Today's Horse Racing
- which is just as well because times have been tough lately.-
CaptainMak
- Posts: 17
- Joined: Wed Apr 12, 2017 5:53 pm
Can someone tell me im crazy please, or is there something in this..
I bet a good sized lay bet on one horse around odds anywhere between 4 and 14 before the off, liability of around a couple of hundred pounds for example. Now more than 5 times out of 10 i would say that horse will go on to do extremely well or win. Why does this happen so often? conspiracy theories are running riot in my mind right now.
Can someone slap me and tell me its all going to be ok...
I bet a good sized lay bet on one horse around odds anywhere between 4 and 14 before the off, liability of around a couple of hundred pounds for example. Now more than 5 times out of 10 i would say that horse will go on to do extremely well or win. Why does this happen so often? conspiracy theories are running riot in my mind right now.
Can someone slap me and tell me its all going to be ok...
-
SeaHorseRacing
- Posts: 2896
- Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm
Look for value not for losers. Obviously you need to chose and find losers if your laying but you need to find value. Find horses that are too short priced.. For example horses priced evens when they should be 2/1 or 5/2. Easier said then done but atleast this way your make profit long term and you will be able to accept it when a horse wins because value is whats important.CaptainMak wrote: ↑Thu May 18, 2017 5:18 pmCan someone tell me im crazy please, or is there something in this..
I bet a good sized lay bet on one horse around odds anywhere between 4 and 14 before the off, liability of around a couple of hundred pounds for example. Now more than 5 times out of 10 i would say that horse will go on to do extremely well or win. Why does this happen so often? conspiracy theories are running riot in my mind right now.
Can someone slap me and tell me its all going to be ok...
A good place to start would be top trainers as there horses are short priced most of the time.
-
SeaHorseRacing
- Posts: 2896
- Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm
I dont know why Marine One in the 6.20 is drifting here... by Frankel but dam was bred for soft ground. Everything should be good today.
What counts as doing well? let's say you mean to place. Your average price you're betting at will be about 9.0, to place then the odds on that will be about 2.0-3.0, that means implied chance is probably about 40% on that horse to do well, that isn't too far off the 50% you claim to be experiencing.CaptainMak wrote: ↑Thu May 18, 2017 5:18 pmCan someone tell me im crazy please, or is there something in this..
I bet a good sized lay bet on one horse around odds anywhere between 4 and 14 before the off, liability of around a couple of hundred pounds for example. Now more than 5 times out of 10 i would say that horse will go on to do extremely well or win. Why does this happen so often? conspiracy theories are running riot in my mind right now.
Can someone slap me and tell me its all going to be ok...
-
dragontrades
- Posts: 1248
- Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 11:22 pm
Was that Euler scalping classical times?
-
SeaHorseRacing
- Posts: 2896
- Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm
3.30 York Crimean Tatar has to be the most progressive and horse in this race. It was closing to beat Muntahaa last time and wanted further. 10s is silly.
