The Ashes - August/September 2019

[greenmark]

Nowt to do with trading, odds or whatever. But well done Burns!!!
Also, is there a wasp's nest out there?

[Archangel]

Bit of a red screen for me at the moment, the Australian bowling was dissappointing overall..

However I would expect a few twists and turns along the way

A real jumpy graph on England so far

[Berts Certs]

I thought the Aussie bowlers bowled well with no luck. Trapping someone LBW and not going to DRS is not helpful when he goes on to make an unbeaten 100. This still looks like any bodies tbh, Don't fancy England chasing anything over 200.

[ShaunWhite]

Australia haven’t won an away Ashes series since 2001 and start at Edgbaston where they haven’t won in any format since 2001 also, and only won 5 of their last 17 away tests. 8 of the 9 Ashes series have been won by the home side.

When you see stats like that, what's your natural inclination? To follow trends, or to oppose them? I don't follow cricket so I don't know how the 2019 teams compare to previous years but elsewhere streaks often mean an unjustified expectation that a streak will continue, leading to mispricings.

Are you thinking 9/10 home side wins or 8/10 would be expected?

[Archangel]

When you see stats like that, what's your natural inclination? To follow trends, or to oppose them? I don't follow cricket so I don't know how the 2019 teams compare to previous years but elsewhere streaks often mean an unjustified expectation that a streak will continue, leading to mispricings.

Are you thinking 9/10 home side wins or 8/10 would be expected?

I tend to be a contrarian by nature when it comes to trading. I would also assume such stats are already priced in and then look for a opportunity to exploit that. I dont usually pay a lot of attention to stats, I posted the one above purely out of interest, it wouldnt really factor in to my trading. I am much more interested in looking for situations where the market is either overbought or oversold in a given situation.

[Archangel]

Fairly solid lead of 90 runs for England at the end of their innings

1.50 looks good to me

[greenmark]

Got him! Get in!

[greenmark]

Bancroft gone. Well done Ali!!

[Euler]

Best Ashes tweet so far: -

https://twitter.com/AndyHa_/status/1157287700405346304

[ThePieThrower]

Australia haven’t won an away Ashes series since 2001 and start at Edgbaston where they haven’t won in any format since 2001 also, and only won 5 of their last 17 away tests. 8 of the 9 Ashes series have been won by the home side.

When you see stats like that, what's your natural inclination? To follow trends, or to oppose them? I don't follow cricket so I don't know how the 2019 teams compare to previous years but elsewhere streaks often mean an unjustified expectation that a streak will continue, leading to mispricings.

Are you thinking 9/10 home side wins or 8/10 would be expected?

Not trying to put these stats down in anyway as they are interesting in their own right but personally it would not play a part in any decision I make

[JTEDL]

Draw price steaming in now.

[Archangel]

England being batted out of the game at the moment. Surpised they were favs for so long

[Berts Certs]

England being batted out of the game at the moment. Surpised they were favs for so long

That is the beauty of cricket markets on Betfair, they offer so much value.

[greenmark]

Credit to Smith. Brilliant performance. Puzzled why Aus are 1.89 to win. Surely England will dig in for a draw?

[PunterLog]

Credit to Smith. Brilliant performance. Puzzled why Aus are 1.89 to win. Surely England will dig in for a draw?

I can't see England surviving for 100 overs. Too much of an ask on the final day of a test match.