Australian racing

The sport of kings.
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rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

TipTopTrader wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:07 am
rik wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:29 am
good results mostly catching deflections
Should we start calling you Aussie Rik?
allround, keeep trying what im not good at, i think the big races on saturday suit me best today quite lucky
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ANGELS15
Posts: 902
Joined: Wed Mar 22, 2017 9:57 am

Vorogue18 wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:35 am
ANGELS15 wrote:
Tue Apr 07, 2020 2:52 pm
Since the suspension of UK and Irish racing I've been looking into Australian racing and setting up automation. I've often found that If I load up say 6 or 7 markets 2 or 3 of them will become suspended prior to the race and my automation dosen't run even though the races went ahead.

Also I've found on occasions when I try to load Australian dogs in particular into guardian, as I load them they show up as suspended? This happens when I try and use the 'Quick pick'

Anyone have any ideas as to what I'm doing wrong? Never really had the issues before with UK racing/dogs.

One thing I have noticed is that the aussie racing has a hell of a lot of non runners/scratchings. Whereas with the UK typically 95% of the overnight declared runners start, with the aussie ones it's more like 60 - 70%.
G'day Angel15, dog race scratchings come through quite late sometimes but other than a late scratching, no other general reason markets are suspended. Horses are a different matter in Aus. All events are suspended for 1-2 seconds between 5-10 min before the off. Main meetings it's roughly 7-10 mins whereas smaller meetings tend to be varied. Someone more knowledgeable than me will know the reason. i use 'time since market unsuspended' for all automations...
Thanks very much for the info, I'll look into it.
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Diacritical Quark wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:48 am
rik wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:29 am
lined up on a string whats the chances of that unbelievable 123456 8 and 7
Hmmm what are the chances? My maths is lacking at best but it's a nice probability question, is the answer; (just for the 1-6 I've discounted the 7-8 altogether)

6^6

1 in 46656?
1 in 6! = 720.

There's a 1 in 5 chance that 2 will finish second and a 1 in 4 chance that 3 will finish third, etc.
Diacritical Quark
Posts: 175
Joined: Tue Jan 28, 2020 10:55 pm

1 in 6! = 720.

There's a 1 in 5 chance that 2 will finish second and a 1 in 4 chance that 3 will finish third, etc.
That seeems to make more sense :mrgreen:
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Diacritical Quark wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:22 pm
1 in 6! = 720.

There's a 1 in 5 chance that 2 will finish second and a 1 in 4 chance that 3 will finish third, etc.
That seeems to make more sense :mrgreen:
Not right - it was an 8 runner race
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:07 pm
Diacritical Quark wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:48 am
rik wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:29 am
lined up on a string whats the chances of that unbelievable 123456 8 and 7
Hmmm what are the chances? My maths is lacking at best but it's a nice probability question, is the answer; (just for the 1-6 I've discounted the 7-8 altogether)

6^6

1 in 46656?
1 in 6! = 720.

There's a 1 in 5 chance that 2 will finish second and a 1 in 4 chance that 3 will finish third, etc.
Sorry, I can't ignore.

It was an 8 runner race.
There were 8! finishing orders possible = 40320
The finishing order 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,7 was only one of of those.
D27 said discount finishing order of 7 and 8 (which really only discounts one other possibility)

Chance of dogs 1,2,3,4,5,6 finishing 1st,2nd,3rd,4th,5th and 6th in that order in an 8 dog race is 2/40320 (completely disregarding dog ability of course)
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Jukebox wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:57 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:07 pm
Diacritical Quark wrote:
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:48 am


Hmmm what are the chances? My maths is lacking at best but it's a nice probability question, is the answer; (just for the 1-6 I've discounted the 7-8 altogether)

6^6

1 in 46656?
1 in 6! = 720.

There's a 1 in 5 chance that 2 will finish second and a 1 in 4 chance that 3 will finish third, etc.
Sorry, I can't ignore.

It was an 8 runner race.
There were 8! finishing orders possible = 40320
The finishing order 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,7 was only one of of those.
D27 said discount finishing order of 7 and 8 (which really only discounts one other possibility)

Chance of dogs 1,2,3,4,5,6 finishing 1st,2nd,3rd,4th,5th and 6th in that order in an 8 dog race is 2/40320 (completely disregarding dog ability of course)
I took "6^6" as an attempt to calculate the combinations for a 6-dog race. The important point was using factors instead of powers.
Anbell
Posts: 2407
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

Good Friday is historically race-free in AUS, but there are 2 horse meets in WA tomorrow
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Naffman
Posts: 5925
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Fave backers out in force at Pakenham
Anbell
Posts: 2407
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

betfair down??

"9/04/2020 20:28:05: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: HTTP,The underlying connection was closed: A connection that was expected to be kept alive was closed by the server. ,
9/04/2020 20:28:05: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: HTTP,The underlying connection was closed: A connection that was expected to be kept alive was closed by the server. ,
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : Exception: The operation has timed out
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:07: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:07: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I think I lost 6 out of 6 last night and called it a day. Just as well I did the way my luck was going. :)
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Naffman
Posts: 5925
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Derek27 wrote:
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:49 pm
I think I lost 6 out of 6 last night and called it a day. Just as well I did the way my luck was going. :)
Thursdays are always tricky imo
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

Anbell wrote:
Thu Apr 09, 2020 11:34 am
betfair down??

"9/04/2020 20:28:05: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: HTTP,The underlying connection was closed: A connection that was expected to be kept alive was closed by the server. ,
9/04/2020 20:28:05: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: HTTP,The underlying connection was closed: A connection that was expected to be kept alive was closed by the server. ,
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : Exception: The operation has timed out
9/04/2020 20:28:06: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:07: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
9/04/2020 20:28:07: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,

was down about 3 minutes for me
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

morning races were cancelled?
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Naffman wrote:
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:54 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:49 pm
I think I lost 6 out of 6 last night and called it a day. Just as well I did the way my luck was going. :)
Thursdays are always tricky imo
It's quite depressing when you do your accounts at the end of the day and enter £0.00 for profits, before entering your losses. :lol: At least no commission to enter, can't remember the last time that happened.
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