Australian Open 2021

Post Reply
JuiceyJones
Posts: 148
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2020 3:00 pm

Really like Medvedev's chances this year.
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Hopefully Tsitsipas doesn't put up too much of a fight in the semi's and Medvedev can get it done in the final.

Keep Djokovic on 17! :D
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Thu Feb 18, 2021 3:18 pm
Hopefully Tsitsipas doesn't put up too much of a fight in the semi's and Medvedev can get it done in the final.

Keep Djokovic on 17! :D
...nooooooooo!

In the high street, I'm on Djokovic to win more GS tournaments than Federer at 8/1 and win more than 24 GS tournaments at 66/1 (last year's US Open DQ hurt :( )
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

when was he 66-1 for more than 24GS??
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

rik wrote:
Thu Feb 18, 2021 5:29 pm
when was he 66-1 for more than 24GS??
I placed both of the above bets in the HS on 13 Jan 2019 which was the day before the 2019 AO started and when Djokovic was on 14 GS tournament wins and Federer was on 20 GS tournament wins (now 17/20).

Djokovic feels unloved compared to Federer and Nadal so definitely wants to have the best statistics and records. Fed now struggling with fitness (Olympics 2021 could well be Federer's last tournament imo as he's not won the singles, but nor has Djokovic!) and Nadal looked tired the other night against Tsitsipas even though he hadn't lost a set all tournament!

I'd also taken some 12/1 about Djokovic winning the 2019 AO, Wimbledon AND US Open - he managed the first two but retired against an inspired Wawrinka in R4 of the US Open to scupper that bet :(

...and I also took some 33/1 about Djokovic not losing a set in the 2019 AO, but he lost a couple of careless sets before the final in which he did Nadal 3-0. I'm pretty sure Nadal is the only man to have achieved that feat at the French a couple of times - very hard to do it on the quicker surfaces.
mishac
Posts: 24
Joined: Tue Jan 05, 2021 12:00 pm

Federer will definitely be around till at least the Australian Open in 2022. Hugely loved here, has spent almost a month every year here for 15 years
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

I'm sure he would like to come down to Oz and play in 2022, but I wouldn't be so sure about him making it - since 2002 I've had 6 arthroscopic knee ops, (4 on the left knee and 2 on the right knee), all being similar procedures to what Fed is going through now and 5 of which needed 18 months rehab each - his knees could easily say 'no more' and that would be that. The same also applies to Nadal who had had knee problems throughout his career.

Roger Federer to miss rest of 2020 after further knee operation
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/52991140
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Federer planning to make his comeback in Doha next month so we'll get a chance to see how his knees are then
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:58 pm
Federer planning to make his comeback in Doha next month so we'll get a chance to see how his knees are then
...yes, just along the coast from his Dubai winter home/training base :)
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Tuco wrote:
Thu Feb 18, 2021 10:04 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:58 pm
Federer planning to make his comeback in Doha next month so we'll get a chance to see how his knees are then
...yes, just along the coast from his Dubai winter home/training base :)
Nice for some 8-)
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

...it always takes a single-handed backhand player a little longer to find his backhand timing on any given day, hence why single-handers typically start slowly but get stronger as the match progresses, as was the case when Tsitsipas beat Nadal on Wednesday.

The technical reason for this is that a single hander has to commit to the shot sooner than a double hander - a double hander has the second hand to make late last millisecond racquet adjustments, which the single hander doesn't once he has released the non-hitting hand and started the shot swing.
Last edited by Tuco on Fri Feb 19, 2021 9:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

some statistical evidence for that other than tsitsipas starting slow against nadal?
federer not a slow starter
User avatar
Tuco
Posts: 836
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

Federer's serve (as was Sampras's) has been so dominant on the faster surfaces with new balls, that it has typically overriden the early match backhand timing issues, but if you watch Fed play Nadal or Djokovic on clay you will see just those mis-timing issues - catching a few late, framing a few etc.

The problem here for Tsitsipas is that he beat Nadal in 5 in the Wednesday match and historically people who've beaten a fit Nadal haven't faired well in their next match - usually because they're absolutely kanckered and have a big 'come-down' as a fit Nadal takes your fitness soul even if you beat him! Therefore, it's best to play Nadal in the final after which you can recover for a month!
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26212
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Medvedev looks a serious challenge to Djokovic on this form.
User avatar
Dallas
Posts: 23482
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Deja vu for Tsitsipas
Post Reply

Return to “Tennis Trading”