Champions League 2012/13

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Tonight games..I may select some obvious choices but does not mean they will deliver good money..Finger cross...
I will trade all games but I going to leave some money in Play and try to increase the profits if there will be any....
Spartak Moscow vs Barcelona HW12.0 AW1.31 DR6.2
I m going to back Barcelona at 1,5. If they scored early I will just leave it..
Bate Borisov vs Lille HW2.34 AW3.4 DR3.55
I don't fancy neither teams but for value laying Lille at 3.4 is a bonus...Too short in my opinion-
Galatasaray vs Man Utd HW2.08 AW3.8 DR3.9
Man utd already qualified and perhaps will play with reserves but galatasaray shows too much of uncertainty in some games but still worth to back them at 2.3-2.5 and the draw at 3.9
CFR Cluj Vs Braga HW3.25 AW2.42 DR3.55
I don't fancy neither teams but 2.42 for the AW seems a bit short..I am going to lay it in Play
Benfica vs Celtic HW1.55 AW7.4 DR4.5
I have no doubts here.Despite winning a game vs Barcelona, I fancy laying Celtic if it goes anywhere near 5.1 in play..I would like to back Benfica but 1.55 is a bit too short..Perhaps I ll wait the odds to go up 1.8 in play...Benfica may be too strong for Celtic.. I may miss my bets if benfica will score too soon but on the break I may pick up some other opportunities
FC Nordsj vs Shakhtar HW13 AW1.3 DR6.2
Shakhtar has been the best team vs FC Nordsj vS Juventus and VS Chelsea so far but again the odds seems too short for an AW. They are paid 1 tick lower then barcelona AW.
It does not mean anything but for value is better taking higher odds. 1.6-1.7 will do for me.
Valencia vs B Minuch HW3.85 AW2.16 DR3.55
I am going to lay B Munich 2.16 seems attractive to me.
Juventus Vs Chelsea HW1.82 AW4.8 DR4.0
is Chelsea one of the most lucky team at the moment? Perhaps yes. That late and an unfair goal against Shakhtar gave Chelsea 2 out 3 results against Juventus.
I fancy 4.0 draw but also Juventus if the odds go higher then 2.0
Chelsea have concedeed too many goals but the pressure in on Juventus at the moment, therefore Di Matteo will try to play a bit like last year, very defensively.
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

I have missed to back Barcelona for 5-7 minutes, in Play...The maximun odds was around 1.41.They are now up 3-0...Never mind.
I picked a 2 ticks profit preoff on Lille which I then placed all on Lille to lose or draw. They currently winning 2-0 :( :lol: . However if Bate scored one goal, my profit is restored or even increased..Finger cross..
I said it before, when I post here somehow the opposite happens.. :D .
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giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

So far so good..Some results have finally turned in my favour..
P.S. warning Livescore.com is missing some goals
Cfr Cluj 3-1 Braga
Nordsj 2-2 Shakhtar.
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Just lay any English team seems to work this year ;) Chelsea haven't put up much of a fight this year.
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:I m going to back Barcelona at 1,5
Unmatched
giulio2010 wrote:laying Lille at 3.4 is a bonus
Lost
giulio2010 wrote:galatasaray shows too much of uncertainty in some games but still worth to back them at 2.3-2.5 and the draw at 3.9
Won
giulio2010 wrote:CFR Cluj Vs Braga HW3.25 AW2.42 DR3.55
I don't fancy neither teams but 2.42 for the AW seems a bit short..I am going to lay it in Play
Won
giulio2010 wrote:.I would like to back Benfica but 1.55 is a bit too short..Perhaps I ll wait the odds to go up 1.8 in play
Won
giulio2010 wrote:Shakhtar has been the best team vs FC Nordsj vS Juventus and VS Chelsea so far but again the odds seems too short for an AW. They are paid 1 tick lower then barcelona AW.
It does not mean anything but for value is better taking higher odds. 1.6-1.7 will do for me
Won
giulio2010 wrote:Valencia vs B Minuch HW3.85 AW2.16 DR3.55
I am going to lay B Munich 2.16 seems attractive to me
WON
giulio2010 wrote:I fancy 4.0 draw but also Juventus if the odds go higher then 2.0
Won.....for this last one I have enjoyed every minute of it
P.S. I am not showing off...If lost all I would have done the same... ;)
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

Tonight games:
Zeint St Petersburg vs Malaga HW1.8 AW5.1 DR3.9
the odds seems quite right. Malaga is the strongest team of the group but already qualified for the next stage and having an important feuture in the weekend will rest some players.
Zenit must win to stay alive but last night bate Borisov suicide is a concern that can be repeated this evening. I must take a decision though so I have to back the HW and a slightly insurance on the draw.
Anderlecht vs Ac Milan HW3.0 AW2.6 DR3.5
This is a tough call. The draw is the obvious choice but not within my style to back the draw so I may decide to change things in play. Anderlecht and Ac Milan have the same potentioal on tonight game, perhaps 2,58 is bit shorter then I expected.
Who lose tonight will be in big trouble and depending on earlier zenit game this evening, even the europe league place is NOT guaranteed.
Anderlecht has a good winning record, as for Ac Milan is in constant struggle of consistency but last weekend game they showed some real strong personality to comeback from 2-0 down in Naples. El shaarawy could be the man to watch.
I will lay Anderlecht if the odds go below 2.9...but keep an eye on the game.
Arsenal vs Montpellier HW1.41 AW10.0 DR5.1
No doubt here. Montpellier have nothing to lose but Arsenal impressive win over the weekend should give some indication who to back here. Montepellier having some real troubles this year, they went from 1st to last in only 4-5 months. Arsenal is pretty consistent in champions league group stage, but like last night for barcelona I will only take 1.5 for the HW.
Shalke vs Olympiakos HW1.5 AW7.8 DR4.8
The odds says it all but, I would not give the home win victory 1.5 yet. Olympiakos sometimes can be a pain in the bbbbbbb. I will take an insurance on the Draw and wait the odds to go higher perhaps 1,7-1.8 for the HW..ofc keep an eye on the game and change decision if need too..
Dinamo Kiev vs Paris St-G HW3.0 AW2.6 DR3.45
I see value here all over the place. I fancy 2.6 AW, I fancy a 3.45 draw and also fancy a good lay on the 3.0 for the HW..
It may be cold tonight but this PSG has such a good squad. Don't get fooled by the league performances, Ibrahimovich isnt playing at the moment because of his suspension but will play tonight, he is swedesh so used to cold and he is in an impressive form.
Dinamo Kiev must win tonight but are they really want to?
PSG need a draw, even if they lose they playing vs already qualified Porto in the last home game. Dinamo Kiew can still have a europe league destiny in their hands against last game at Zagreb whatever happens tonight. Hard to say if Kiev will try to win at all costs.
Porto vs Dinamo Zagreb HW1.16 AW26.0 DR9.8
Porto is already qualified, a win will garantee them the 1st place in the group. I would not bother to back or lay here anything. This is a game to trade with some heavy cash..that's all for me...
Ajax vs Dortmund HW4.5 AW1.87 DR4.0
the odds are quite right, despite that I may wait to back Dortmund at higher odds 2.0, 2,1. Ofc I am going to back the draw as well as insurance. Dortmund only need a draw to qualify so that would be the obvious choice but in the other hand Ajax must win tonight and may leave some open space in favor of dortmund counterattack. If ajax draw will be also a good result for their europe league place.
Man City vs Real Madrid HW3.1 AW2.4 DR3.75
??? Hard to predict..will man city even bother? They are 1st in the premier league and having an important feuture coming, it hard to say they approach tonight. Even if they won 2 out 2 they won't qualify. and why bother the thursday europe league games. If they stayed out, they can really go and concetrate only for the second premier league title. As for real madrid, as long as they don't lose they are happy tonight..Obvious choice again, I am going to lay Man city...ofc if things look different i may change my mind in play..
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:Zenit must win to stay alive but last night bate Borisov suicide is a concern that can be repeated this evening. I must take a decision though so I have to back the HW and a slightly insurance on the draw.
The suicide happened so did the draw...
nice profit here...WON.. :D :D
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Result! I like the look of Man City vs Real Madrid. You can see City taking the game to Real. They really have nothing to lose and will want to take some pride from the match, you would think.
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Euler wrote:Result! I like the look of Man City vs Real Madrid. You can see City taking the game to Real. They really have nothing to lose and will want to take some pride from the match, you would think.
That was my thinking too, but so far they're being totally outclassed
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:Man City vs Real Madrid HW3.1 AW2.4 DR3.75
??? Hard to predict..will man city even bother? They are 1st in the premier league and having an important feuture coming, it hard to say they approach tonight. Even if they won 2 out 2 they won't qualify. and why bother the thursday europe league games. If they stayed out, they can really go and concetrate only for the second premier league title. As for real madrid, as long as they don't lose they are happy tonight..Obvious choice again, I am going to lay Man city...ofc if things look different i may change my mind in play..
I am getting nice results these days... :D :D
WON
giulio2010 wrote:Ajax vs Dortmund HW4.5 AW1.87 DR4.0
the odds are quite right, despite that I may wait to back Dortmund at higher odds 2.0, 2,1. Ofc I am going to back the draw as well as insurance. Dortmund only need a draw to qualify so that would be the obvious choice but in the other hand Ajax must win tonight and may leave some open space in favor of dortmund counterattack. If ajax draw will be also a good result for their europe league place.
I have picked 2.0 nicely just before Dortmund scored...
WON
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:Dinamo Kiev vs Paris St-G HW3.0 AW2.6 DR3.45
I see value here all over the place. I fancy 2.6 AW, I fancy a 3.45 draw and also fancy a good lay on the 3.0 for the HW..
It may be cold tonight but this PSG has such a good squad. Don't get fooled by the league performances
PSG 1-0 up.
WON
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:Anderlecht vs Ac Milan HW3.0 AW2.6 DR3.5
giulio2010 wrote: El shaarawy could be the man to watch.
I will lay Anderlecht if the odds go below 2.9...but keep an eye on the game.
Picked a lay bet at 2.88 on the 1st half break..El shaarawy just scored.
WON
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CaerMyrddin
Posts: 1271
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am

I'm getting a 9' delay on the Porto - Dinamo Zagreb match, a new feature from bf? Anyone else is getting this?
giulio2010
Posts: 962
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2010 9:11 am

giulio2010 wrote:Arsenal vs Montpellier HW1.41 AW10.0 DR5.1
giulio2010 wrote:Arsenal is pretty consistent in champions league group stage, but like last night for barcelona I will only take 1.5 for the HW.
Done and WON... :D :D
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Euler
Posts: 26430
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Can't believe Schalke haven't scored!
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