adryan87 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 16, 2019 4:22 am
I understand. I follow a guy who play LTD with some succes. I don't know why many of You Say is not good now. The procces of game selection is the key. So,he chose the games where the odd on draw îs bettwen 3 and for 4. And bet in play when the odd drop to 2. I know,nothing special,i think everybody tried that in the past. So,that's why i mention about a pre-match selection..
I think most probably you would likely find that 10 people could have 10 different criteria from each other, everyone wants to add some sort of "bolt on" to a package/system that they're either selling or plan to sell. All of this just takes away from the raw basic ingredients needed imo & that's you, the market & how you read a game.
The internet is full of do A & B if C & D are = to P and 8 times out of 10 you will achieve E - I'm not saying that people dont have successful systems based on that approach but you just can not beat some good old fashioned match watching imo.
Go back to yesterday and watch the Sevilla vs Villarreal game the game was 0-1 at ht and just from watching the match you could see that Villarreal were sat deep wanting to defend their advantage, Sevilla had different plans, there was sustained pressure from Sevilla who eventually got their equaliser & they didnt want to stop at that, they were going for the winner too, which left them open for the counter.
Valencia vs Real Madrid game was a good game too - Valencia sat deep and the first 20 mins Madrid were all over Valencia and probably should have scored, which was my position, they didnt and at ht it was 0-0 Valencia came out in the second half and pressed a little higher and eventually they hit Madrid on the counter If I remember correctly. From there it was all out warfare and in the last 5 or 10 mins Madrid were desperately searching for that goal, the pressure was huge and Madrid had one ruled for offside, one of the very last attacks lead to a corner, some scrappy play in Valencia's box and eventually Benzema smashed it in the back of the net... Valencia were 1.05 at that time, maybe a little less... you cant see that through do A,B,C etc. Its instinct & taking advantage of them moments - you wont always get it right and I'm no expert, so don't take my advice as gospel, I'm just looking at it for myself. Try not to get lost in this system sellers narrative.
There are games streamed from the Betair app daily, flick them ones on... maybe stick with a higher quality league and try not to be biased, choose your thoughts based on an overview of what's going on in reality, not what someone else thinks, it's a skill and being able to read and feel a match comes with experience not stats (although they do have their use)
Just my opinion, sorry for the long winded reply.
