US Presidential Election 2020

[Trader Pat]

Yeah the 9 current justices are there for life, but if Biden wins he could choose to 'pack the court' i.e add more justices. So he could theoretically add more justices to restore its 'ideological balance'.

The whole point by the Founding Fathers was to have an odd number so that the court can never be deadlocked ... it cannot be in balance ideologically or politically.

Thanks for the maths lesson but the balance I'm talking about is before RGB died the court had a 5-4 conservative majority which is as balanced as it can be, now it has a 6-3 conservative majority. Which effectively means that if one of the right leaning justices sides with the 'liberals' in a case, which has happened it wont really make much difference as the chances of 2 right leaning justices doing that are very slim.

Biden could conceivably add another 2 left leaning justices to the court restoring it to a more 'balanced' 6-5 conservative majority.

[Archery1969]

This reminds me of that film (cannot remember the name) where someone starts bumping off Supreme Court Judges.

[Trader Pat]

This reminds me of that film (cannot remember the name) where someone starts bumping off Supreme Court Judges.

The one with Denzel Washington? Can't remember the name of it though

[Archery1969]

This reminds me of that film (cannot remember the name) where someone starts bumping off Supreme Court Judges.

The one with Denzel Washington? Can't remember the name of it though

Yes, the Pelican Brief.

[Derek27]

Forget how big the US is sometimes. Trump's speaking in a heavy winter coat and gloves while Biden's speaking in his shirt sleeves.

[Dallas]

Useful site I used in 2016, showing all the past results broke down into states as well as all the latest polls and much more
https://www.270towin.com/historical-pre ... elections/

[Naffman]

BLM trying to hand PA to Trump on a silver platter

[Lutruwita]

Trump looks completely cooked looking at polling. At this point in 2016 he was about 1/2 the gap behind Clinton as he is with Biden. If it wasn't for the last election Biden would be $1.10.

However, Florida is really closing up which is interesting.

[Naffman]

Trump looks completely cooked looking at polling. At this point in 2016 he was about 1/2 the gap behind Clinton as he is with Biden. If it wasn't for the last election Biden would be $1.10.

However, Florida is really closing up which is interesting.

It's also become a lot more 'socially unacceptable' to support Trump than it was in 2016

But if you look at the polls and nothing else then you'd be loading into Biden

If anyone can make as many errors as Joe Biden has over the last few weeks (says eliminating oil and fracking, running for Senate, running against George Bush, hints at packing the court, Hunter, doing the least amount of campaigning etc) and still win then fair play the Americans must really hate Trump.

[Naffman]

Republicans bridging the gap again by 55,000 in FL.

At this rate the GOP should be ahead there come election day, where most voters on that day are historically Rep. voters too

[LeTiss]

Another example this afternoon of how XM distorts the integrity of the markets......at least I'm assuming it's XM!!

I had layed Biden in Next President market and my offset was at 1.52 - there was £10,400 sat on 1.52 when I entered

5 mins later that became £89,000 - however, it took £40,000 of it to be matched before I did!!

This is plain wrong. I don't believe the honesty of BF at times

[Long Term]

I think we are seeing more of this type of "inconsistencies" from Betfair, almost certainly to the detriment of the individual trader.

[ChrisF]

I have just backed 200 on harris at 700 to 1 and 100 on pence at 1000 to 1 to be the next president. I maybe wrong but I see these as good bets especially the harris bet. The president is not declared until the 20th Jan 2021, in that time between either candidate winning a lot could happen, especially biden, I really can't see him lasting that long without him getting bumped aside.

If trump wins which I really hope he does then maybe I'll be on the lossing side but if biden wins I think I'm in for a bumper payday. My reasoning is here: https://www.vox.com/21502447/trump-bide ... at-happens
So I'm assuming this market ie next president will not close while the 20th Jan 2020. Thoughts please

[Derek27]

I have just backed 200 on harris at 700 to 1 and 100 on pence at 1000 to 1 to be the next president. I maybe wrong but I see these as good bets especially the harris bet. The president is not declared until the 20th Jan 2021, in that time between either candidate winning a lot could happen, especially biden, I really can't see him lasting that long without him getting bumped aside.

If trump wins which I really hope he does then maybe I'll be on the lossing side but if biden wins I think I'm in for a bumper payday. My reasoning is here: https://www.vox.com/21502447/trump-bide ... at-happens
So I'm assuming this market ie next president will not close while the 20th Jan 2020. Thoughts please

It's not a good idea to place bets without knowing the rules of the market. You only need to click on the 'rules' button on the Betfair market page.

Who will be elected to be the next President of the United States of America as a result of the 2020 presidential election?

My interpretation of that (which may be wrong) is that you're betting on who gets elected, not the next president.

[Tuco]

...what if the result is disputed Derek and ends up in the courts...during which time there is a death?