UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Naffman
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Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.
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firlandsfarm
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Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Naffman wrote:
Mon Feb 16, 2026 7:57 pm
Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.
I don't understand people like Lowe. He may have a grudge against Farage but I would guess he's closer to Farage than Labour/Lib Dems so why put at risk the chance they might 'get in' because of a grudge? With any luck he will go the way of Corbin.
unexposed
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Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2022 7:33 am

From a trading perspective, i don't see how Reform are not attractive at 2.8 - 3 in the most seats market.

Restore unlikely to have much impact in the short term at least and expect Reform to do very well in the local elections and maybe an outside chance in Gorton and Denton. Jenrick also giving a speech to the City this morning after being announced as Reform's would be Chancellor. See how that goes down
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