get the same value laying Trump or Biden rather than backing the other giving you lots of free money on all the outsiders. I'm in high 4 digit green if anything crazy happens.

[Lutruwita]

Tuning into Fox News between races and it's like a different planet.

[Derek27]

I feel a bit of a tit waiting all night for a result, should have just done some trading.

[Euler]

It's sort of worrying that the land of the free is acting like a corrupt dictatorship. If the boot was on the other foot, they would be screaming at the country acting in the same manner.

It's almost like there is nothing Trump will stop at to get his way. Surely all this stirring isn't going to end well.

When I was younger I couldn't understand how countries could be so divided that they ended up in a civil war, but you are not far removed from that sort of incitement here.

[Derek27]

If the Democrats are 1.15 to take Pennsylvania I'd expect Biden to be shorter than 1.12 to win the election given that he has other routes.

[Naffman]

It's sort of worrying that the land of the free is acting like a corrupt dictatorship. If the boot was on the other foot, they would be screaming at the country acting in the same manner.

It's almost like there is nothing Trump will stop at to get his way. Surely all this stirring isn't going to end well.

When I was younger I couldn't understand how countries could be so divided that they ended up in a civil war, but you are not far removed from that sort of incitement here.

I agree it's bad, if he was so concerned about these mail-in's and absentee ballots he had 4 years to appeal them - not do it the week before and again during the count

[Naffman]

Reading more on it PA seems to be refusing the GOP from observing mail-in ballots which is against the law - think the same has happened in Wisconsin.

So that's allegedly why they wanted the vote to stop being counted...

[gazuty]

Reading more on it PA seems to be refusing the GOP from observing mail-in ballots which is against the law - think the same has happened in Wisconsin.

So that's allegedly why they wanted the vote to stop being counted...

Yep. Pause rather than stop.

[Naffman]

Reading more on it PA seems to be refusing the GOP from observing mail-in ballots which is against the law - think the same has happened in Wisconsin.

So that's allegedly why they wanted the vote to stop being counted...

Yep. Pause rather than stop.

Pause then re-do

[wearthefoxhat]

Ok...couple of predictions wrong..(so far)

Stating the obvious, it seems to come down to Pennsylvania and the individual state betting essentially reflects Bidens outright win odds (1.16)

Re-Penn, this time yesterday, Trump was +750k ahead, now only +150k as the postal votes continue to get counted.

If Trump hangs on to Penn, then he wins.

Nov5Update.png

[Naffman]

New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

Also for anyone wondering the votes left to count in NV are mail-in ballots received on or after election day as well as same-day voter registration ballots

[wearthefoxhat]

New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

A gnats whisker with AZ, (thought that was a done deal for Biden)

AZ.png

If Trump takes nick AZ and Biden takes Penn...it's a Tie...

[Naffman]

New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

A gnats whisker with AZ, (thought that was a done deal for Biden)


AZ.png



If Trump takes nick AZ and Biden takes Penn...it's a Tie...

Biden will still win, all he needs is PA, he can give away NV, AZ, GA and NC - I think unless I've calc. it wrong

[wearthefoxhat]

New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

A gnats whisker with AZ, (thought that was a done deal for Biden)


AZ.png



If Trump takes nick AZ and Biden takes Penn...it's a Tie...

Biden will still win, all he needs is PA, he can give away NV, AZ, GA and NC - I think unless I've calc. it wrong

Sounds right...