Eurozone debt crisis

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Iron
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Strangely enough, that might not be the market's biggest concern on Monday: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/cme-goes- ... everything

Zerohedge tweeted:

There's what: few hundred trillions in open notional out there. 26% spec differential between initial and maintenance is... a lot?

Simple terms: the CME just cut leverage for every margin product by about 25%. Said otherwise, this is how much extra equity will be needed.

Jeff
Euler wrote:Confidence vote underway in Greece! Will we wake up to red or green on Monday? :shock:
Iron
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UK could give £40bn to the IMF, Danny Alexander says - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-15611429

Mr Cameron keeps telling us that the UK has never lost money it's lent to the IMF.

He's obviously confident of what he's saying, so I think he should remortgage his house and lend the money to the IMF. That way, the country could be secure in the knowledge that the £40 billion we're going to be handing over is in safe hands...

Jeff
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superfrank
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Ferru123 wrote:Mr Cameron keeps telling us that the UK has never lost money it's lent to the IMF.
There's a first time for everything.

It's quite comical really that countries that are essentially bankrupt are loaning money to the IMF at the same time as printing money to buy their own debt. Why not go the whole hog and just print some more to give to the IMF?!
Iron
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What sticks in my throat is the blatant dishonesty of the government's position.

The aforementioned article says that 'David Cameron has said the UK will give more to the IMF, but the money must not support a eurozone bailout'.

So it's purely co-incidental that we've decided to pledge an extra £40 billion to the IMF at a time when the Eurozone are on a whip round to raise a trillion euros for their bailout fund?

I don't buy it...

Jeff
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to75ne
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does anyone actually understand any of this?

who owes who what?

how much?

who as lent who what and how much?

i assume a vast about of money as been lost by someone, who lent that from someone else. if so who now as all the money that as been lost.

whos got all the money?
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superfrank
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bankers and the asset rich have trousered all the money and have it stashed. taxpayers (and future taxpayers) have lost. i know there are overlaps, but essentially that's it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx16a72j__8
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to75ne
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superfrank wrote:bankers and the asset rich have trousered all the money and have it stashed. taxpayers (and future taxpayers have lost).

where have they stashed it?

how did they manage to "aquire" it in the first place.

i dont know what the figure is, but it seems to a vast number. why dont governments just refuse to pay up.
scrap the current euro, go back to to individual currencies, or have a euro mark 2, and start again. its all monoploy money anyway ie fiat currency, just worthless paper and/or binary digits in computers. none of it real.
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superfrank
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see the vid on my edited post above.
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to75ne
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sorry frank, i missed the link. i will watch now.
Iron
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_s ... ebt_crisis

The potted version is that the some Eurozone governments have gone on spending sprees and are now drowing in sovereign debt.

The other Eurozone governments need to bail out some of these countries to prevent them defaulting, as that would result in a Eurozone break-up. The reason for this is as follows (if my understanding is correct). Greece needs money with which to pay its bills. If Greece still had the drachma, it could print money in the event of a default. It's not an ideal situation, as it could trigger hyperinflation. But at least the police would be paid, so there wouldn't be anarchy. So to stop the Greeks from printing drachmas to pay the bills, taking the Euro into unchartered territory, the Eurozone needs to keep bailing them out.

And if Italy defaults, the Occupy Wall St guys could have the new world order they're seeking. Seriously. It would make Lehmann Bros look like a cakewalk - Italy is one of the world's 10 biggest economies.

Jeff
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to75ne
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Well frank that short video as only confrmed a long held belief of mine that the world of finance is nothing more than the biggest con job ever.

How can there be any justification to having no limit to how much monopoly money is printed/created.

Why the hell is currency not based on something that as real value and hence limiting how much can be created.

This financial system to me is the most disreputable /disgusting/ low class/misery creating thing in human history. Its illogical. Its like the bastard son of Alice In Wonderland, and One Flew Over The Cuckoos Nest. Totally insane. Mad.
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superfrank
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to75ne wrote:where have they stashed it?

how did they manage to "aquire" it in the first place.

i dont know what the figure is, but it seems to a vast number. why dont governments just refuse to pay up.
scrap the current euro, go back to to individual currencies, or have a euro mark 2, and start again. its all monoploy money anyway ie fiat currency, just worthless paper and/or binary digits in computers. none of it real.
this is the way i see it...

- we had the mother of all credit booms (fueled by low interest rates) which fed an asset price boom (everything from property and shares to art and fine wine).

- the asset price boom fed back into more credit and bank lending got more and more reckless in the hope that the asset price boom could continue forever.

- the bankers secretly knew it would all end in tears but they didn't care as they knew that by then they'd have made their billions and wouldn't be liable for the bust).

- credit expansion hit it's limit eventually and thus we had the credit crunch.

- what normally happens at this point in the cycle is that asset prices fall as the phoney wealth created by the excess credit is destroyed (most of the wealth was not created by anything real, like productivity increases, but mainly by asset price inflation). governments then step in and spend their surpluses (built up during the good times when tax receipts were very healthy) to tide things over (Keynes).

- but this time, because the credit boom was so enormous, the powers that be decided that if asset prices fell it could cause a depression (and because the powers that be - ultimately bankers and the asset rich - didn't want their wealth to be destroyed).

- so governments, already very indebted because they'd overspent during the 'boom', stepped in and propped it all up by borrowing huge sums and bailing out all and sundry, eventually resorting to printing money and debauching their currencies (causing inflation because imports become more expensive) in a race to the bottom (UK/US especially because they had the biggest booms).

- now we're stuck because the debt hasn't gone away, it's just got bigger and bigger, and we're still pretty much at the limits of credit expansion (hence there is not much demand for credit and increased inflation means that people have less to spend).
to75ne wrote:Well frank that short video as only confrmed a long held belief of mine that the world of finance is nothing more than the biggest con job ever.

How can there be any justification to having no limit to how much monopoly money is printed/created.

Why the hell is currency not based on something that as real value and hence limiting how much can be created.

This financial system to me is the most disreputable /disgusting/ low class/misery creating thing in human history. Its illogical. Its like the bastard son of Alice In Wonderland, and One Flew Over The Cuckoos Nest. Totally insane. Mad.
Agreed! It's really just a fancy a Ponzi scheme - even Mervyn King admitted that you couldn't do much worse than the present banking system.
Last edited by superfrank on Mon Nov 07, 2011 4:43 pm, edited 7 times in total.
Iron
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to75ne wrote:Well frank that short video as only confrmed a long held belief of mine that the world of finance is nothing more than the biggest con job ever.
For centuries, finance has oiled the wheels of the global economy, by providing firms and individuals with liquidity.

Banking should not be judged on the actions of a few individuals a few years ago. Yes, the bankers let greed get the better of their judgement. But greed is not particular to bankers...

And in fairness, they were trading AAA rated products. To use an analogy, if a mechanic tells you that your brakes are working fine, you can be forgiven for taking him at his word...

Jeff
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to75ne
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If there is one thing you should not take a single persons word for about cars are the brakes. :lol:

I have a son finishing uni next year. He is thinking of going into finance. He was not brought up to be dishonourable. I could not bear the shame. reckon it could end in filicide. :cry:

thanks frank and jeff.
meant to say both your explanations are the clearest and most understandable i have yet read from any source explaining the euro crisis. thanks for taking the time to answer.
its all so stupid really. :?
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CaerMyrddin
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And in fairness, they were trading AAA rated products. To use an analogy, if a mechanic tells you that your brakes are working fine, you can be forgiven for taking him at his word...
Hi Jeff, maybe you should give inside job a go?
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