UK General Election **June 8th**

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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dragontrades
Posts: 1248
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 11:22 pm

COMEON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
shaggyjh
Posts: 6
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2011 10:10 pm

As a total newbie to this trading lark i was sure the Tory price was way to low.

So i decided to lay at 1.05 but did it on the wrong market, made my move on the "Most seats" rather than "Majority" market so traded out. I was gutted when it went out to 1.23. However, i bit the bullet earlier tonight at 1.19, so glad i did.

I suck at the horses and footy, but have done well on Brexit, Trump and now the general election, i used to hate politics!! :lol:
dragontrades
Posts: 1248
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 11:22 pm

i think Con will be under 300 seats
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ruthlessimon
Posts: 2145
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm

Hindsight bias lads? I don't think many people would have "genuinely" predicted this to be so tight

Big balls up by May if it's true..... maybe odds on her resignation might be worth looking at
cybernet69

Well, if Labour, Libs and the SNP think they are going to be holding a gun to my head then I think I need to find my passport asap for a one way ticket.

This is going to be chaos for the next 5 years. :oops:
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LeTiss
Posts: 5469
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

It's a disaster for Theresa May, even if the exit polls are wrong and she squeezes over the line.

I think people were turned off by her, I'm absolutely convinced that David Cameron would have romped home against Corbyn
cybernet69

LeTiss wrote:
Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:47 pm
It's a disaster for Theresa May, even if the exit polls are wrong and she squeezes over the line.

I think people were turned off by her, I'm absolutely convinced that David Cameron would have romped home against Corbyn
Labour, Libs and SNP could form a government if the Tories get < 300 seats. :o
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HRacing
Posts: 278
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 11:25 am

Can someone please explain how an exit poll can have a massive effect on the probable voter turnout. Surely this possible upset can only be caused by a lack of people turning out if that makes sense. I know the exit poll is a set sample but should it really affect the market that much?
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Euler
Posts: 26269
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

If you think about it, they exit poll has to be declared early or using early voters because how else could they check and declare it at 10pm. So still some wiggle room up or down.
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Euler
Posts: 26269
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

LeTiss wrote:
Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:47 pm
It's a disaster for Theresa May, even if the exit polls are wrong and she squeezes over the line.

I think people were turned off by her, I'm absolutely convinced that David Cameron would have romped home against Corbyn
+1
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HRacing
Posts: 278
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 11:25 am

Euler wrote:
Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:56 pm
If you think about it, they exit poll has to be declared early or using early voters because how else could they check and declare it at 10pm. So still some wiggle room up or down.
Il take my chances at 60-65 at 5.3 seems reasonable enough
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HRacing
Posts: 278
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 11:25 am

10 as he speaks :P
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Euler
Posts: 26269
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Early results differ from exit poll and favour conservatives.
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LeTiss
Posts: 5469
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

The problem with the NE seats Peter, is that UKIP made great strides here, and their vote has clearly collapsed

The Tories have benefitted from that, but maybe not in other areas
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Euler
Posts: 26269
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Y, just looking at that.
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