EU Membership Referendum (Brexit)

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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poklius
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 11:58 am

Global markets lose record $3tn since Brexit vote
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/91dd01b6-3caf ... z4CuGYQf7W

I know its a bit far fetched, but there was 17,410,742 votes to leave, which means (if my math is correct) every leave vote just lost around $172.3k in global markets :shock: :shock:
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LeTiss
Posts: 5476
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

It's Ok saying that, and thinking wow was Brexit a mistake. However, it just shows how fragile the world's economy actually is, and it doesn't take much to cause mayhem.

The world of finance is basically just a massive, elaborate game of Jenga
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jimibt
Posts: 4195
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm

LeTiss 4pm wrote: The world of finance is basically just a massive, elaborate game of Jenga
not sure if you've been introduced to the wonderful multi-colored world of drain rods. bought some last week and was VERY impressed AND surprised at the effect that pressure, followed by swift suction creates. Let's just say that I now understand the need for a water(?)proof overall for such DIY!! (true story from last weekend -I know how to get my thrills and errr.. spills :D).

so yeah - i totally understand the rules of jenga
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to75ne
Posts: 2439
Joined: Wed Apr 22, 2009 5:37 pm

poklius wrote:Global markets lose record $3tn since Brexit
:
if the global markets have lost all that money, who have they lost it to?

who now as all that money?

where is all that money now at this precise moment in time?
Lost The Rider
Posts: 50
Joined: Wed Sep 09, 2015 2:44 pm

The short answer is potentially no one has that money, it has vanished into thin air.

If you google the implicit and explicit value of money that will explain why money can seemingly vanish from the market with no one benefitting.
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Black Ice
Posts: 258
Joined: Thu Nov 06, 2014 12:35 pm

Euler...that is the funniest youtube vid i have ever seen..its completely brilliant..watched it twice now and i laughed til i cried!!
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Euler
Posts: 26335
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

to75ne wrote:if the global markets have lost all that money, who have they lost it to?
The fractional reserve system means money can be created and lose value having never been there in the first place!
ricardodeano
Posts: 205
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2015 2:03 pm

Hi Peter

I noticed you retweeted the following status

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/748143354324598784

Can you, or anyone, tell me what I'm looking at here?! My AS statistics knowledge left my brain about the same time as my alcoholism developed :)
andyfuller
Posts: 4619
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm

Euler wrote:Farage to storm to power :lol:
I know that was said in jest but I think the Conservatives need to be very careful in what deal the negotiate if they don't want to hand a huge amount of votes to UKIP both from the Conservatives and Labour.

If, what I suspect at the moment, will happen in that we get a partial exit from the EU where immigration remains unrestricted a lot of leave voters will be left feeling cheated out of what they voted for.

As such I think a lot of those people will look towards UKIP come the next general election and they will win seats.

Who knows there could end up being the need for a Conservative/UKIP coalition...
andyfuller
Posts: 4619
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm

Well that carnage in the FTSE 100 lasted a long time ;)

FTSE 100 closes above pre-Brexit level

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36660133
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marksmeets302
Posts: 527
Joined: Thu Dec 10, 2009 4:37 pm

That's the ftse in pounds... convert it to any other currency and it's still down by a lot.
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jimibt
Posts: 4195
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm

marksmeets302 wrote:That's the ftse in pounds... convert it to any other currency and it's still down by a lot.
yes, the power of using data without balance (i.e. neglecting to factor in the weakmess (intentional typo) of the ££). it's scary that many will be suckered into thinking that last weeks' events were a flash in the pan and worse, many will continue to use false indicators to monitor the fallout.
PeterLe
Posts: 3724
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 3:19 pm

Boris has just pulled out of the leadership race ...
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jimibt
Posts: 4195
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm

PeterLe wrote:Boris has just pulled out of the leadership race ...
omfg - he really DIDN'T think the leave campaign would win.. shame on him for not honouring his final commitment, after switching the lights off
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Euler
Posts: 26335
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Matched at a low of 1.33

Wonder what is going on there? Why wouldn't you following through on a campaign win?
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