US Masters 2024

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Euler
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Location: Bet Angel HQ

Y, this is more like it
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MobiusGrey
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At those low prices there’s going to be massive overreactions to any minor mistake too :mrgreen:
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Could be box office tomorrow as the field can go hard on moving day.
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

That was questionable.
MotiejusSaltis
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Joined: Wed Mar 13, 2024 5:51 pm

Euler wrote:
Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:05 pm
Y, this is more like it
Hi Euler, how can I start a correspondence with you personally?
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MobiusGrey
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Joined: Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:10 pm

I usually like to run a book in golf majors laying those in contention on the first 3 days around 3 different set prices, less than their current odds, with each bet matched it reduces the liability on the others etc.

The stupid odds on Scheffler that refuse to move have completely ruined that this year, so, I've done what any sane, rational man would do that's been in and around betting for years, I've used my entire Masters 2024 budget and just layed the s%&t out of Scheffler. Do or die people.
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Euler
Posts: 24816
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

MotiejusSaltis wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2024 3:31 am
Euler wrote:
Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:05 pm
Y, this is more like it
Hi Euler, how can I start a correspondence with you personally?
You are welcome to contact support, but I can't interact on a personal basis on request. It's just impossible given the amount of approaches and correspondence I get. There is just no easy way for me to do this.

I obviously pop into the forum frequently and chat here. But that's in between markets usually.
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2024 10:28 am
I usually like to run a book in golf majors laying those in contention on the first 3 days around 3 different set prices, less than their current odds, with each bet matched it reduces the liability on the others etc.

The stupid odds on Scheffler that refuse to move have completely ruined that this year, so, I've done what any sane, rational man would do that's been in and around betting for years, I've used my entire Masters 2024 budget and just layed the s%&t out of Scheffler. Do or die people.
Good luck.
Put it all on Max Homa.
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MobiusGrey
Posts: 294
Joined: Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:10 pm

henbet22 wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2024 12:18 pm
MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2024 10:28 am
I usually like to run a book in golf majors laying those in contention on the first 3 days around 3 different set prices, less than their current odds, with each bet matched it reduces the liability on the others etc.

The stupid odds on Scheffler that refuse to move have completely ruined that this year, so, I've done what any sane, rational man would do that's been in and around betting for years, I've used my entire Masters 2024 budget and just layed the s%&t out of Scheffler. Do or die people.
Good luck.
Put it all on Max Homa.
Max Homa looks good value. The way I see it is Scheffler’s odds are stupidly low and therefore represent value. There can’t be much value in backing him at 2.5 with 2 full rounds still to play and he’s not even outright leader. Still, I’m not using any kind of statistical modelling for this like the bookies are.
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

I used to think the same with Woods at 2/1 - 6/4 before the off in the early 2000s for the majors. He kept cleaning up though. (Scheffler won't win 15)... I think that's fair to say.
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

It's 40% chance to win at 6/4 so whether that is back or lay value we will find out today. Should be great though whatever happens.
elofan0
Posts: 321
Joined: Fri Jan 13, 2017 4:44 pm

You could actually dutch up to top 6
top 3 book 80%
top 4 book 89%
top 5 book 93%
top 6 book 96 %
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megarain
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I thought it was interesting people wanted to back Scheffler sub 2,00 when his wife is 2 weeks away from giving birth and he has said he will leave.

I expect if he gets to the course he will shorten from 2.06.

The winner normally comes from the final pairing. If the greens/course are back to more like normal, I think he’s
gonna b v tough to beat.
henbet22
Posts: 276
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 4:28 pm

MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2024 10:28 am
I usually like to run a book in golf majors laying those in contention on the first 3 days around 3 different set prices, less than their current odds, with each bet matched it reduces the liability on the others etc.

The stupid odds on Scheffler that refuse to move have completely ruined that this year, so, I've done what any sane, rational man would do that's been in and around betting for years, I've used my entire Masters 2024 budget and just layed the s%&t out of Scheffler. Do or die people.
Glad you got out of jail Mobius. He is scrapping his way round and that was enough for you.
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