Dobbing - Today's DOB's

The sport of kings.
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BetScalper
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LinusP wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:26 am
BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:22 am
Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:16 am
Had a little look and managed to pick one selection - 14.50 Princeton Royale 3/1

See how it goes
I know I have done it but backing anything below 4 is not a good idea from a dobbing point of view.

In your case you will need it to hit 1.5, meaning likely to win.

I know someone who does it full-time and he never selects one below odds of 6.0

Assuming your dobbing of course. :)
Out of interest and a question directed to long time ‘dobers’ where does the value come from? If this is profitable, logic says it will be the lays, if so why bother backing?
True or not.

Someone who does it said to achieve value or long term profit.

1. For LTB pick horses that have a high percentage of dobbing but a poor win record and lay them when/if they hit <= 50% of BSP.
2. For BTL pick horses that have a high percentage of dobbing and good win record and back them when/if they hit >= 50% of BSP.

That is something I am going to look at going forward.
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wearthefoxhat
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Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:16 am
Had a little look and managed to pick one selection - 14.50 Princeton Royale 3/1

See how it goes
Nice one...An easy HOB would have been possible. :)
Last edited by wearthefoxhat on Sun Jun 03, 2018 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wearthefoxhat
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BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:49 am
LinusP wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:26 am
BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:22 am


I know I have done it but backing anything below 4 is not a good idea from a dobbing point of view.

In your case you will need it to hit 1.5, meaning likely to win.

I know someone who does it full-time and he never selects one below odds of 6.0

Assuming your dobbing of course. :)
Out of interest and a question directed to long time ‘dobers’ where does the value come from? If this is profitable, logic says it will be the lays, if so why bother backing?
True or not.

Someone who does it said to achieve value or long term profit.

1. For LTB pick horses that have a high percentage of dobbing but a poor win record and lay them when/if they hit <= 50% of BSP.
2. For BTL pick horses that have a high percentage of dobbing and good win record and back them when/if they hit >= 50% of BSP.

That is something I am going to look at going forward.
Sounds like a plan.
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wearthefoxhat
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BetScalper wrote:
Sat Jun 02, 2018 11:34 pm
Is someone following me. The race doesn't start for another 17 hours. :lol:
Another sweet result.

I personally got greedy just to see, (based on the previous post) 2 Qob's. Both 1 minute before the off time. Nendrums BSP was 4.00, so another late surge in price.
Perth305IP.PNG
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BetScalper
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wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 3:22 pm
BetScalper wrote:
Sat Jun 02, 2018 11:34 pm
Is someone following me. The race doesn't start for another 17 hours. :lol:
Another sweet result.

I personally got greedy just to see, (based on the previous post) 2 Qob's. Both 1 minute before the off time. Nendrums BSP was 4.00, so another late surge in price.

Perth305IP.PNG
Nice! :)
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BetScalper
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For information purposes only...

4:10pm - Perth - Martiloo

Currently 6.2 on BF
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Naffman
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wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 3:15 pm
Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:16 am
Had a little look and managed to pick one selection - 14.50 Princeton Royale 3/1

See how it goes
Nice one...An easy HOB would have been possible. :)
Thanks

Been checking all the selections and very rarely do they drift, I imagine a lot of people like to get positions for B2L in running as well as preferring to be backing a front runner in general
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BetScalper
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Well, it was 6.2. :lol:
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wearthefoxhat
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Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 3:57 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 3:15 pm
Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 11:16 am
Had a little look and managed to pick one selection - 14.50 Princeton Royale 3/1

See how it goes
Nice one...An easy HOB would have been possible. :)
Thanks

Been checking all the selections and very rarely do they drift, I imagine a lot of people like to get positions for B2L in running as well as preferring to be backing a front runner in general
When you hear the presenter saying there's been a late gamble, in most instances, it's as you say, B2L traders getting in position to trade out IP. On softer ground it's a little more risky, on good, good-firm they just keep going.

Also noticed Handicaps hold up better as the runners are more exposed and "predictable." (more the style than the result)
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wearthefoxhat
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BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:01 pm
Well, it was 6.2. :lol:
It wasn't me...(my £20 hasn't gone in yet). :lol:
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wearthefoxhat
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wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:07 pm
BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:01 pm
Well, it was 6.2. :lol:
It wasn't me...(my £20 hasn't gone in yet). :lol:
Has now...
410pre.PNG
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wearthefoxhat
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wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:11 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:07 pm
BetScalper wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:01 pm
Well, it was 6.2. :lol:
It wasn't me...(my £20 hasn't gone in yet). :lol:
Has now...

410pre.PNG
Still IP...sorted...
410Mat.PNG
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BetScalper
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It went as low as 1.88 in-running I think. :)
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Naffman
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Got to 1.5 I think
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BetScalper
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Naffman wrote:
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:20 pm
Got to 1.5 I think
Yep, my mistake. :D
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