BBC THREE - Can you beat the bookies

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ThePieThrower
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:49 pm

Very suprised with how much they were getting on and how much they were winning before being restricted. Thought 365 would have a more advanced 'alert system :idea: ' than that!
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Kai
Posts: 7301
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

PeterLe wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 1:18 pm
All's fair in love and war :D
You could extend that thinking to say,
- whoever has the fastest connection to the exchange
- has the best data set of past info
- etc etc
is cheating
I say good luck to them
Id be doing it if I had the time and inclination
Regards
Peter
Can't really comment on the context of courtsiding in this video since I haven't seen it, but in general I consider betting on a known outcome to be straight up cheating and that's where I draw the line compared to actual trading :D Courtsiding aside, there are still markets on the exchange where it's sometimes possible to bet on known outcomes and be faster than the market, there are people who still depend on this so I don't want to go into details just for the sake of the argument, but they do so from the comfort of their homes without actually taking on any real risk. I'm sure there were incredible opportunities to abuse this many years ago, way before my time, it's not my place to namedrop but even some of the most known football traders publicly admitted to abusing these types of opportunities in certain leagues before Betfair sorted out their suspend mechanics. I would probably do the same given the opportunity, if Betfair didn't care about it then it's not technically against the rules so it can't even be called cheating :D

Meanwhile outside of the sports exchange people are getting jailed for insider trading (knowing certain outcomes by possessing confidential information) or even spoofing (market manipulation), but on Betfair I guess anything goes really as long as you're bringing liquidity to the exchange and paying your charges.
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Archangel
Posts: 2008
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 3:03 pm

Some people find this hard to believe but there are some traders out there who still trade on in-play horse racing markets from home, using commercially available pictures. Thats a different skill in itself, race reading, as opposed to betting on a known outcome
ThePieThrower
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:49 pm

Kai wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 2:09 pm
PeterLe wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 1:18 pm
All's fair in love and war :D
You could extend that thinking to say,
- whoever has the fastest connection to the exchange
- has the best data set of past info
- etc etc
is cheating
I say good luck to them
Id be doing it if I had the time and inclination
Regards
Peter
Can't really comment on the context of courtsiding in this video since I haven't seen it, but in general I consider betting on a known outcome to be straight up cheating and that's where I draw the line compared to actual trading :D Courtsiding aside, there are still markets on the exchange where it's sometimes possible to bet on known outcomes and be faster than the market, there are people who still depend on this so I don't want to go into details just for the sake of the argument, but they do so from the comfort of their homes without actually taking on any real risk. I'm sure there were incredible opportunities to abuse this many years ago, way before my time, it's not my place to namedrop but even some of the most known football traders publicly admitted to abusing these types of opportunities in certain leagues before Betfair sorted out their suspend mechanics. I would probably do the same given the opportunity, if Betfair didn't care about it then it's not technically against the rules so it can't even be called cheating :D

Meanwhile outside of the sports exchange people are getting jailed for insider trading (knowing certain outcomes by possessing confidential information) or even spoofing (market manipulation), but on Betfair I guess anything goes really as long as you're bringing liquidity to the exchange and paying your charges.
Cheating or not anyone can do it so good look to those who can make it pay
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MemphisFlash
Posts: 2339
Joined: Fri May 16, 2014 10:12 pm

what i'd like to know is this, 4 years ago i won £160,000 in two weeks starting from £5000 all on tennis.
My biggest bet was £105,000 on a 1/7 shot.
I have had my Bet 365 account since 2003.
I have never had any restrictions on my account on anything wether it is promotions, max bet, or anything else
In fact they give me money from time to time for being a loyal customer.
Why?
PeterLe
Posts: 3729
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 3:19 pm

MemphisFlash wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 7:54 pm
what i'd like to know is this, 4 years ago i won £160,000 in two weeks starting from £5000 all on tennis.
My biggest bet was £105,000 on a 1/7 shot.
I have had my Bet 365 account since 2003.
I have never had any restrictions on my account on anything wether it is promotions, max bet, or anything else
In fact they give me money from time to time for being a loyal customer.
Why?
Your not Denise Coates son are you ? :D
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MemphisFlash
Posts: 2339
Joined: Fri May 16, 2014 10:12 pm

No i'm not. I employed a strategy that i still use from time to time on BET365 . on their tennis markets.
I Started on Online poker with them back in 2003. Won some, lost more. Gave it up as a bad idea,
switched to BlackJack. Won some lost some, but this lead me to live casino action at the grosvenor leicester.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Archangel wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 2:19 pm
Some people find this hard to believe but there are some traders out there who still trade on in-play horse racing markets from home, using commercially available pictures. Thats a different skill in itself, race reading, as opposed to betting on a known outcome
Dead right. The important thing is knowing what the delay is. If you're backing a horse in the middle of a 3-mile chase that's come off the bridle and hit a 3-figure price, there is a high probability that it's at that price because it's off the bridle rather than fallen. It could well be a horse that habitually hits flat spots in its races but still responds well at the business end and that's what gives race readers the edge over the unskilled who can only rely on fast pics.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

MemphisFlash wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 7:54 pm
what i'd like to know is this, 4 years ago i won £160,000 in two weeks starting from £5000 all on tennis.
My biggest bet was £105,000 on a 1/7 shot.
I have had my Bet 365 account since 2003.
I have never had any restrictions on my account on anything wether it is promotions, max bet, or anything else
In fact they give me money from time to time for being a loyal customer.
Why?
Well done for winning £160K and keeping your account but I reckon it's a sports-related thing. Bet365 restricted me after winning about £350 (I'd like to say £365) arbing on US racing but I know my brother places spread bets and sometimes arbs them with bookies (mainly football, rugby, cricket) to either guarantee a profit or exceptional odds, but he doesn't get restricted.

It may also depend on the nature of the bets that won you £160K. Have £25 on a horse at 12-1 that goes off 6-1 and they'll think you're taking the piss and put you on their hit list. If you're betting at more competitive odds it may not rock the boat. I doubt they'd be concerned about the £105K at 1-7, if anything they would be happy to take more of them hoping for a pay day!
JTEDL
Posts: 536
Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:21 pm

On BBC1 1035pm tonight if anyone not seen it or not subscribed to iplayer.
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ANGELS15
Posts: 903
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:57 am

PeterLe wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 10:26 am
Interesting to watch
Why on earth would they use Bet365 and not betfair ?
Are bet365 typically that little bit slower to suspend the market?
Interested in anyone who has a view or experience
Thanks
Regards
Peter
From my own experience/observations it's amazing how many punters today are not aware of betting exchanges. When Betfair first started up betting was still in a kind of golden age where bookies were busy places. Some shrewder punters saw the potential and took to the exchanges, the older majority just carried on with all the new products like virtual racing, fruit machines and older regular betting.

As time has gone on punting is in a sharp decline. I spent several hours in a bookies today to watch SIS and see my offset bets play out. For most of the time I was the only customer in the shop and this has happened in many shops I've been to (I'm sure it's not because I've not showered!).

There are fewer new punters following on from those 'old skool' crowds but they're focused more on outright gambling rather than things like exchanges which are very poorly promoted.

I think that the racing pages of the tabloids could do something to educate the newer generation about exchanges but don't seem to see that opportunity or perhaps see it as a 'niche market'.
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Tuco
Posts: 854
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:43 pm

ThePieThrower wrote:
Wed Aug 07, 2019 1:30 pm
Very suprised with how much they were getting on and how much they were winning before being restricted. Thought 365 would have a more advanced 'alert system :idea: ' than that!
...don't think it was a particularly shrewd move to bet the ever increasing full account balance each time!
puntingprofit
Posts: 33
Joined: Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:09 am

Can anyone point me to a live copy of this anywhere please ? https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b063ly3b
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Dallas
Posts: 23634
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

puntingprofit wrote:
Thu Aug 08, 2019 8:46 am
Can anyone point me to a live copy of this anywhere please ? https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b063ly3b
I remember it was first aired around 2015 and was a 3-part documentary, you might find it on TY
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