Effect of Early Goal

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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

last 27 games in Sweden Superettan where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and 24/27 ended over 1.5 first half goals
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

last 41 games in Sweden Superettan where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band > 1-1 in the first half and a WHOPPING 61% produced a goal(s) 80
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Norway Tippeligaen 2015 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal 0-10, 79% ended over 2.5 and 66% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 83% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half 76%

The home teams won 62%, 24% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 14%

45% produced a goal(s) 80 +

Norway Tippeligaen 2016 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal 0-10,

22-8-6 home teams won 61%

67% ended over 2.5 goals and 42% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 64% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 61%

28% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

4/36 1-0 FT

14/36 > 2-0 12-2-0 > home teams won 86%

18/36 > 1-1 6-6-6 > home teams won 33%

Sogndal
2 – 4
Aalesund
C. Psyché 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
12′ M. Abdellaoue
M. Ramsland 17′
2 – 1
2 – 2
23′ A. Þrándarson
2 – 3
35′ E. Gyasi
2 – 4
76′ T. Teniste (OG)

Molde
3 – 0
Stabæk
J. Gatt 10′
1 – 0
P. Flo 41′
2 – 0
J. Toivio 47′
3 – 0

Strømsgodset
1 – 1
Viking
E. Andersen 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
57′ A. Ibrahim

Rosenborg
3 – 1
Vålerenga
E. Reitan 4′
1 – 0
P. Helland 29′
2 – 0
M. Bakenga 31′
3 – 0
3 – 1
38′ T. Reginiussen (OG)

Sarpsborg 08
1 – 0
Viking
O. Ugwuadu 6′
1 – 0

Viking
1 – 0
Molde
P. Pedersen 9′
1 – 0

Sarpsborg 08
1 – 2
Bodø / Glimt
T. Heintz 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
33′ O. Halvorsen
1 – 2
88′ V. Manzon

Brann
1 – 1
Rosenborg
J. Orlov 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
69′ C. Gytkjær

Molde
3 – 2
Bodø / Glimt
F. Aursnes 8′
1 – 0
F. Brustad 11′
2 – 0
2 – 1
13′ P. Berg
S. Svendsen 50′
3 – 1
3 – 2
66′ T. Olsen

Vålerenga
3 – 0
Molde
M. Abdellaoue 9′
1 – 0
S. Larsen 16′
2 – 0
G. Zahid 76′
3 – 0

Strømsgodset
2 – 2
Stabæk
B. Adjei-Boateng 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
5′ G. Gorozia
Marcus Pedersen 7′
2 – 1
2 – 2
30′ L. Vilsvik (OG)

Sogndal
4 – 3
Molde
H. Patronen 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
21′ J. Toivio
L. Kjemhus 24′
2 – 1
O. Sveen 30′
3 – 1
L. Kjemhus 50′
4 – 1
4 – 2
88′ H. Singh
4 – 3
90′ H. Singh

Viking
2 – 0
Bodø / Glimt
B. Sverrisson 4′
1 – 0
C. Kronberg 20′
2 – 0

Odd
2 – 1
Strømsgodset
F. Nordkvelle (PG) 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
35′ T. Nguen
C. Akabueze 73′
2 – 1

Rosenborg
3 – 1
Molde
P. Helland 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
18′ M. Elyounoussi
C. Gytkjær 28′
2 – 1
C. Gytkjær 45′
3 – 1

Sogndal
2 – 2
Start
C. Psyché 10′
1 – 0
C. Psyché 53′
2 – 0
2 – 1
62′ A. De John
2 – 2
81′ E. Hoff

Strømsgodset
4 – 0
Sarpsborg 08
J. Parr 10′
1 – 0
G. Valsvik 65′
2 – 0
Ø. Storflor 68′
3 – 0
Marcus Pedersen 73′
4 – 0

Haugesund
3 – 1
Odd
T. Agdestein 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
21′ F. Semb Berge
H. Hajradinović 27′
2 – 1
H. Hajradinović 31′
3 – 1

Molde
4 – 2
Strømsgodset
F. Gulbrandsen 7′
1 – 0
M. Elyounoussi 22′
2 – 0
M. Elyounoussi 25′
3 – 0
3 – 1
62′ P. Moen
T. Amang 63′
4 – 1
4 – 2
81′ Francisco Júnior

Aalesund
1 – 4
Sogndal
M. Abdellaoue 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
13′ O. Sveen
1 – 2
51′ M. Kirkeskov (OG)
1 – 3
64′ M. Ramsland
1 – 4
66′ G. Koomson

Stabæk
1 – 2
Odd
A. Mehmeti 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
5′ F. Nordkvelle
1 – 2
41′ C. Akabueze

Sogndal
1 – 1
Rosenborg
B. Sarr 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
72′ A. Konradsen

Tromsø
1 – 0
Brann
S. Moussa 7′
1 – 0

Lillestrøm
2 – 0
Vålerenga
F. Friday 8′
1 – 0
Bassel Jradi 30′
2 – 0

Vålerenga
2 – 0
Start
D. Brown 6′
1 – 0
D. Brown 89′
2 – 0

Sarpsborg 08
4 – 0
Molde
P. Kirkevold 1′
1 – 0
S. Rosted 25′
2 – 0
P. Kirkevold (PG) 54′
3 – 0
T. Hovda 89′
4 – 0

Strømsgodset
2 – 0
Bodø / Glimt
Marcus Pedersen (PG) 2′
1 – 0
F. Kastrati 76′
2 – 0

Bodø / Glimt
1 – 2
Molde
H. Furebotn 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ T. Amang
1 – 2
52′ P. Flo

Haugesund
2 – 2
Lillestrøm
E. Mæland 10′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ S. Mikalsen
T. Agdestein 52′
2 – 1
2 – 2
80′ F. Friday

Stabæk
2 – 1
Vålerenga
L. Kassi 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
68′ D. Brown
G. Gorozia 90′
2 – 1

Brann
1 – 0
Bodø / Glimt
J. Orlov 9′
1 – 0

Aalesund
1 – 2
Brann
P. Larsen 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
59′ R. Johansen
1 – 2
83′ A. Karadas

Molde
4 – 2
Lillestrøm
M. Mostrøm 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
16′ F. Friday
S. Svendsen 31′
2 – 1
H. Singh 45′
3 – 1
3 – 2
56′ E. Knudtzon
E. Guðjohnsen (PG) 65′
4 – 2

Haugesund
3 – 0
Aalesund
W. Troost-Ekong 10′
1 – 0
S. Tronstad 38′
2 – 0
K. Karikari 90′
3 – 0

Strømsgodset
2 – 2
Brann
Ø. Storflor 4′
1 – 0
T. Høiland 34′
2 – 0
2 – 1
45′ E. Huseklepp
2 – 2
75′ J. Orlov

Molde
1 – 1
Tromsø
F. Aursnes 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
70′ A. Sigurdarson
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

last 30 > 24-5-1 > home teams won 80%

a whopping 63% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

50% ended over 2.5 goals

Only 5/30 followed the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band < last game in that profile that ended 1-1 >

VPS
1 – 1
Mariehamn
S. Morrissey 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
48′ N. Ikävalko

13/10/2011

Mariehamn
2 – 1
RoPS
A. Ekhalie 10′
1 – 0
1 – 1
58′ R. Taylor
J. Lyyski 64′
2 – 1

HJK
2 – 0
Ilves
A. Morelos 9′
1 – 0
A. Morelos 73′
2 – 0

Ilves
3 – 0
Mariehamn
T. Miettunen 3′
1 – 0
Y. Rahimi 50′
2 – 0
A. Ngueukam 85′
3 – 0

SJK
1 – 0
Inter Turku
B. Ions 7′
1 – 0

KuPS
3 – 0
PK-35 Vantaa
B. Diallo 10′
1 – 0
S. Jovović 85′
2 – 0
P. Pennanen 89′
3 – 0

RoPS
1 – 0
Ilves
R. Taylor 10′
1 – 0

SJK
2 – 1
HIFK
Roope Riski 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
79′ J. Mäkelä (PG)
T. Kink 89′
2 – 1

PS Kemi
1 – 0
HJK
R. Gilligan 1′
1 – 0

SJK
2 – 0
Jaro
M. Hetemaj 2′
1 – 0
Roope Riski 90′
2 – 0

KuPS
2 – 0
Jaro
J. Hakola 6′
1 – 0
U. Nissilä 83′
2 – 0

VPS
2 – 1
Jaro
A. Clennon 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
70′ A. Eremenko
T. Lahti 80′
2 – 1

Ilves
1 – 3
Mariehamn
M. Lahtinen 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
74′ P. Forsell
1 – 2
79′ D. Orgill
1 – 3
90′ D. Orgill

KuPS
3 – 0
RoPS
T. Markić 10′
1 – 0
S. Savolainen 51′
2 – 0
S. Savolainen 67′
3 – 0

HJK
2 – 1
KTP
E. Zeneli 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
48′ T. Gruborovics
O. Jallow (PG) 90′
2 – 1

Inter Turku
1 – 1
Mariehamn
J. Hämäläinen 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
87′ J. Ibrahim

Mariehamn
1 – 1
SJK
D. Tammilehto 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
71′ Toni Lehtinen (PG)

Ilves
1 – 0
Inter Turku
T. Petrescu 7′
1 – 0

RoPS
1 – 0
KuPS
F. Obilor 10′
1 – 0

Jaro
1 – 1
Lahti
J. Brunell 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
81′ A. Ristola

KTP
3 – 2
VPS
T. Gruborovics 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
62′ J. Seabrook
V. Minkenen 66′
2 – 1
I. Äijälä 74′
3 – 1
3 – 2
89′ J. Mäkelä

HJK
2 – 0
MYPA
E. Zeneli 2′
1 – 0
N. Alho 88′
2 – 0

Lahti
1 – 1
SJK
Rafael (PG) 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
88′ J. Laaksonen

TPS
3 – 0
MYPA
M. Hyyrynen 4′
1 – 0
J. Lehtonen 60′
2 – 0
E. Tamminen 90′
3 – 0

RoPS
3 – 0
Inter Turku
J. Gay 10′
1 – 0
A. Kokko 51′
2 – 0
J. Lahdenmäki 76′
3 – 0

TPS
2 – 1
MYPA
M. Ääritalo 8′
1 – 0
J. Lehtonen 59′
2 – 0
2 – 1
87′ O. Williams

TPS
1 – 1
Inter Turku
Roope Riski 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
84′ G. Gnabouyou

MYPA
1 – 0
Jaro
O. Williams 6′
1 – 0

HJK
4 – 2
Honka
R. Lod 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
51′ T. Väyrynen
1 – 2
59′ G. Baah
T. Tainio 66′
2 – 2
R. Lod 79′
3 – 2
R. Lod 81′
4 – 2

Jaro
2 – 1
VPS
S. Winchester 5′
1 – 0
S. Winchester 79′
2 – 0
2 – 1
87′ J. Seabrook

Lahti
3 – 0
MYPA
Rafael 4′
1 – 0
Rafael 61′
2 – 0
J. Nganbe 90′
3 – 0
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

key point > which the mainstream have never " developed "

looking at the " fightback metric " in an individual league which I define as 1-0/0-1 HT > 1-1 with the " fightback " in the 46-70 minutes time band in terms of expectation of ;

1. expectation of the fightback

2. expectation of further goal(s) :!:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Finland Veikkausliiga 2015 season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 58% ended over 2.5 goals and 35% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 69% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 54%

The home teams won 65%, 27% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 8%

46% :idea: produced a goal(s) goal 80 + minutes
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

In the Premier League 2015-2016 season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 73% ended over 2.5 goals and 51% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 56% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 73%

The home teams won 78%, 15% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 7% < lowered expectation of the games ending a DRAW

31% of the games in the table below produced a goal 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

3/41 1-0 FT

26/41 > 2-0 24-2-0 <> home teams won 92%

12/41 > 1-1 5-4-3 home teams won 42%

32-6-3

In the Premier League 2016-2017 season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band,

75% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 65% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 71%

36-5-7 > the home teams won 75% < lowered expectation of the away teams fighting back

average goal production = 3 .65

44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

4/48 1-0 FT

25/48 > 2-0 24-0-1 home teams won 96%

19 /48 > 1-1 8-5-6 home teams won 42%

Last 89 games in the Premier League where the home team opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band

68-11-10 > the home teams won 76%

GAME PATHWAY

7/89 1-0 FT

51/89 > 2-0 48-2-1 > home teams won 94% > is a 2-0 lead ” precarious ” ?

31/89 > 1-1 13-9-9 > home teams won 42%

:idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

if you look at the Premier League in games where the home team open the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band > 2-0 will be more likely then > 1-1 > and as a result you will see lowered expectation of the games ending a DRAW :idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

In the Premier League this season >

83 games where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band



64-8-11 > 10% ended a draw >

when you look at the time of the opening goal in an individual league added to the current score ( game state ) as time decays > your focus should be on expectation of draw bias / lack of draw bias >

:idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

football data and analysis is still at a level where laying the draw before a game starts is considered a sophisticated trading tool :shock:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Finland Veikkausliiga 2016 season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band,


19-2-0 home teams won 90%

76% over 2.5 goals and 38% over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 57% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 76%

29% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

3/21 FT 1-0

9/21 > 1-1 8-1-0 :idea:

9/21 > 2-0 8-1-0



Mariehamn
2 - 1
Ilves
B. Friberg 1'
1 - 0
1 - 1
24' T. Siira
Diego Assis 75'
2 - 1


SJK
1 - 0
Inter Turku
B. Ions 7'
1 - 0


RoPS
3 - 0
Lahti
J. Nganbe 4'
1 - 0
M. Saine 18'
2 - 0
J. Nganbe 32'
3 - 0


KuPS
3 - 0
PK-35 Vantaa
B. Diallo 10'
1 - 0
S. Jovović 85'
2 - 0
P. Pennanen 89'
3 - 0


SJK
4 - 0
Ilves
Roope Riski 8'
1 - 0
Roope Riski 30'
2 - 0
J. Vasara 58'
3 - 0
Roope Riski 90'
4 - 0

SJK
3 - 1
RoPS
R. Dorman 4'
1 - 0
1 - 1
45' E. Muinonen
J. Vasara 45'
2 - 1
J. Vasara 71'
3 - 1

RoPS
2 - 0
VPS
R. Taylor 8'
1 - 0
A. Kokko 11'
2 - 0

HJK
4 - 2
PK-35 Vantaa
A. Morelos 1'
1 - 0
N. Alho 2'
2 - 0
S. Dahlström 13'
3 - 0
N. Oduamadi 17'
4 - 0
4 - 1
53' M. Ömer
4 - 2
73' N. Kuqi

SJK
4 - 1
Lahti
J. Vasara 9'
1 - 0
1 - 1
14' Rafael
Roope Riski 41'
2 - 1
Y. Rahimi 85'
3 - 1
Roope Riski (PG) 90'
4 - 1

RoPS
2 - 1
Inter Turku
A. Kokko 8'
1 - 0
1 - 1
26' S. Duah
A. Kokko 45'
2 - 1

Ilves
2 - 1
SJK
L. Ala-Myllymäki 8'
1 - 0
1 - 1
14' T. Kink
T. Siira 58'
2 - 1

VPS
2 - 0
Ilves
A. Clennon 2'
1 - 0
P. Soiri 42'
2 - 0

RoPS
1 - 0
Ilves
R. Taylor 10'
1 - 0

Mariehamn
2 - 2
VPS
Diego Assis 9'
1 - 0
R. Sid 40'
2 - 0
2 - 1
59' P. Soiri
2 - 2
90' E. Tamminen

HJK
2 - 1
HIFK
A. Morelos 2'
1 - 0
1 - 1
5' E. Terävä
N. Oduamadi 11'
2 - 1

Mariehamn
3 - 0
Lahti
B. Span 10'
1 - 0
J. Lyyski 24'
2 - 0
D. Orgill 58'
3 - 0

SJK
2 - 1
HIFK
Roope Riski 9'
1 - 0
1 - 1
79' J. Mäkelä (PG)
T. Kink 89'
2 - 1

VPS
3 - 1
HIFK
K. Peth 6'
1 - 0
1 - 1
13' P. Sihvola
A. Clennon 36'
2 - 1
P. Soiri 73'
3 - 1

PS Kemi
1 - 0
HJK
R. Gilligan 1'
1 - 0

HIFK
3 - 2
KuPS
T. Aho 9'
1 - 0
J. Mäkelä 29'
2 - 0
J. Mäkelä 45'
3 - 0
3 - 1
49' G. Salami
3 - 2
65' P. Pennanen

Lahti
2 - 2
HIFK
S. Hostikka 6'
1 - 0
1 - 1
20' J. Mäkelä
J. Tuominen 44'
2 - 1
2 - 2
90' J. Pirttijoki
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

2015-2016 season in La Liga where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 59% ended over 2.5 goals and 47% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 51% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in only 57%

The home teams won 72.5%, 23.5% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 4%

41% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes





GAME PATHWAY

5/51 1-0 FT

29/51 > 2-0 <> 28-0-1 Home teams won 97%

17/51 > 1-1 <> 4-12-1 home teams won 24%

low expectation of an away win with lowered expectation of the away team fighting back because >2-0 pathway will be more likely then > 1-1 pathway in this profile in la liga <
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

2016-2017 season in La Liga where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band ,

Atlético Madrid
3 - 1
Athletic Club
Fernando Torres 8'
1 - 0
Fernando Torres 11'
2 - 0
2 - 1
71' Iñaki Williams
Á. Correa 89'
3 - 1

Sevilla
5 - 0
Osasuna
Vitolo 10'
1 - 0
F. Vázquez 20'
2 - 0
S. Jovetić 35'
3 - 0
F. Vázquez 60'
4 - 0
Vitolo 80'
5 - 0

Deportivo La C…
3 - 0
Las Palmas
F. Andone 4'
1 - 0
F. Andone 28'
2 - 0
Carles Gil 39'
3 - 0

Sporting Gijón
2 - 2
Real Betis
Douglas Pereira 7'
1 - 0
1 - 1
22' Rubén Castro
1 - 2
59' Rubén Castro
Carlos Carmona 79'
2 - 2

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Sevilla
Nacho 10'
1 - 0
Cristiano Ronaldo 23'
2 - 0
2 - 1
49' S. Jovetić
Cristiano Ronaldo 78'
3 - 1
T. Kroos 84'
4 - 1

Deportivo Alavés
3 - 1
Celta de Vigo
Manu García 5'
1 - 0
Z. Feddal 18'
2 - 0
Deyverson 37'
3 - 0
3 - 1
78' Iago Aspas (PG)

Leganés
4 - 0
Real Betis
A. Szymanowski (PG) 7'
1 - 0
N. El Zhar 15'
2 - 0
Gabriel 65'
3 - 0
A. Szymanowski 80'
4 - 0

Osasuna
2 - 2
Deportivo La C…
J. Mondragón 4'
1 - 0
1 - 1
18' Guilherme
1 - 2
70' Guilherme
Juanfran (OG) 78'
2 - 2

Sevilla
2 - 0
Granada
Ganso 4'
1 - 0
Ganso 46'
2 - 0

Real Betis
2 - 0
Eibar
J. Martin 2'
1 - 0
Dani Ceballos 89'
2 - 0

Athletic Club
5 - 1
Las Palmas
San José 7'
1 - 0
Muniain 9'
2 - 0
2 - 1
12' Bigas
Aduriz 18'
3 - 1
Muniain 58'
4 - 1
Aduriz 59'
5 - 1

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Sporting Gijón
Willian José 3'
1 - 0
Juanmi 27'
2 - 0
Yuri 77'
3 - 0
3 - 1
87' E. Echiejile

Sevilla
4 - 2
Deportivo La C…
S. Jovetić 1'
1 - 0
1 - 1
4' G. Kakuta
Pablo Sarabia 9'
2 - 1
2 - 2
25' G. Kakuta
J. Correa 32'
3 - 2
W. Ben Yedder 88'
4 - 2

Valencia
3 - 0
Deportivo La C…
E. Garay 10'
1 - 0
Albentosa (OG) 29'
2 - 0
João Cancelo 90'
3 - 0

Real Betis
2 - 0
Osasuna
Rafa Navarro 4'
1 - 0
Rubén Castro 28'
2 - 0

Las Palmas
1 - 0
Villarreal
K. Boateng 10'
1 - 0

Espanyol
4 - 3
Las Palmas
David López 1'
1 - 0
1 - 1
31' M. Lemos
Gerard Moreno 45'
2 - 1
2 - 2
49' M. Lemos
P. Piatti (PG) 53'
3 - 2
José Jurado 74'
4 - 2
4 - 3
84' M. García

Las Palmas
5 - 2
Osasuna
Jesé 7'
1 - 0
1 - 1
31' Kenan
1 - 2
37' Kenan
M. Livaja 55'
2 - 2
Unai García (OG) 70'
3 - 2
Roque Mesa 76'
4 - 2
Jesé 87'
5 - 2

Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Valencia
A. Griezmann 10'
1 - 0
K. Gameiro 48'
2 - 0
A. Griezmann 83'
3 - 0

Real Madrid
3 - 3
Las Palmas
Isco 8'
1 - 0
1 - 1
10' Tana
1 - 2
56' Jonathan Viera (PG)
1 - 3
59' K. Boateng
Cristiano Ronaldo (PG) 86'
2 - 3
Cristiano Ronaldo 89'
3 - 3

Barcelona
6 - 1
Sporting Gijón
L. Messi 9'
1 - 0
L. Suárez 11'
2 - 0
2 - 1
21' Carlos Castro
L. Suárez 27'
3 - 1
Paco Alcácer 49'
4 - 1
Neymar 65'
5 - 1
I. Rakitić 87'
6 - 1

Valencia
2 - 1
Real Madrid
S. Zaza 4'
1 - 0
F. Orellana 9'
2 - 0
2 - 1
44' Cristiano Ronaldo

Barcelona
2 - 1
Leganés
L. Messi 4'
1 - 0
1 - 1
71' Unai López
L. Messi (PG) 90'
2 - 1

Espanyol
3 - 1
Sevilla
José Antonio Reyes (PG) 4'
1 - 0
1 - 1
20' S. Jovetić
Marc Navarro 45'
2 - 1
Gerard Moreno 71'
3 - 1

Eibar
3 - 1
Deportivo La C…
Adrián 4'
1 - 0
Sergi Enrich 15'
2 - 0
2 - 1
19' E. Çolak
F. Lejeune 72'
3 - 1

Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Real Betis
N. Gaitán 8'
1 - 0

Celta de Vigo
3 - 1
Málaga
Iago Aspas 7'
1 - 0
D. Wass 60'
2 - 0
Fontàs 73'
3 - 0
3 - 1
86' D. Wass (OG)

Deportivo La C…
2 - 0
Osasuna
F. Andone 7'
1 - 0
R. Babel 42'
2 - 0

Real Sociedad
3 - 2
Valencia
Willian José 2'
1 - 0
Willian José 24'
2 - 0
2 - 1
36' Dani Parejo (PG)
Juanmi 90'
3 - 1
3 - 2
90' Z. Bakka

Deportivo Alavés
1 - 1
Las Palmas
Alexis 4'
1 - 0
1 - 1
57' M. Livaja

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Sporting Gijón
Cristiano Ronaldo (PG) 5'
1 - 0
Cristiano Ronaldo 18'
2 - 0
2 - 1
35' Carlos Carmona

Leganés
2 - 0
Osasuna
Rober Ibáñez 6'
1 - 0
Rober Ibáñez 57'
2 - 0

Eibar
1 - 0
Celta de Vigo
Fran Rico 9'
1 - 0

Deportivo La C…
2 - 3
Sevilla
R. Babel 1'
1 - 0
F. Andone 42'
2 - 0
2 - 1
44' S. N'Zonzi
2 - 2
87' Vitolo
2 - 3
90' G. Mercado

Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
Málaga
Y. Carrasco 7'
1 - 0
K. Gameiro 24'
2 - 0
2 - 1
31' Sandro Ramírez
K. Gameiro 44'
3 - 1
3 - 2
64' Ignacio Camacho
Y. Carrasco 86'
4 - 2

Deportivo Alavés
1 - 4
Real Madrid
Deyverson 7'
1 - 0
1 - 1
17' Cristiano Ronaldo (PG)
1 - 2
33' Cristiano Ronaldo
1 - 3
84' Álvaro Morata
1 - 4
88' Cristiano Ronaldo

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Athletic Club
K. Benzema 7'
1 - 0
1 - 1
27' Sabin
Álvaro Morata 83'
2 - 1


2 - 3
Osasuna
G. Escalante 1'
1 - 0
1 - 1
29' Sergio León
1 - 2
32' Sergio León
Sergi Enrich 45'
2 - 2
2 - 3
58' Roberto Torres

Villarreal
5 - 0
Celta de Vigo
R. Soriano 8'
1 - 0
R. Soriano 12'
2 - 0
C. Bakambu 38'
3 - 0
D. Wass (OG) 48'
4 - 0
Trigueros 90'
5 - 0

Deportivo Alavés
1 - 1
Málaga
Deyverson 9'
1 - 0
1 - 1
85' R. Rosales

Osasuna
2 - 2
Las Palmas
Roberto Torres (PG) 7'
1 - 0
Sergio León 45'
2 - 0
2 - 1
57' Vicente Gómez
2 - 2
90' David García

Villarreal
3 - 1
Osasuna
Alexandre Pato 5'
1 - 0
Bruno (PG) 24'
2 - 0
N. Sansone 39'
3 - 0
3 - 1
45' Roberto Torres (PG

Real Sociedad
4 - 1
Las Palmas
Willian José 1'
1 - 0
C. Vela (PG) 22'
2 - 0
Zurutuza 35'
3 - 0
Willian José (PG) 53'
4 - 0
4 - 1
56' Tana

Las Palmas
1 - 0
Málaga
Momo (PG) 10'
1 - 0

Atlético Madrid
5 - 0
Sporting Gijón
A. Griezmann 2'
1 - 0
K. Gameiro 5'
2 - 0
A. Griezmann 31'
3 - 0
Fernando Torres 72'
4 - 0
Fernando Torres (PG) 90'
5 - 0

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Osasuna
Cristiano Ronaldo 6'
1 - 0
Danilo 40'
2 - 0
Sergio Ramos 45'
3 - 0
Pepe 56'
4 - 0
L. Modrić 62'
5 - 0
5 - 1
64' Oriol Riera
5 - 2
78' David García

Valencia
2 - 4
Las Palmas
Santi Mina 6'
1 - 0
1 - 1
16' M. Livaja
1 - 2
24' Jonathan Viera (PG)
1 - 3
31' K. Boateng
Santi Mina 34'
2 - 3
2 - 4
88' M. Livaja

Barcelona
6 - 2
Real Betis
A. Turan 6'
1 - 0
1 - 1
21' Rubén Castro
L. Messi 37'
2 - 1
L. Suárez 42'
3 - 1
L. Suárez 56'
4 - 1
L. Messi 57'
5 - 1
L. Suárez 82'
6 - 1
6 - 2
84' Rubén Castr
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

This season in La Liga in games where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band

38-6-4 > home teams won 79%

77% ended over 2.5 goals and 62.5% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 67% and over 1.5 first half goals was landed in 75%

54% :idea: produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

4/48 1-0 FT

29/48 > 2-0 27-1-1 > home teams won 93%

15/48 > 1-1 7-5-3 > home teams won 47%
Last edited by jonnyg on Sun Jun 18, 2017 9:50 am, edited 9 times in total.
User avatar
jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

last 99 games in La Liga where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band

75-18-6 > the home teams won 76% 1/0.76 = 1.31

GAME PATHWAY

9/99 FT 1-0

58/99 > 2-0 55-1-2 > home teams won 95% > is a 2-0 lead precarious ?

32/99 > 1-1 11-17-4 > home teams won 34% < as you can see an away win in this profile in La Liga is going to be rare so at 1-1 simply back the home team draw no bet :idea:
Last edited by jonnyg on Sun Jun 18, 2017 9:12 am, edited 3 times in total.
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