When To Trade Out For A Loss?

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

Hi,

I am looking for a very good tipster lol Someone who has a reputation of being very accurate.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

If a tipster has a reputation of being very accurate he would be world famous by now, so you only need to google him and he should be top of the list.
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Derek27
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ShaunWhite wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 5:53 pm
(8 edits :roll: I hate typos and I also can never stop myself going back and adding bits :))
Don't know if you're aware, but although the forum software keeps count of the number of edits and informs everybody else; if you edit your post before anyone else contributes to the thread, you can edit your post to your heart's content, and even you won't know how many times you've edited it unless you've been counting. :D

I know what you mean about typos. It doesn't matter whether you post a Rolls Royce or a Reliant Robin, that little scratch or dent is an eyesore!
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Kai
Posts: 7109
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 10:58 pm
If a tipster has a reputation of being very accurate he would be world famous by now, so you only need to google him and he should be top of the list.
After opening 14 threads full of feedback and advice OP decides that looking for tipsters is the way to go. /facepalm
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 10497
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Kai wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 1:49 am
After opening 14 threads full of feedback and advice OP decides that looking for tipsters is the way to go. /facepalm
;) I've just said similar to Derek.
Some people want to learn, some people will only want to learn when they get desperate. Give him a month or two and he'll be all ears.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
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ShaunWhite wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 2:20 am
Give him a month or two and...
...another 100 threads? ;)
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

Kai wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 1:49 am
Derek27 wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 10:58 pm
If a tipster has a reputation of being very accurate he would be world famous by now, so you only need to google him and he should be top of the list.
After opening 14 threads full of feedback and advice OP decides that looking for tipsters is the way to go. /facepalm
Calm down. If I found a highly reliable tipster then it is a piece of information I can use.
BetBuddy
Posts: 153
Joined: Tue Jul 09, 2019 3:23 pm

JustLukeYou wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 8:46 am
Kai wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 1:49 am
Derek27 wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 10:58 pm
If a tipster has a reputation of being very accurate he would be world famous by now, so you only need to google him and he should be top of the list.
After opening 14 threads full of feedback and advice OP decides that looking for tipsters is the way to go. /facepalm
Calm down. If I found a highly reliable tipster then it is a piece of information I can use.
Highly reliable tipster ? More chance of finding Elvis shopping in Tesco.
CallumPerry
Posts: 575
Joined: Wed Apr 19, 2017 5:12 pm

I wouldn't bother. I'd personally suggest investing your time in doing the research yourself or better yet, creating a model for certain situations.

You seem to like the going with/against the flow when a team is a goal up. Check out some of Peter's Soccer Mystic videos and learn how to create your own odds. What you do then is see if your own odds and higher/lower than what is currently available and decide whether you should enter the market from here. Don't be so rigid with betting at a certain time, at a certain price, unless there is something else underpinning your decision to get involved.

I have a feeling you, like many, will soon ask about the Poisson distribution so Google it. I think it's a good exercise to read and explore areas people have already been down and then begin to think for yourself. Read about the model and then think about how you can create your own. Search this forum for what people have to say about the Poisson, where it's good and where it lacks conviction. Don't try to follow tipsters, I did that for a short while before discovering trading. Most are nobodies looking for a hobby, simple as that. Like Derek said, if someone did exist longterm he/she would be world famous.
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

CallumPerry wrote:
Thu Oct 10, 2019 9:13 am
I wouldn't bother. I'd personally suggest investing your time in doing the research yourself or better yet, creating a model for certain situations.

You seem to like the going with/against the flow when a team is a goal up. Check out some of Peter's Soccer Mystic videos and learn how to create your own odds. What you do then is see if your own odds and higher/lower than what is currently available and decide whether you should enter the market from here. Don't be so rigid with betting at a certain time, at a certain price, unless there is something else underpinning your decision to get involved.

I have a feeling you, like many, will soon ask about the Poisson distribution so Google it. I think it's a good exercise to read and explore areas people have already been down and then begin to think for yourself. Read about the model and then think about how you can create your own. Search this forum for what people have to say about the Poisson, where it's good and where it lacks conviction. Don't try to follow tipsters, I did that for a short while before discovering trading. Most are nobodies looking for a hobby, simple as that. Like Derek said, if someone did exist longterm he/she would be world famous.
Thanks mate. I want to try and develop a correct score strategy. That seems to be the most profitable. Tried it last night and it worked well.

For example start by backing 2-1 for the team you think will win. If they concede first trade out but if they score first back more scores but watch the match live. Might try it again tonight.

With over and under there doesn't seem to be anyother option. You either wrong or right. With correct scores there are plenty of options but perhaps to many.
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