US Presidential Election 2016

[Euler]

Given the news about Clinton's health

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions ... 4fb1a3f5e6

[CaerMyrddin]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... ge%2Fstory

[Euler]

Great trading market

[LeTiss]

Great trading market

It's a barnstormer, lots of liquidity every single day. There are constant movements too, which is perfect for trading and I suspect there will be many twists & turns yet, especially if question marks over Clinton's health gather pace

[Zenyatta]

Entertaining.

Trump roaring back in the betting market, now over 33% to win.

Both candidates are very unlikeable, resulting in many more undecided voters than normal, and allowing big swings. Long-term over this year, Clinton was holding a lead that oscillated wildly between 0%-10% of popular vote.

Currently she clings to a narrow lead of 1%-2% of popular vote , with Trump surging in the polls. Election result could be highly sensitive to external events.

[megarain]

Dozens of election podcasts :

I like :

https://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/the ... 60738?mt=2

https://player.fm/series/series-1203967

https://player.fm/series/masters-in-politics

[LeTiss]

The price that has interested me is Joe Biden - his price has gone up & down like Aunt Mary's drawers, invariably whenever question marks arise over Clinton's health

[Dallas]

Polls showing its becoming very close again (if you have any faith in them!)

[Euler]

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/1509194166 ... clinton-to

[Euler]

First debate this evening, expect some market action: -

http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.c ... -schedule/

[Euler]

Historical debate performance: -

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/tru ... n-clinton/

[ShaunWhite]

I've had my money on trump since last year, the democates simply didn't have anyone likeable to battle the celebrity blonde Farage. Brexit only hardened my opinion that the public are predominantly fools. Not necessarily the outcome ( I don't want to upset people who actually wanted us out) but the way the public swallow trueisms and false promises.

[LeTiss]

Brexit only hardened my opinion that the public are predominantly fools. Not necessarily the outcome ( I don't want to upset people who actually wanted us out) but the way the public swallow trueisms and false promises.

As opposed to all the spineless bellends, too scared to vote for change

[ShaunWhite]

Brexit only hardened my opinion that the public are predominantly fools. Not necessarily the outcome ( I don't want to upset people who actually wanted us out) but the way the public swallow trueisms and false promises.

As opposed to all the spineless bellends, too scared to vote for change

Ouch, that's a bit harsh.
We all basically want a nice rosy future, so I'm charitable about the variety of opinions on how that can be achieved. Even though most of them are wrong

The growing number of fools within the electorat I refer to come in all political colours. That's why the Labour party has ended up being run by another Michael Foot wannabe instead of someone electable. I wish I has the funds to back the tories to be in for the next 10 years.

[Zenyatta]

A strong debate performance by Clinton made Trump look stupid. Clinton steaming in, Trump on the drift.

I think Clinton probably has it in the bag at this point. On average, she's had a long-term lead over Trump of around 5% of the popular vote. That figure has oscillated wildly though (between 0-10%) , so it's volatile.

Still, Clinton should win by around 5% of popular vote on average.