Cheltenham 2020
-
- Posts: 175
- Joined: Tue Jan 28, 2020 10:55 pm
I just don't "get" Cheltenham, I've dialled right back to £2 stakes to see if I can figure it out but it's fly by the seat of your pants stuff to me. Had a great day on Doncaster after Hexam was abandoned but Cheltenham

-
- Posts: 27
- Joined: Mon Oct 01, 2018 10:12 am
I agree. This is my second Cheltenham (first one I was just experimenting I suppose), and I just can't seem to figure it out. I guess if you've got a big bank and can place 10k stakes, it can be a dream come true. I've failed to make a profit every single day of the festival so farDiacritical Quark wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:27 pmI just don't "get" Cheltenham, I've dialled right back to £2 stakes to see if I can figure it out but it's fly by the seat of your pants stuff to me. Had a great day on Doncaster after Hexam was abandoned but CheltenhamI don't know, the markets just behave a little differently, I thought at first it was just a case of same markets just increase the stakes by ten fold but it isn't, I can't get a handle on it, one minute I'm bumping along nicely the next a days profit has gone in 30 seconds.

Cheltenham has never been that great for me either (Auto in Play), so i wouldn't worry about it!! (Doncaster and kempton much better for me!Diacritical Quark wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:27 pmI just don't "get" Cheltenham, I've dialled right back to £2 stakes to see if I can figure it out but it's fly by the seat of your pants stuff to me. Had a great day on Doncaster after Hexam was abandoned but CheltenhamI don't know, the markets just behave a little differently, I thought at first it was just a case of same markets just increase the stakes by ten fold but it isn't, I can't get a handle on it, one minute I'm bumping along nicely the next a days profit has gone in 30 seconds.

- wearthefoxhat
- Posts: 3551
- Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am
Off to a good start.....
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- firlandsfarm
- Posts: 3305
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am
Need to see some stats re last jump fails but from watching races I suspect 1.04 with 1 jump to go would be value assuming there was no danger from other runners (didn't watch the race so have no idea). Clear leader, one jump to go is usually 1.01.
1.04 I would have thought was huge value.
You seem to get better value at these bigger meetings. Often you will see them not even be fully filled at 1.01 despite being a clear winner at Cheltenham whereas at "normal" races all the money would be taken a lot earlier.