Thanks Shaun, this is what I was trying to elude to earlier, one with my lacking of manual experience, means I don't really know a solid idea to automate.. and for most newbies that is going to be the case. Thus Guardian alone is not going to really provide a "dataset" and an environment to model 1000s of strategies quickly. So yes, I know you've told me so, but I was dillusional that I thought I did knew a solid idea, that's my fault..ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Fri Feb 19, 2021 2:43 amYou can certainly make money using Guardian, what I meant was that it's harder if you only use Guardian, and for certain techniques it's not as adept as a piece of bespoke software would be. That's understandable because Guardian is an incredible Jack of all trades, not just tuned for one specific job.
Sample size etc : As I've mentioned you'll never get a big enough sample just running stuff in live, you'll go broke before you do. Use your skills to harvest data, and begin to refine your strategies using that. In six months you'll have a data set that's definately a large enough sample for anything, and you can try ideas and prove and disprove things to your heart's content. You can even start to get some sort of data together using BA/Excel without having to dive straight into the API, although that's probably where you'd want to go eventually for scale and granularity.
...Take your current strategy,You will NEVER answer those questions without decent data, for no other reason than the number of permutations and parameters would take thousands of years to cycle through.....and then picture trying to modify/tune that strategy for dogs, horses, uk, aus, win, place, or maybe football. Do you really want to do that in live? Or do you just want to drop another dataset in the same model and press a button, or leave 20 variations running overnight and wake up to the results.
- What's a spike anyway? Is it relative to the expected market total? Is it relative to the prev 2 mins vol? Is it relative to the price/vol? How about maidens vs handicaps?
Does a spike cause shortening, lengthening, with the spike direction, against it.....and is that just for the next 10s or the next 30s, or to BSP?
Do stop losses and take profits have any advantage/disadvantage, and if so then what %age or maybe it should be a time stop not cash?
How about staking? Level or By Liability?
All runners? Or just the fav? Or everything priced below X?
Backs, lays, or either, and do you flipflop positions on a second spike the other way?
I'm NOT saying that people can't make money using Guardian without doing all that, they do, but those that do usually have a pretty solid idea of what they know works and are looking to scale up if they can't physically exploit every situation, or just want to execute more efficiently. You need to bring everything you've got to the trading table and work to those strengths, you're clearly not a devotee of the gambling world but you know a bit of tech, so use it rather than trying to become an expert on punter psychology and their tendency (or not) to follow trends. It's obviously going to need some effort and hard work, so it's down to you and how you view that investment/reward equation and your estimate of your odds of success with/without.
Long one, sorry about that, but the pros and cons and details would need many long nights in the pub to get through. Anyway I'm not here to make you do anything you don't want to do, but I do think you need to open your eyes to how hard edges are to find, especially the way you're choosing to find them. It won't guarantee success but imo it'll take you from a 1% chance to maybe a 50% chance.
I do think a lot of newbies, especially programmer types, may see all the Guardian marketing, and think they can just pick up some sample rules and make something work, unless you're an already profitable manual trader, I don't think that is possible...
