General Election 2019 (UK)

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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superfrank
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dragontrades wrote: ↑
Sat Nov 09, 2019 5:03 pm
 why is there no 'PM after election' market?
I was thinking the same thing. There was one last time which I referenced above.
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neilb
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https://www.betfair.com/sport/politics/ ... n/11339499

Fourth market down.
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superfrank
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neilb wrote: ↑
Sat Nov 09, 2019 9:14 pm
 https://www.betfair.com/sport/politics/ ... n/11339499

Fourth market down.
That's the sportsbook not an exchange market.
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neilb
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superfrank wrote: ↑
Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:29 pm
neilb wrote: ↑
Sat Nov 09, 2019 9:14 pm
 https://www.betfair.com/sport/politics/ ... n/11339499

Fourth market down.
That's the sportsbook not an exchange market.
Duh! :oops:
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superfrank
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David Starkey is always a good read/listen - podcast... https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/1 ... ted-poppy/
Mr Starkey was scornful of Theresa May, the former Prime Minister, describing her as being "like a dose of ice cold water poured over enthusiasm, she is a kind of permanent vacuum - an utter emptiness".
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dragontrades
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what u playing at nigel u numpty
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Naffman
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dragontrades wrote: ↑
Mon Nov 11, 2019 12:48 pm
 what u playing at nigel u numpty
He's a good lad
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Dallas
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Big shift in the Tory majority price shortening right up ahead of that
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Dallas
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Better seen on the Labour and no overall majority charts which both fly out
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dragontrades
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https://twitter.com/britainelects/statu ... 5077605377
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Dallas
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I've been following this one, its handy that you can quickly see the changes from each pollster
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng ... ll-tracker
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Euler
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The trouble with polls is that people don't say what they think and don't do what they say. You can use them for guidance but each poll has it's quirks.
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dragontrades
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survation were the only company that got close to the result in 2017
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firlandsfarm
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Euler wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 12, 2019 3:22 pm
 The trouble with polls is that people don't say what they think and don't do what they say. You can use them for guidance but each poll has it's quirks.
Fully agree with Euler … this vid has it perfectly (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA the relevant bit is after 30 seconds. :)
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greenmark
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firlandsfarm wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 12, 2019 6:24 pm
Euler wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 12, 2019 3:22 pm
 The trouble with polls is that people don't say what they think and don't do what they say. You can use them for guidance but each poll has it's quirks.
Fully agree with Euler … this vid has it perfectly (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA the relevant bit is after 30 seconds. :)
Are you saying that opinion polls are skewed, based on, who indirectly commisions them?
It would explain why they've been pretty rubbish at predicting political events for a while.
Perhaps they've become part of democracy, not an independent gatherer of real opinion.
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