Melbourne Cup. Which races are worth trading?

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Euler
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Since 2009

£2.6m
£4.1m
£3.3m
£3.2m
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£2.6m

But it tends to rise with a short priced favourite. The odd thing is underlying liquidity is falling. So despite volume being up the ability to get matched is going in the other direction.
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gazuty
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Thanks.
Wildly
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Joined: Wed Nov 28, 2012 7:31 am

Euler wrote:
But it tends to rise with a short priced favourite. The odd thing is underlying liquidity is falling. So despite volume being up the ability to get matched is going in the other direction.
Possible reasons:
- favourite at 5.5 needs a bigger percentage move per tick than if at 2.0 or 3.0
- strong betting since final field on Saturday evening for Tuesday race. Although that's long been the case it may cause significant differences to the biggest UK races
- Betfair crapping itself race morning meant the biggest punters went elsewhere meaning less late market moves
- Betfair higher Australian commission charges in recent years. Note that bookies operate to lower over-round on the Cup.
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