Hi,
Anyone used the Value Soccer System, good or crap ?
I got it for free.
Looking at the following market then it seems to suggest that the Home Team are over priced and a good value bet/trade.
28/11/2016 - Huddersfield v Wigan
Home Team is 1.98 to Back when the VSS says they should be around 1.55.
Value Soccer System
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cybernet69
The VSS system was suggesting the odds should be the following:
Huddersfield: 1.55
Draw: 4.63
Wigan: 7.31
Which is way out from the current market prices.
Huddersfield: 1.93
Draw: 3.55
Wigan: 4.80
Could be interesting or a load of BS.
Huddersfield: 1.55
Draw: 4.63
Wigan: 7.31
Which is way out from the current market prices.
Huddersfield: 1.93
Draw: 3.55
Wigan: 4.80
Could be interesting or a load of BS.
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cybernet69
The spreadsheet is attached. Password is vss123kpm
You enter the details on Sheet1, then goto Sheet2 to read off the suggested odds.
I used the soccerstats website to get the inputs for Sheet1, again this is free website too.
Don't know if its any good or not. But it seem to give wacky suggested odds for the game tonight on the home team.
I did put a £100 back bet using BA on Huddersfiled lastnight @ 1.96 as a test. Will probably close it out prior to kick off if the odds have dropped enough.
Cheers,
You enter the details on Sheet1, then goto Sheet2 to read off the suggested odds.
I used the soccerstats website to get the inputs for Sheet1, again this is free website too.
Don't know if its any good or not. But it seem to give wacky suggested odds for the game tonight on the home team.
I did put a £100 back bet using BA on Huddersfiled lastnight @ 1.96 as a test. Will probably close it out prior to kick off if the odds have dropped enough.
Cheers,
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
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cybernet69
What is further interesting is that so far 200K has been matched on this market with 175K on the home team. Not sure if that is significant or not.
Just hope I entered the details correctly on Sheet1.
Just hope I entered the details correctly on Sheet1.
1.55 is extremely short in my opinion and I would be interested to know where it's got that price from (I'm not in a position at the moment to download the Spreadsheet and look).
Again, I'd like to point out that I haven't looked at the Spreadsheet as I can't so I might be wrong here but I doubt it's taking things like missing players due to injuries/suspensions, weather, the fact the match isn't on a Saturday like normal etc into consideration which are all huge factors in my personal opinion. Whilst it's more than possible to see success based merely on statistics these are still variables which I would consider.
For what it's worth, in my opinion Huddersfield are in the better position for this game, however unfortunately the favourite doesn't always win. Good luck with your bet
.
Again, I'd like to point out that I haven't looked at the Spreadsheet as I can't so I might be wrong here but I doubt it's taking things like missing players due to injuries/suspensions, weather, the fact the match isn't on a Saturday like normal etc into consideration which are all huge factors in my personal opinion. Whilst it's more than possible to see success based merely on statistics these are still variables which I would consider.
For what it's worth, in my opinion Huddersfield are in the better position for this game, however unfortunately the favourite doesn't always win. Good luck with your bet
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cybernet69
Yep, I agree with your analysis.GalaxyAce wrote:1.55 is extremely short in my opinion and I would be interested to know where it's got that price from (I'm not in a position at the moment to download the Spreadsheet and look).
Again, I'd like to point out that I haven't looked at the Spreadsheet as I can't so I might be wrong here but I doubt it's taking things like missing players due to injuries/suspensions, weather, the fact the match isn't on a Saturday like normal etc into consideration which are all huge factors in my personal opinion. Whilst it's more than possible to see success based merely on statistics these are still variables which I would consider.
For what it's worth, in my opinion Huddersfield are in the better position for this game, however unfortunately the favourite doesn't always win. Good luck with your bet
However, my thought process was, using the spreadsheet to try and find some kind of value 24 hours before and either go with a BTL or LTB trade in the hope that the spreadsheet could kind of be somewhat correct. There is no way I would just place a straight back or lay bet and let it run without taking into account the other variables you mention.
I actually think that Huddersfield should be around 1.76 but I could be wrong.
We shall see just before kick off what the market thinks, or not.
PS. From what I can tell, the spreadsheet just takes into account the total points, home wins, home draws, home loses, home goals, away wins, away draws, away loses, goals and points per game for each team and then comes up with a weighting system which it then applies to different odds ranges.
It's trash thencybernet69 wrote:PS. From what I can tell, the spreadsheet just takes into account the total points, home wins, home draws, home loses, home goals, away wins, away draws, away loses, goals and points per game for each team and then comes up with a weighting system which it then applies to different odds ranges.
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cybernet69
Probably but the odds are dropping on Huddersfield, so hopefully I can get out with at least a 10 tick offset before kickoff.Euler wrote:It's trash thencybernet69 wrote:PS. From what I can tell, the spreadsheet just takes into account the total points, home wins, home draws, home loses, home goals, away wins, away draws, away loses, goals and points per game for each team and then comes up with a weighting system which it then applies to different odds ranges.