Lay Correct Score at HT

[combo1956]

Apologies if this has been covered before but I have searched the forum without finding anything.

I am looking to lay the HT score as long as it is not 0-0 and the price of the halftime score is between 5.0 and 7.0.

Any advice would be greatly appreciated.

[Atho55]

This is from Premiership games and gist is this, excluding 0-0 at HT we have 3944 matches of which 847 ended up with the FT score the same as the HT score.

This is a probability of 21.48% of this happening and equates to odds of 4.656434. Assuming every game was layed at these odds (yes I know they will not) you would be losing through commission paid on every match that won. So between 5 and 7 looks to be way above 4.6 ish.

Lay HT Score if Not 0-0.jpg

[wearthefoxhat]

This is from Premiership games and gist is this, excluding 0-0 at HT we have 3944 matches of which 847 ended up with the FT score the same as the HT score.

This is a probability of 21.48% of this happening and equates to odds of 4.656434. Assuming every game was layed at these odds (yes I know they will not) you would be losing through commission paid on every match that won. So between 5 and 7 looks to be way above 4.6 ish.


Lay HT Score if Not 0-0.jpg

Good info

[Atho55]

I can see potential in binding multiple criteria %`s to a servant (if possible) that trawls over all the markets and suggests instructions as the conditions are met. Could fit in with Northbound alerts too. In essence looking for the rare occasions where BF odds are value v stats.