US Presidential Election 2024

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Archangel
Posts: 2008
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 3:03 pm

https://www.akashicbooks.com/catalog/last-election/

This is fiction but it looks at what could happen if the US Electoral College collapsed
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Naffman
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Trump's SuperPAC has just spent $217k on opposing DeSantis ad's in Iowa. This is the first time since June and in a time when he is said to have pivoted towards the General Election.

He has now spent $28.48m on ad's, $20.4m of that has been spent on trashing DeSantis, this thing is far from over.
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Derek27
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A court has ruled that Trump has committed fraud for years, inflating the value of his assets to secure finance, and deflating them for tax or whenever it suited him.

No mention of what happens next. Is that not enough to bang him up?
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megarain
Posts: 2131
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Contact:

Trump now decent fav to win.

Trump 2.94
Biden 3.35
Newsom 12
Kennedy 20
Obama 22
De Santis 29
Ramaswamy 29
Haley 29
Harris 34
100 bar
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Naffman
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Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

IMG_5946.png
But I thought the race was over?

And this is a poll where Trump is at 50% so it’s basically just name recognition at this point. Once people start taking it seriously a couple of weeks out from Iowa this will all change.
megarain wrote:
Wed Sep 27, 2023 8:46 am
Trump now decent fav to win.

Trump 2.94
Biden 3.35
Newsom 12
Kennedy 20
Obama 22
De Santis 29
Ramaswamy 29
Haley 29
Harris 34
100 bar
Trump, Newsom, Kennedy and Obama unbelievably bad prices, especially the latter 2 as you can just (and I mean only barely) see a case for Trump and Newsom.
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Naffman
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2nd debate winner poll
2nd debate poll.png
Pretty clear RDS, Haley and Vivek should be the only ones left to face Trump.
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Naffman
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And the media keep telling me how Donald Trump has been the only winner even though he hasn't shown up...really?
unfavfav 2nd gop debate.png
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Euler
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This is going to be a key element to the election and Trump will win this argument hands down.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1707565081750290910
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Naffman
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Euler wrote:
Fri Sep 29, 2023 10:15 am
This is going to be a key element to the election and Trump will win this argument hands down.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1707565081750290910
If Trump is the nominee then it becomes less about the issues and more about the candidate, like the midterms last year
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Derek27
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Trump appearing in court today. He could face a penalty of $250M and get banned, along with his son from running a business. :D
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Derek27
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Trump screaming witch hunt again. I'm struggling to keep up with all his charges. :D
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Derek27
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Trump may have to sell most of his assets, including his beloved Trump Towers. :D

The big question now is, what will they be called? :lol:
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Naffman
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Looks like McCarthy is gone, a Trump ally most of the time and especially recently, ironically stabbed in the back by MAGA congressmen/women.

God knows who they're going to put up next...
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Derek27
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Haven't a clue what that was all about but it's great news. :D
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Naffman
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Looking likely that DeSantis, Haley, Vivek and Christie will be the only ones to make the 3rd debate
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