HT

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convoysur-2
Posts: 1110
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

Hi
I have a question perhaps one of the football heads could help me with.
im working on a lay the draw HT stratagy ,i only have 250 samples so far,
what i would like to know is this,
across all leagues what is the percentage of times that a goal is scored HT,and ends up a HT draw.
im trying to calculate if its better to let the lay ride or automate a green up,
Thanks in advance
Marc
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

convoysur-2 wrote:across all leagues what is the percentage of times that a goal is scored HT,and ends up a HT draw.
Did you mean FT?
convoysur-2
Posts: 1110
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

Hi peter..
no i mean half time.
its all based in the HT match odds market
spreadbetting
Posts: 3140
Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

convoysur-2 wrote: what i would like to know is this,
across all leagues what is the percentage of times that a goal is scored HT,and ends up a HT draw.
I'm guessing that means a goal scored in the first half?
convoysur-2
Posts: 1110
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

yeap
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Euler
Posts: 26431
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

So you are really asking goal before HT ends up HT. That will be directly related to when it is scored.

1 min before HT very likely, 1 min into the match much less likely. There will be a point at which the two are equal.
Trader Al
Posts: 5
Joined: Fri Jun 21, 2013 10:36 am

Hi Mark

Check out Soccer Stats Tracker, free software with stats from 2000.

While the standard queries will not answer your question you can download actual results from various leagues into excel to interrogate.

Quick check on some data I have covering 22 european leagues for the last 3 seasons

approx 20,00 matches
13,442 had a goal scored in 1st half
2215 ended up as draws at HT

Not sure if this is what you were after but an example of what you can find out.

Regards
Alan
convoysur-2
Posts: 1110
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

Hi
And thank you for your replys,
trader l
yes this is what im after.
im looking at games where 75+% of the time a FH goal is scored,
so to calculate what to do when a goal is scored then i needed to know how many end HT in a draw,
so 2.215 is 16.47% of 13.442.--thats what i need to work out if when a goal is scored do i
A -only take the stake out.
B - green all.
c- do nothing else just let it ride,
d - work out is it better backing FH over 0.5
etc ,etc ,etc
Marc
warren0
Posts: 82
Joined: Thu Jun 02, 2016 4:12 pm

Hi Trader AI,

The data that you mention downloading into excel is that directly off the software download?

Sounds interesting

Thanks
W
icarus121
Posts: 259
Joined: Mon Nov 16, 2009 10:07 pm

Hi Guys
(Marc you well)
Just noticed this thread and was hoping that someone may give me a little feedback about this free stat site.I went to download it and have a look myself but it is a winzip file which requires a programme to open which i will pay for if need be.
Hope to move more to the football side of trading this year with the help of Peters stats of course ,but would like to be able to run my own muddled bunch alongside.

Many thanks in advance .

JD
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