Australian Open 2014

[Euler]

Cagey opening couple of games. Obviously testing each other.

[Euler]

There is the Federer break. Let's see how Murray reacts.

[Euler]

5-2 Federer

[Zenyatta]

Murray has no chance of winning like this - the match stats are a horrendous blood-bath in favour of Fed.

[Euler]

One thing you learn about Tennis is that the best time to take a position is exactly at that point.

IMHO Murray will try to push against Fed's serve now.

[Euler]

But not on this occasion, unforced error gifts Fed the break.

[Euler]

I'll lay Fed at the start of the third

[Zenyatta]

One thing you learn about Tennis is that the best time to take a position is exactly at that point.

IMHO Murray will try to push against Fed's serve now.

Not this match. Murray not going well enough. I still had money on him, but I'm out. Redded up.

[stevequal]

Federer's last two serve games have offered hope though.

0:15, 15:15, 30:15, 30:30, 30:40
0:15, 15:15, 15:30, 15:40, 30:40, 40:40, 40:A, 40:40, 40:A

I wonder how the fitness levels of a 32 v 26 year old will effect the rest of the game if at all.

[Euler]

5-4 Fed serve, Murray has to try a couple of speculative shots now.

[stevequal]

I could be wrong, but I think Federer must have only dropped one serve game in the tournament so far.

[Euler]

Trouble with these sorts of stats is that it's very dependent on the draw.

Market is discounting a Murray comeback at the moment. Let's see what pressure he puts on Fed serve.

[Euler]

None whatsoever

I decided to back Murray not lay Federer at the start of the third but Murray needs to easy hold and put pressure on Federer or else nothing will happen.

[Euler]

Up about 20% from the back at the start of the set, despite no break.

[Euler]

Couple of silly errors from Murray and Federer serves for the match and I can't see him not serving it out.