15.40 Sthl and 15.50 folk ... were they FIXED?

The sport of kings.
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mister man
Posts: 363
Joined: Tue Jul 27, 2010 2:10 pm

Wow!

If you don't mind me asking, do those figures relate to gambling or to trading, or both?

Jeff
trading is gambling ,you back you lay, you risk at certain points and times, its gambling..
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

That's debatable - some people would argue that, if you know what you're doing, luck doesn't really come into trading, so it's investing rather than gambling.

But I think the distinction I was making was clear! :)

Jeff
mister man wrote:
Wow!

If you don't mind me asking, do those figures relate to gambling or to trading, or both?

Jeff
trading is gambling ,you back you lay, you risk at certain points and times, its gambling..
mister man
Posts: 363
Joined: Tue Jul 27, 2010 2:10 pm

dont agree, trading is gambling, if i "invest" £100 backing chelsea at 1.5 and then 60minutes later i lay chelsea at 1.05 for £120 is that trading or gambling.

if i back chelsea at 1.5 for £100 and 1 minute later i lay them at 1.49 for £100.50 is that gambling trading or "investing"... on each occasion the odds could move against me or for me.... its my judgement that im relying on, in a risk situation taken with money, its gambling...
sweetybt
Posts: 500
Joined: Sat Apr 18, 2009 4:35 pm

I have arranged for at least one of the horses to be pulled up in the 1.40 at Towcester. ;) I am afraid I can't say anymore except the Jockey may also fall off.
Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

I think punting is a special case of trading. I think any punting strategy can be converted into an equivalent trading strategy.

P.S Got the green on 'Bachelor's Knight'. Opened at 5, got pushed out to 8 (before retracing to 6). :mrgreen: Nice fix.
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

Each trade carries risk. But if you have an edge, then long-term the chances of you losing money are close to zero, so it's not gambling IMHO. :)

Jeff
mister man wrote:dont agree, trading is gambling, if i "invest" £100 backing chelsea at 1.5 and then 60minutes later i lay chelsea at 1.05 for £120 is that trading or gambling.

if i back chelsea at 1.5 for £100 and 1 minute later i lay them at 1.49 for £100.50 is that gambling trading or "investing"... on each occasion the odds could move against me or for me.... its my judgement that im relying on, in a risk situation taken with money, its gambling...
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LeTiss
Posts: 5487
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

I wonder if he's just done his balls on 3.40 Towcester?

Bunglasha Lady drifted big time and 2nd Fav Overnight Fame shortened from 3.4 to 2.8

Bunglasha Lady wins!

This strategy of laying drifting horses is risky to say the least
SamWilson82
Posts: 95
Joined: Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:23 am

mister man wrote:dont agree, trading is gambling, if i "invest" £100 backing chelsea at 1.5 and then 60minutes later i lay chelsea at 1.05 for £120 is that trading or gambling.

if i back chelsea at 1.5 for £100 and 1 minute later i lay them at 1.49 for £100.50 is that gambling trading or "investing"... on each occasion the odds could move against me or for me.... its my judgement that im relying on, in a risk situation taken with money, its gambling...

If i back at 6.8 and lay at 6.6 100 times is that gambling?
Iron
Posts: 6793
Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

If you have a 100% strike rate over 100 consecutive bets, then it's premonition! :)

Jeff
SamWilson82 wrote:
If i back at 6.8 and lay at 6.6 100 times is that gambling?
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gutuami
Posts: 1858
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 4:06 pm

from: SPECULATION AS A FINE ART

Is there any difference between speculation and gambling? The terms are often used interchangeably, but speculation presupposes intellectual effort; gambling, blind chance. Accurately to define the two is difficult; all definitions are difficult. Wit and humor, for instance, can be defined; but notwithstanding the most subtle distinction, wit and humor blend, run into each other. This is true of speculation and gambling. The former has some of the elements of chance; the latter some of the elements of reason. We define as best we can. Speculation is a venture based upon calculation. Gambling is a venture without calculation
enzabella2009
Posts: 747
Joined: Tue Nov 03, 2009 3:58 pm

LeTiss 4pm wrote:I wonder if he's just done his balls on 3.40 Towcester?

Bunglasha Lady drifted big time and 2nd Fav Overnight Fame shortened from 3.4 to 2.8

Bunglasha Lady wins!

This strategy of laying drifting horses is risky to say the least
Sorry I was busy.
1st of all I HAVE no BALLS if you mean testicols.. :o :o
My small tits do the job. :lol: :lol:


Bunglasha Lady * 2.21 330.00 Back
Bunglasha Lady * 2.22 328.40 Lay
Overnight Fame 4.10 340.00 Back
Overnight Fame 2.79 500.00 Lay
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LeTiss
Posts: 5487
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

LOL my apologies

I'm glad to see you didn't do your small tits then!

:lol:
freddy
Posts: 1132
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 8:22 pm

It was lucky that you traded the big drifter that won today instead of laying it ;) .

That's why you win so much i guess, Physic imo :D
enzabella2009
Posts: 747
Joined: Tue Nov 03, 2009 3:58 pm

I think you guys missunderstood my finds because of my bad english.

lay1800 3.0 regular drift
lay2300 2.9 manipulation,traders,punters
lay1800 2.8 etc. all trying to get a piece of it.
lay3000 2.7
lay2000 2.6
lay3000 2.5
lay4000 2.4
lay2200 2.3
lay2000 2.2
Most of this lay bets have not been matched.
Like on bunglasha lady or fifth in line (13.30sthl) 30 seconds b4 off
But when I see a gambler to take all the back bets in the queue no matter the odds of the favorite and the manipulator, the traders, the punters etc still opposing it, I ask my self is this gambler crazy or he/she knows better. He is going to lose 30K 20K etc etc he must be crazy. Then you see the race and the favorite come last????.You need 3 coincidences to confirm your suspects. Happened 5times in 2 days. It did not happened today though..today was a day to back the favorites, to back some of the adrian massey to rated horses and trade the 1st/2nd favorites. When the godgambler will do the same in the future I will lay the horse at least 1k, no doubt about that.
andyfuller
Posts: 4619
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm

Would be interesting to know why you trade some of these big drifters as opposed to just letting them run - could you tell that one was not fixed?

As I said earlier in the thread P&L's and bets have a lot more credibility when they are an actual screen shot or better still a video as anyone can post a result after a race just by typing.

The reason I say this is that people will be reading this and seeing your 'profits' and thinking this is the quick way to early retirement only to end up finding that laying drifters can easily lead to early bankruptcy.

Yes people have a choice but there are those who will just see you posting a million pounds of profit in at most 3 months and think WOW I am missing a trick here and before they know it they will have lost their money.

Good luck and still be careful having any links to those based in the USA as there is nothing legal about them using Betfair or any other exchange to lay these horses you and your mates are identifying.
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