The Open Golf Championship 2024

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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

78.9% of third-round leaders post a worse round on the final day. The bigger the leader, the more likely, which indicates they just play percentage golf on the final day.
Wiseprice
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun Feb 05, 2023 2:12 pm

Can see the winning line, all sorts going on in their mind
henbet22
Posts: 546
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Also an element of reverting to mean. imo
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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Harman comfortably holds on for the title.
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Crazyskier
Posts: 1296
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

Harman demonstrated a masterclass in holding his nerve and driving short of bunkers to widen fairways, then long irons to the middle of green for a 2 putt par, a la Tiger...

I was surprised just how physically small the guy is, which is a testament to his technical ability, combined with a tricky, shortish course in an age of big 330 yard bombers. Great to see!

CS
davewarren831
Posts: 1
Joined: Mon Mar 04, 2024 10:29 am

What price do we think Daniel Brown will be if he shoots even par today? Trading 34 at present but I think he will trade much shorter if he just sticks around
henbet22
Posts: 546
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Depends what the big names do and how the course plays today.
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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

davewarren831 wrote:
Sat Jul 20, 2024 12:22 pm
What price do we think Daniel Brown will be if he shoots even par today? Trading 34 at present but I think he will trade much shorter if he just sticks around
Players that are top of the leaderboard at the end of day three have about a 50/50 chance of winning. But much depends on how close the chasing pack are and what the weather is like on the last day. So you need to factor that in.
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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Brutal day today. Anybody in with a chance tomorrow.
henbet22
Posts: 546
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

This should be a right scrap.
henbet22
Posts: 546
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

A final day clinic
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Crazyskier
Posts: 1296
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

xander has been almost faultless and deserves it. Gutted for Justin.

CS
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Euler
Posts: 26417
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Crazyskier wrote:
Sun Jul 21, 2024 6:07 pm
xander has been almost faultless and deserves it. Gutted for Justin.

CS
Would have been great to see Rose win it, but Xander just too good.
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