Ferru123 wrote:Giulio -
Realistically, Chelsea will beat Nordsjaelland. If that happens, and if Juventus slip up against Shakhtar Donetsk (who are 3.75 to back for the win), then Chelsea are through.
So I'd say the odds on Chelsea qualifying are about right.
Jeff
Ferru you are too clever for me...How did you come out with that?
I layed Chelsea at 3.25 and at 3.6 when the MO Shaktar vs Juventus were still not available as for a good value bet..It was an indication what the HW odds would be around..Now that Shaktar vs Juventus MO are available, I am still thinking that 3.75 to lay the qualify for Chelsea or to lay Shaktar HW as you prefer, are still a cracking value...
As far as I know about football, Juventus should be the favorite on 2morrow night game, it does not mean Juventus can't lose but In my opinion shaktar and Chelsea should be paid around 4.5...I am not saying this because it's an Italian team but realisticly Juventus is really hard to beat and shaktar is already qualified..
P.S. Perhaps we have a different opinion on what GOOD VALUE BET means...
P.S.2 Please don't wish chelsea to qualify so you can say you were right...

P.s.3 this is what I wrote the 21st november when the odds started to go up...
Re: PeP Guardiola or Benitez?
Postby giulio2010 » Wed Nov 21, 2012 8:05 pm
The bookmakers also thinks that whoever take over will make chelsea to qualify...Perhaps they forget that Shaktar is already qualified and even if they beat Nordsj 10-0 won't be enough...

A miracle worth 10/1 not 3.3 ..
What a cracking value to lay chelsea...