General Election 2019 (UK)

[Derek27]

Tom Watson's standing down - we can all sleep a little better tonight.

[ruthlessimon]

"Brexit Party U/O 0.5 Seats"

Interesting market

U0.5 @ 1.83!?? That's a bit high innit??

[jamesg46]

"Brexit Party U/O 0.5 Seats"

Interesting market

U0.5 @ 1.83!?? That's a bit high innit??

That's interesting, I thought it was very low. Apparently a key area for both Labour and Tory is the Midlands & not so long back I had already started to receive Brexit Party leaflets, bringing in to doubt the public's trust of Boris. Nigel knows and has already started to target this area & from the general narrative around my area it seems to be very pro Brexit Party (although I wouldn't say I chat to people at my local shop about it, they're all stoned anyway)

I think the best market is the "Most seats" Tory at 1.18 seems a steal of a lay, these things swing like mad on social media and msm once all the hype takes hold.

If course, that's all probably a load of bs, who the hell knows these days?

[Euler]

I think the Lib Dem markets may be worth a few quid.

Remainers from Labour may switch as they are a software version of the hard left and Conservative remainers may also see them as less worse than a Communist dictator who will trash the economy. I guess it depends on how Swinson performs in the debates.

[Euler]

May be worth spending some time on voter turnout as well. Got to be at the top end of expectations as emotions are running high.

[jamesg46]

May be worth spending some time on voter turnout as well. Got to be at the top end of expectations as emotions are running high.

Very nice logic!

Its interesting how many views there are, we have a few different already in this forum alone, consider the whole country & I think both emotions and prices will be all over the shop.

[Derek27]

I don't trade politics but isn't 1.11 Brexit party getting 0-9 seats generous, or even a sure winner?

[jamesg46]

I don't trade politics but isn't 1.11 Brexit party getting 0-9 seats generous, or even a sure winner?

Well, I sure as hell wouldn't expect to see them with more than 9 but as for a "sure winner" I'm not so sure about anything in politics anymore.

[Euler]

Laying short prices has always seemed to be a good trading position in political markets.

[jamesg46]

Jacob Rees-Mogg made it very clear when he said 'There is always more time in Politics' & I think we have all seen it over and over since 2016 - so yeah short prices imo are great opportunities. .

[superfrank]

Election night should be very interesting.

Corbyn briefly traded at odds on to be the next PM on election night in 2017.

[dragontrades]

why is there no 'PM after election' market?

[Dallas]

Should be listed as 'next prime minister'

[dragontrades]

there is only 'UK - Next Prime Minister - Prime Minister after Boris Johnson'

[Dallas]

Is that not what your looking for?