The Open 2026

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Euler
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Tuco wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 10:54 am
Euler wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 9:49 am
Returns to a £10 stake by looking at players trading at more than 100 and less than 1000.
...very interesting that Peter - did you actually do this or is it just for info?
It's primarily for info, but it also drops you a massive hint as to where the profit is at these very competitive Majors.

Lots of trades, not just one open and one close, but I'm looking to exploit the biases that you generally see in these markets. Such as this one.
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Tuco
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Euler wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 1:39 pm
Tuco wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 10:54 am
Euler wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 9:49 am
Returns to a £10 stake by looking at players trading at more than 100 and less than 1000.
...very interesting that Peter - did you actually do this or is it just for info?
It's primarily for info, but it also drops you a massive hint as to where the profit is at these very competitive Majors.

Lots of trades, not just one open and one close, but I'm looking to exploit the biases that you generally see in these markets. Such as this one.
Thank you. Fascinating! Do you also have the info as it stood after round 1?

I've had 376 trades matched for a current all green of +312 (although I could only partially trade the last two days due to other jobs that I had to do thanks to the WC footie!)
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Euler
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After round one
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Euler
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I have created a weather panel as well, with the intention of looking for key opportunities, but the weather has been so benign this week it's not really been of much use.
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Euler
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One thing you all may be interested in is that I've noticed that consistency with putting is the hardest thing to maintain over a round. If somebody is hitting loads of putts in any one particular round, it doesn't necessarily translate to the next round, and vice versa.

So somebody who's had a cold streak with the putter in one of the rounds can perform much better just thanks to randomness.
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Euler
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How the holes are playing at so far.
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Euler
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Here's how it's varied by round.
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Euler
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Early starters have an advantage today.
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Euler
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Final day weather conditions
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Euler
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Eventual winner, Ryan Fox, was at odds of 1000 at the start of round three.
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Euler
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Ryan Fox, final round.
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Euler
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No favourite won any of the majors this year, and winner went off at average odds of 163/1

15, 280, 60, 300
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Tuco
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Thank you for sharing your detailed info Peter - very interesting stats.
BayesBacker
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Euler wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 9:49 am
Returns to a £10 stake by looking at players trading at more than 100 and less than 1000.
Any clues how you selected the 47 players you backed ? :D
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Dallas
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BayesBacker wrote:
Tue Jul 28, 2026 3:31 pm
Euler wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2026 9:49 am
Returns to a £10 stake by looking at players trading at more than 100 and less than 1000.
Any clues how you selected the 47 players you backed ? :D
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