UK General Election **June 8th**

[ShaunWhite]

My local Lib Dem candidate knocked on my Mum's door yesterday, and he admitted that he disagreed with Farron and Clegg's behaviour in the aftermath of the EU referendum,

If you do some searches you'll see every party has it's rebels. See how your local MP votes here ...https://www.theyworkforyou.com/

by refusing to accept the result.

We don't actually know what the Brexit result is yet. We voted to blow the whistle to start the game but the score still unknown. Brexit was a binary question without a binary answer.

Eg If we lose the services passport, the city will be a dustbowl, and remember that it generates 22 per cent of the UK's GDP. Can you imagine any Tory giving away 22% of our GDP just because they're being "bloody difficult"?

May is a remainer, so are most of her cabinet, and she's shown she collapses at the first sign of pressure. Deals will be done.

You wanted Brexit (fair enough) so I think you have the right to vote on what the deal actually is so you're not fobbed off. (This is what the LibDems are asking for, they're not asking for a second in/out referendum)

[ShaunWhite]

I was happy to bet on a small turn-out, but I think that will be reversed now.

+1

[ruthlessimon]

You wanted Brexit (fair enough) so I think you have the right to vote on what the deal actually is so you're not fobbed off. (This is what the LibDems are asking for, they're not asking for a second in/out referendum)

Betfair need the following market:

"Will the EU completely disband before 2019/Britain leaves"

Would love to see the odds on it. I reckon anything above odds-on is value.

[ShaunWhite]

Betfair need the following market:

"Will the EU completely disband before 2019/Britain leaves"

Would love to see the odds on it. I reckon anything above odds-on is value.

I'd give you 33/1. Given the French election result, the fact that the CDU and the SDP in Germany both basically pro-eu, and there's enough members who benefit from it to keep it together.

btw German polls are setting up a close finish, well worth trading. SPD are making huge steps forward. Merkel's CDU aren't as safe as they looked at the start of the year.

[ShaunWhite]

Today's summary:

Today's market damage already done over the disgraceful May no-show.

Tories are fronting Amber Rudd tonight and she'll do much better than May did on Monday (that's why she's there).

Friday will be the next big market event, May is on telly again with Dimbles, unless she's still hiding in a cupboard.

Corbyn hinted at a coalition. He told Pesto, "ask me on the 9th". Tactical voting more/less likely?

[sebking1986]

I'm still tempted to get a lay order in for Tory Majority prior to tonight. A good show by Corbyn will pop it up a few ticks I reckon. As well as Rudd might do, May's absence will be all anyone thinks about.

[cybernet69]

I'm still tempted to get a lay order in for Tory Majority prior to tonight. A good show by Corbyn will pop it up a few ticks I reckon. As well as Rudd might do, May's absence will be all anyone thinks about.

A Tory Majority is looking less likely each day. In my opinion.

[ShaunWhite]

I'm still tempted to get a lay order in for Tory Majority prior to tonight. A good show by Corbyn will pop it up a few ticks I reckon. As well as Rudd might do, May's absence will be all anyone thinks about.

I agree, won't be loads but there's not much risk unless JC gets ill and DA steps in.

[cybernet69]

TM not looking too good by not attending the Election debate tonight.

[Euler]

I can't bear to watch the debate, I tune in and switch back pretty quickly.

[LeTiss]

Yes, poor show. I applaud Amber Rudd, because even though I don't particularly like her, she has the steel to compete

A PM faces many challenges, but if they can't even accept the challenge to sell themselves to the public, that creates a very bad image

[LeTiss]

The only times I can remember the incumbent PM performing so poorly in GE campaigns, was John Major in 1997 and Gordon Brown in 2010, but on both of those occasions they were dead men walking anyway. Theresa May was red hot favourite, yet seems determined to blow it

[cybernet69]

The only times I can remember the incumbent PM performing so poorly in GE campaigns, was John Major in 1997 and Gordon Brown in 2010, but on both of those occasions they were dead men walking anyway. Theresa May was red hot favourite, yet seems determined to blow it

Could it be that she actually doesn't want to exit the EU ?

[ShaunWhite]

Yes, poor show. I applaud Amber Rudd, because even though I don't particularly like her, she has the steel to compete

I'm not sure she had much choice But credit where it's due, she's ballsy. I certainly wouldn't want to meet her in a dark alley. Makes you wonder how you ended up with either May or Leadsom.

That 6 vs 1 format is always a tough gig for the ruling party.

I think a lot of people had their mind up about JC by the press before they'd even heard him. I didn't vote for him as party leader, I'm not a fan, but I think he's been doing well.

Can you imagine the bollocking May's going to get from the Tory grandees allowing 'that clown Corbyn ' to even get close.

[ShaunWhite]

Could it be that she actually doesn't want to exit the EU ?

She doesn't want to leave, that's why she doesn't want to public to vote on the 'deal' she gets.

May and Rudd are both firm remainers.