US Presidential Election 2024

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:27 pm
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:09 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 12:52 pm


Some big differences with UK issue.

Section 1
- You need good reason for each calibre you wish to own. There are only 2 valid reasons being: a) Being a member of a gun club for Target shooting. b) Land to shoot over for Deer, Wild Boar or any other allowed quarry. If the latter then the land must be cleared by the Police for the calibre you wish to use.
- You can own a semi-automatic rifle upto and including .22 calibre. A bolt action rifle of any calibre upto .50 calibre. A shotgun holding more than 3 rounds. A long barreled pistol of any calibre. Muzzel loading firearms of any calibre. Any air rifle with power over 12 ft/lbs of energy.
- Each firearms serial number is logged on your license. So the Police know exactly what you have, unlike the USA.
- You cant buy ammunition for a calibre not mentioned on your license.
- Your allowed a silencer but its logged on your license.

Section 2
- You dont generally need need good reason but the Police will still ask what you want it for. This is usually for Shotguns limited to holding a maximum of 3 rounds.

Section 5
- These are usually classed as prohibited items and issued and approved by the Home Office. Extremely difficult to obtain unless you work in maritime security or a member of the royal family. Prince Phillip had a 9mm Luger pistol which he used at Chelsea army barracks.
- Any rifle of any calibre including semi-automatics. In some rare cases fully automatic.
- Any pistol of any calibre including semi-automatics.

Section 7
- These are firearms of signifcant historic importance. Again, very difficult to obtain.
- Must have been made before a specific date. Cant rememver but I think its 1937 but dont quite me on that.
- Must be kept and used at a secure location. Not your home. Usually Bisley.

General
- Your local Police force does PNC checks, contacts your doctor, sometimes but not always checks with your referees.
- All firearms and ammunition must be locked up in a Police and/or Home Office approved gun safe. If the Police happen todo a home visit and your firearms are on the table or safe unlocked with no valid reasons then your firearms/ammunition will be seized and license revoked.
- Depending on where you live in the country then holding more than 7 firearms requires a monitored alarm system.
- You are not allowed a firearm for personnel protection. If you put that down as good reason then your application is closed.
- If the Police are called to your property for any reason, its logged on your file. Any type of threatening behaviour at home or in public means your firearms being seized and licence revoked.
- If you get caught speeding, its logged on your file. You will get a phone call or visit to explain yourself as they may say you are an irresponsible person.
- Background checks are also done on any person(s) you live with. If someone at your property has a history of violence then it will go against your application.
- You must declare all convictions but not parking tickets. Failure todo so means application failure and possible prosecution for lieing.
- You dont need any licence for an air rifle less than 12 ft/lbs of energy or air pistol less than 6 ft/lbs. These rules are different in Scotland.

Obviously, in the USA, none of the above applies. You walk into a gun shop, fill out a form, its checked by a central system for any felonies or time spent in a mental institution. If all clear you can buy anything in the shop plus ammunition, as much as you can carry out. The form you filled out is then destroyed. So the Police, Government, FBI, CIA or Armed Forces dont know what you bought or how much. In certain states there is a 14 day waiting period for some firearms. Once cleared you then go and pick them up. Some states allow fully automatic firearms, you have to pay a $300 tax stamp fee, you are checked out by the FBI i think.

As you can see, its near on impossible to ban anything in the USA. You could but forcing people to hand them over or getting a judge to sign of on a nationwide search warrant would go against the constitution. You cant change the constitution unless all 50 states agree plus the Supreme Court would overturn such events.

Finally
- In the UK up until 1937 you could own anything you wanted with no checks including machine guns and hand grenades. :o
- In the UK up until 1968 you could own anything you wanted with no checks excluding machine guns and hand grenades. :cry:
Would you approve of sensible checks/restrictions.....anywhere?
Ofcourse, believe it or not, I am fairly sensible. I held Section 1, 2 and 7 when I was in the UK.

However, as a shooter I do object to things being banned outright. As long as you are deemed sensible, of good character, no convictions, no issues from your Doctor then I dont see why, when some idiot does something bad then the entire shooting community gets a hard time.

In the UK there have been 2 major idiots, who the Police later agreed should never have been given a firearms license to begin with. So for me, the Police are equally to blame for allowing them firearms in the first place. The Police failed to carry out proper checks on both of them.

Check these links if you wish:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungerford_massacre
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunblane_massacre

I guess the problem is that someones mental state can change instantly, so your doctor may not know if you dont get help. As of today there are 1.3 million people in the UK who are licensed to own 1 or more firearms. They have to re-apply every 5 years.
Ok your approval of sensible control is all I need. I don't even need to look at those links, I know those stories and I understand what you say that even vetted people can flip.
But I find the concept of walking into a retail store and walking out with a lethal weapon hard to rationalise.
Perhaps I'm on the same page as you and Kamala, just different paragraphs.
:-)
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:40 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:27 pm
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 1:09 pm

Would you approve of sensible checks/restrictions.....anywhere?
Ofcourse, believe it or not, I am fairly sensible. I held Section 1, 2 and 7 when I was in the UK.

However, as a shooter I do object to things being banned outright. As long as you are deemed sensible, of good character, no convictions, no issues from your Doctor then I dont see why, when some idiot does something bad then the entire shooting community gets a hard time.

In the UK there have been 2 major idiots, who the Police later agreed should never have been given a firearms license to begin with. So for me, the Police are equally to blame for allowing them firearms in the first place. The Police failed to carry out proper checks on both of them.

Check these links if you wish:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungerford_massacre
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunblane_massacre

I guess the problem is that someones mental state can change instantly, so your doctor may not know if you dont get help. As of today there are 1.3 million people in the UK who are licensed to own 1 or more firearms. They have to re-apply every 5 years.
Ok your approval of sensible control is all I need. I don't even need to look at those links, I know those stories and I understand what you say that even vetted people can flip.
But I find the concept of walking into a retail store and walking out with a lethal weapon hard to rationalise.
Perhaps I'm on the same page as you and Kamala, just different paragraphs.
:-)
I’m with you both. While I would love to have the freedoms shooters in the USA do it’s obviously stupid you can buy anything with a one page form and then nobody knows what you have at home. Over there you don’t need to lock anything up which is crazy with children in the house and thinks he playing cowboys and Indians etc.

I’m all for sensible controls but not overreaction to isolated incidents which happened previously in the UK.

In 1997 they banned handguns. I understand as children were murdered. But like I said, no checks were done. But all 285,000 owners suffered the consequences too. Plus the UK Olympic Shooting Team had to train abroad in France. That recently changed when Surrey Police asked the Home Office to allow pistol target shooting again at Bisley as long as they were stored there and not at a shooters home. A clear case of even the Police thinking the legislation was unfair to the majority of pistol shooters.

Anyway, for once, I think we on the same page, overall. 👍
Archery1969
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Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

The US Secret Service Director resign's after Trump shooting failures. Joe to appoint a new director shortly.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Trump out to 1.63, Kamala down to 2.86.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I reckon Trump will be wetting himself now. Kamala's raised $100M and she has a good track record as prosecutor against sex-offenders, fraudsters, liars, thieves and other low-down criminals. :D
JuiceyJones
Posts: 158
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2020 3:00 pm

I don't think he or his ppl will be. She has polled badly against him before (for all that means) and is generally not considered likable by many. Very progressive.

I have lived in the US now for over 20 years and I think people here (esp dems) are just euphoric right now that its going to be someone other than Joe. Maybe in a few weeks that feeling will wear off once they realize that she stands less of a chance than Joe of being reelected. Delegates are pulling the trigger awfully early on their selection (at least give it a couple of weeks). I think either Newson from CA of Mike Kelly from ARI stand a way better chance.

In trading terms I think we're in for a pullback on Kamala once everyone calms downs about Joe throwing in the towel.

Just my $0.02s......
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Now 2.64 v 1.69. May not be the slam dunk Trump win after all.
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:33 pm
Now 2.64 v 1.69. May not be the slam dunk Trump win after all.
I suspect the Russians (Putin) will play some part in who wins. Putin needs Trump in power to put pressure on Ukraine and NATO so there can be a halt to the war. Russia is losing allot of personnel and money. And if Trump pulls the USA out of NATO and/or tells them to cough up 3% each then that will cause uncomfortable discussions in the UK and Europe. Nobody can afford the war to drag on. But Putin needs to save face.

You can expect allot of hacking and miss information for the electorate over the next 6 months.
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 9:10 pm
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:33 pm
Now 2.64 v 1.69. May not be the slam dunk Trump win after all.
I suspect the Russians (Putin) will play some part in who wins. Putin needs Trump in power to put pressure on Ukraine and NATO so there can be a halt to the war. Russia is losing allot of personnel and money. And if Trump pulls the USA out of NATO and/or tells them to cough up 3% each then that will cause uncomfortable discussions in the UK and Europe. Nobody can afford the war to drag on. But Putin needs to save face.

You can expect allot of hacking and miss information for the electorate over the next 6 months.
Ukraine has dropped out of the headlines hasn't it? But I can see your rationale. Don and Vlad seemed to get on well. Perhaps the notion that Trump would bail out on Europe and Ukraine in favour of Putin is a bit if a stretch. The US is HEAVILY invested in Europe. Far too many assets to be allowed to be threatened.
Mind you I would like any opinions of US residents on here about whether a) the give 2 hoots about Europe and b) do they know where Ukraine is?
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Trump must have thought he'd be in the headlines for weeks after getting shot. It hasn't worked out for him. :D
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:49 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 9:10 pm
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 8:33 pm
Now 2.64 v 1.69. May not be the slam dunk Trump win after all.
I suspect the Russians (Putin) will play some part in who wins. Putin needs Trump in power to put pressure on Ukraine and NATO so there can be a halt to the war. Russia is losing allot of personnel and money. And if Trump pulls the USA out of NATO and/or tells them to cough up 3% each then that will cause uncomfortable discussions in the UK and Europe. Nobody can afford the war to drag on. But Putin needs to save face.

You can expect allot of hacking and miss information for the electorate over the next 6 months.
Ukraine has dropped out of the headlines hasn't it? But I can see your rationale. Don and Vlad seemed to get on well. Perhaps the notion that Trump would bail out on Europe and Ukraine in favour of Putin is a bit if a stretch. The US is HEAVILY invested in Europe. Far too many assets to be allowed to be threatened.
Mind you I would like any opinions of US residents on here about whether a) the give 2 hoots about Europe and b) do they know where Ukraine is?
According to a number of surveys:

- 34% Could find Ukraine on a map.
- 54% support the war against Putin.
- 68% support Europe.
- 50% think Europe is going in the wrong direction.
- 40% have a passport.

Not sure what the above proves or disproves.

🤔
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2024 12:19 am
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:49 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 9:10 pm


I suspect the Russians (Putin) will play some part in who wins. Putin needs Trump in power to put pressure on Ukraine and NATO so there can be a halt to the war. Russia is losing allot of personnel and money. And if Trump pulls the USA out of NATO and/or tells them to cough up 3% each then that will cause uncomfortable discussions in the UK and Europe. Nobody can afford the war to drag on. But Putin needs to save face.

You can expect allot of hacking and miss information for the electorate over the next 6 months.
Ukraine has dropped out of the headlines hasn't it? But I can see your rationale. Don and Vlad seemed to get on well. Perhaps the notion that Trump would bail out on Europe and Ukraine in favour of Putin is a bit if a stretch. The US is HEAVILY invested in Europe. Far too many assets to be allowed to be threatened.
Mind you I would like any opinions of US residents on here about whether a) the give 2 hoots about Europe and b) do they know where Ukraine is?
According to a number of surveys:

- 34% Could find Ukraine on a map.
- 54% support the war against Putin.
- 68% support Europe.
- 50% think Europe is going in the wrong direction.
- 40% have a passport.

Not sure what the above proves or disproves.

🤔
On reflection I only have a fleeting knowledge of the geography or even history of the US or anywhere else.
Without googling I have absolutely no idea how Canada came into being. English/French squabble with the native americans aligning with one side or another. Yes - I'm referencingThe Last of the Mohicans. Sorry, I'll get me coat!
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

greenmark wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2024 12:30 am
Archery1969 wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2024 12:19 am
greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:49 pm

Ukraine has dropped out of the headlines hasn't it? But I can see your rationale. Don and Vlad seemed to get on well. Perhaps the notion that Trump would bail out on Europe and Ukraine in favour of Putin is a bit if a stretch. The US is HEAVILY invested in Europe. Far too many assets to be allowed to be threatened.
Mind you I would like any opinions of US residents on here about whether a) the give 2 hoots about Europe and b) do they know where Ukraine is?
According to a number of surveys:

- 34% Could find Ukraine on a map.
- 54% support the war against Putin.
- 68% support Europe.
- 50% think Europe is going in the wrong direction.
- 40% have a passport.

Not sure what the above proves or disproves.

🤔
On reflection I only have a fleeting knowledge of the geography or even history of the US or anywhere else.
Without googling I have absolutely no idea how Canada came into being. English/French squabble with the native americans aligning with one side or another. Yes - I'm referencingThe Last of the Mohicans. Sorry, I'll get me coat!
😂
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3317
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

greenmark wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2024 11:53 am
BTW when you got your gun licence in the UK (I'm assuming you did for some reason, apologies if I've don 2+2=5) what was the process? Seems to me you need 2 or 3 referees and the local police have to sign it off.
Yes, and I believe you not only need to state a reason but also declare where you intend to use it ... I have some woodland and a neighbour with a gun license states that it will be used in my woodland to control the deer (and before some tree-huggers start shouting at me please read up on the need for deer control). When he applied for a license the 'firearms control officer' visited the property and walked it to confirm it's suitability.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Kamala's speeches are short, sharp and straight to the point, compared to the hours of waffle that comes out of that deranged lunatic Trump's arse.
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