Emmson wrote: ↑Sat Jul 08, 2023 10:16 am
I believe The exchange market is currently spot on , Eng and Aus both the same price going into day 3. 30 mins into todays place that will not be the case. I don't think the draw is a viable proposition even though it could become a lot shorter.
I couldn't believe the draw was so cheap for laying on Friday evening. I often see this in Test Match match markets. Many people don't understand cricket, especially the long game. I suspect there is an element of this in those who trade cricket long games ... they see a well funded market and play on price action rather than knowledge of the game (maybe that answers a long standing question I have had in my mind ... can traders using price action distort a market?).
They probably make a good profit on the one day/T20 games and think they can do the same on the long game. Some simple stats re the current game. On Friday evening when I took my position the game was 40% completed in time and 60% completed in wickets! Even after the lack of play yesterday the game is now 60% completed in time but 75% completed in wickets and 70% completed in runs. Also based on the current daily run scoring the match has been scoring at the rate of 250 runs per day even with the lost time yesterday. England need another 224 runs to win so one of the two remaining days could be totally lost to the weather and they will still finish the match. This is likewise confirmed by the rate of wicket taking that has been 30 wickets over 3 days, 10 wickets per day and 10 wickets remain to fall.
but I'm delighted for Netherlands. 
and makes 118.