Mad Bomber??

[hgodden]

I haven't seen him. Guess we'll have to actually work for our money today

[mcfc1981]

peter what do u think is the bomber a headless chicken or a shrewdy

[Melsey]

Ha Ha...

Still being overly cautious on the lay front though...!

[Euler]

peter what do u think is the bomber a headless chicken or a shrewdy

Based on the analysis we have done, the former.

[andyfuller]

The evidence (a) the precise entry (b) careful not to go below technical support/resistance (c) stake calculated to match a specific queue conformation and size all suggest that he is a trader who does not tread softly softly but rather calculates and times his bets with precision.

I can't say I see precise entry points. He sometimes enters out of the money and is forced to drop his price to start getting matched, he then has to continue to drop to get his money matched more often than not.

The speed at which he gets his money matched and at what price seems to be determined by how much people are willing to lay. As the amount of money he has left in the market reduces the faster it tends to be matched as people bail positions they have built due to his entry.

If he was trying for a specific price would he not be much better off not placing just one single big bet which allows people to just jump in front of him knowing that he will drop his order to get it matched?

I really can't have the technical support/resistance stuff, he often takes the market to new lows as he drops. But he has no control over how much I for example or others will lay him and at what price, we make a judgement as to how far we can push our luck in holding off exiting our positions.

I would love to get an explanation on the staking as you seem to see it as very specific. I can get you screen grabs that show his entry if needs be so that you can expand. I always wonder why his stakes aren't rounded figures, I thought it could be because of differences in currency. It may be rounded in the currency they are playing in.

I can't say I see any logic in his stake size according to what is in the market, I have seen him enter with huge stakes when there is loads of money in the market and also when there is next to nothing, often Irish racing is a good example of this.

Would love to hear you expand more on your points and give a few examples.

[andyfuller]

Based on the analysis we have done, the former.

Peter are you seeing any of the things James is seeing in your analysis? Such as:

~ very specific stakes
~ precise entry points
~ a refusal to go below technical support/resistance levels

I can't.

[LeTiss]

BTW Jeff is still my overall favorite

Aw, thanks, you've just brightened up my day!!!

I'm a fan of yours too!

Jeff

This board would be much less entertaining without you Jeff

I think the chances of a future union between Ferru and Enzabella rate the same as Peter Webb being exposed as The Mad Bomber!

[enzabella2009]

If we translated that in odds we are on 1.1 of a future union. for both outcome the odds would be around 1.21. But if we look in a different prospective the odds would be around 10/1 for a future union and 100/1 for both outcome. From which prospective are you looking let4tits

BTW Jeff is still my overall favorite

Aw, thanks, you've just brightened up my day!!!

I'm a fan of yours too!

Jeff

This board would be much less entertaining without you Jeff

I think the chances of a future union between Ferru and Enzabella rate the same as Peter Webb being exposed as The Mad Bomber!

[Iron]

Given that you live over 1,000 miles from me and already have a boyfriend, I'm quite flattered by those odds!

Jeff

If we translated that in odds we are on 1.1 of a future union. for both outcome the odds would be around 1.21. But if we look in a different prospective the odds would be around 10/1 for a future union and 100/1 for both outcome.

[jamesthetrader]

I really cannot understand how some people on here feel he is betting shrewdly? He is take appalling value on nearly all his bets and looks to have no concept whatsoever of value betting.

We all can't know for sure and are mostly speculating, but I will tell you 1 thing that is an absolute no doubt about it FACT, if you are betting outright ie..not trading out etc... and you are not getting value on your bets YOU WILL LOSE!

This guy is a massive loser in my opinion because of this, no inside info or anything, just basic mathematics!!

[Groovyelms]

I suggest an add in the papers...

"Dear bomber you may not realise this, but a very substantial and influencial group of fans would like to invite you over for tea and cakes at the local church hall"

see you saturday 4 pm sharp

regards BFC

[mcfc1981]

does anyone have any videos of when bomber is in the market???????????

[hgodden]

I've got a couple PM me later to remind me and I'll send them to you

[andyfuller]

Good to see they are back today.

[andyfuller]

Fontwell finishes, Cork is off they enter at 3.9 ir drop to 2.5 so as to get matched - if that is a strategy that makes money then I am a tree.

Edit: They could have easily had 4.6 or so before the off.