In Peters blog he mentions avoiding the Carling Cup matches and putting certain markets within the to hard box.
Choosing which markets to trade in and which to avoid is one of the keys to making good returns and certain bloggers over the years have downplayed this crucial element to trading giving the impression that they were trading willy nilly.
The Carling cup however in its difficulty offers such variance on prices that these markets become viable, because Peter finds them difficult also means others do leading to the underdog being wildly overpriced.
As the bigger teams rests players and the smaller teams dream of Wembley this equals the normally unlevel playing field.
So Northampton,Brentford,Newcastle etc all over acheived and offered good value as opposed to the sometime small odds on offer on Premiership matches.
These are not too hard but opportunities when the prices are out of kilter. So we agree to differ on these markets.
Finally i would advise all when time permits to look away from their normal markets and see if value and the bigger prices on offer on minor and novelty events can be taken.
We are laying teams and horses at 6/4 in a three or five runner field when we could be laying 6/4 on a long term market (more than one day)in a 20 runner market such as a new manager market or an x factor market. They are worth investigating.
To Hard Blog
Your version of "to hard" is different to my version of "too hard"
But i agree that when reading the market you need to find an edge or an angle. I think we may be able to find something amongst these 8 Carling Cup matches, although the line ups and any injuries will play a role. Leicester now under Ericsson, Swansea at Wigan, and Brentford may scare Birmingham.
Newcastle United v Arsenal
Birmingham City v Brentford
Wigan Athletic v Swansea City
Aston Villa v Burnley
Leicester City v West Bromwich Albion
Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United v Stoke City
Ipswich Town v Northampton Town
The teams the managers select actually SIGNAL to one and all the extent of their desire to win the game, and this desire transmits to the fans( it dosent matter its only the carling cup)the other team (they've rested Fabregas and Van Persie) and their own team ( were not taking this seriously we need to win on Saturday)This hopefully gives us an edge as the prices on offer reflect Premiership form and not Carling Cup ambition.
But i agree that when reading the market you need to find an edge or an angle. I think we may be able to find something amongst these 8 Carling Cup matches, although the line ups and any injuries will play a role. Leicester now under Ericsson, Swansea at Wigan, and Brentford may scare Birmingham.
Newcastle United v Arsenal
Birmingham City v Brentford
Wigan Athletic v Swansea City
Aston Villa v Burnley
Leicester City v West Bromwich Albion
Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United v Stoke City
Ipswich Town v Northampton Town
The teams the managers select actually SIGNAL to one and all the extent of their desire to win the game, and this desire transmits to the fans( it dosent matter its only the carling cup)the other team (they've rested Fabregas and Van Persie) and their own team ( were not taking this seriously we need to win on Saturday)This hopefully gives us an edge as the prices on offer reflect Premiership form and not Carling Cup ambition.
Glad to see you came round Peter on the opportunities in the Carling/Capital One cup as per your blog of 16/12/14!! Favs are underpriced and minnows overpriced, first half trading is especially lucrative as the minnows in what is their biggest game of the season go hell for leather and scare the big boys. Normally the favs superior fitness sees them ultimately overpower the smaller teams but in the first 45 it can be lucrative.