Working out the lay stake

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forumuser
Posts: 72
Joined: Sun Dec 13, 2015 6:27 pm

Sorry if I come across a bit dopey but when Dobbing I know you place a back bet then a lay bet at double the stake at half the odds.

This is ok for dropping 50% in price, but what is the formula to work out the correct stake so that it greens up evenly across the field if you want the price to drop by 75%, 25% or whatever to win a set amount, say £20.

I have filled two or three pages with sums and calculations and can't get my head around it. I tried it today on a couple of races but ended up having more of a win if the horse actually won and I actually lost money when one horse won as my stake was wrong.

I can hit the green up button when it hits the price or amount I am looking for but would like it to do it automatically by placing the correct stake at whatever % of the back price at the correct odds pre race.

So back a horse at 10.0 and lay off at 7.5 to win £20. What is the formula to work out the back and lay stakes for this?

Thank you.
shakespeare
Posts: 113
Joined: Sat May 21, 2016 1:43 pm

Here you go.

Say you place a £1 back bet at odds B. You lay off at odds L. To green up, the lay stake you need to use is B/L and your greened-up profit is (B-L)/L.

Therefore if you want a fixed profit P (for you, P = £20) then your back stake will need to be PL/(B-L) and your lay stake will need to be PB/(B-L).

Obviously I could have made a booboo with my algebra, so get a calculator or spreadsheet and make sure you check this formula out before you use it on real money.
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