US Presidential Election 2024

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Trump 154 v Harris 27
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GaryCook
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 27, 2018 6:35 pm

PolyMarket has Kamala at 28.4%
I made my money on this game months ago though :p
I knew the court cases against Trump wouldnt amount to much.
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GaryCook
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 27, 2018 6:35 pm

Kamala hit 10/1
1080
Posts: 1
Joined: Wed Nov 06, 2024 3:30 am

I know next to nothing about betting, but I see on odds-checking sites:
Trump 1.14
Harris 10 (now falling)
Is this error by bettors' misunderstanding the USA electoral system?
Or a foregone conclusion that Donald Trump will almost certainly win, yet the BBC are in denial?

I saw this on the UK Brexit vote. Even when the 'Leave' vote had won with 100% Certainty, folk were Still Betting on Remain?

A slightly-interesting fact: I'm prescribed Cabergoline for endocrine disorders. One of the side-effects are compulsive gambling/shoplifting/other out of character behaviour. I believe for the last twelve years, I think about gambling/betting odds/etc every single day. Yet not once succumb to the temptation...
Have a good evening. Thank you in advance...
Last edited by 1080 on Wed Nov 06, 2024 3:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Trump wins first swing state.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Not looking forward to hearing Trump talk for another four years. Wish the would-be assassin succeeded now.
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Wed Nov 06, 2024 4:56 am
Not looking forward to hearing Trump talk for another four years. Wish the would-be assassin succeeded now.
Looking bad isn't it? But still wouldn't want someone to shoot a politician or anyone else, except in self defence or to defend someone else of course.
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Euler
Posts: 26317
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Democrats failed miserably to convince the public they had the same values as them. Ran most of the campaign along the lines of don't vote for him.

Whereas Trump campaigned as the champion for core American values.

Democrats just overreach and that doesn't resonate with true US mentality IMHO.
greenmark
Posts: 6266
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Euler wrote:
Wed Nov 06, 2024 5:02 am
Democrats failed miserably to convince the public they had the same values as them. Ran most of the campaign along the lines of don't vote for him.

Whereas Trump campaigned as the champion for core American values.

Democrats just overreach and that doesn't resonate with true US mentality IMHO.
Very good point.
"Ran most of the campaign along the lines of don't vote for him. "

The corollary being this is what Trump does, he drags the debate down to infantile levels. Drives me nuts but seems like he'll be Pres for another term.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

In fairness, there were more reasons to not vote for Trump than to vote for Harris. Or the main reason to vote for Harris is that Trump would win otherwise. But one of the big problems besides Trump himself is the stupidity of some of his followers. He says migrants are eating cats and dogs and they believe him!
Vaz0202
Posts: 185
Joined: Sat Jun 27, 2020 7:53 pm

The popular vote is shocking. Some people went hot and heavy for Harris in this market.

How did the Democrats get this so wrong? Could anyone have beaten Trump? I can’t get my head around his appeal (apart from feeling emboldened to say the things social norms say you can’t…)
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Euler
Posts: 26317
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

The democrats just didn't come out strong enough for what the typical US person wants.

Your typical American lives in a great country, wants liberty, freedom and lack of Goverment. Democrats completely off target with their messaging. Which appears to have been, don't vote for him.
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GaryCook
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 27, 2018 6:35 pm

1080 wrote:
Wed Nov 06, 2024 3:49 am
I know next to nothing about betting, but I see on odds-checking sites:
Trump 1.14
Harris 10 (now falling)
Is this error by bettors' misunderstanding the USA electoral system?
Or a foregone conclusion that Donald Trump will almost certainly win, yet the BBC are in denial?

I saw this on the UK Brexit vote. Even when the 'Leave' vote had won with 100% Certainty, folk were Still Betting on Remain?

A slightly-interesting fact: I'm prescribed Cabergoline for endocrine disorders. One of the side-effects are compulsive gambling/shoplifting/other out of character behaviour. I believe for the last twelve years, I think about gambling/betting odds/etc every single day. Yet not once succumb to the temptation...
Have a good evening. Thank you in advance...
If you feel like placing a bet out of compulsion don't do it. Not unless its a bit of fun. You wont make money that way. Take it from us, we're know what we're doing probably better than anyone else.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I'll wake up this morning thinking I've had a bad nightmare!
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