Brazil vs North Korea
3.20 goals of which 2.90 are Brazilian, rough draw for the Koreans!
Ivory Coast vs Portugal
2.20 Goals slightly favouring Portugal. I think this match has lots of interesting potential.
New Zealand vs Slovakia
2.40 Goals, The market is discounting 1.60 to the Slovakians. I am undecided on this match.
15th June - World cup ratings
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dan_payne182
- Posts: 93
- Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 3:46 pm
Definately the most interesting group of the tournament, reckon there could be an upset.
Noob question but where do you find the expected goals and who they favour? is it in the betfair markets or from your own data? thanks, DanBet Angel wrote:Brazil vs North Korea
Ivory Coast vs Portugal
2.20 Goals slightly favouring Portugal. I think this match has lots of interesting potential.
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CaerMyrddin
- Posts: 1271
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am
I think it can potencially get me drunkI think this match has lots of interesting potential.
Stopped trading it right now, It was very good to trade, first with the Drogba injury, then Nani out, I got a nice green. My speculative bet thrown 3 weeks ago at a bookie @2.5 added up to the totals.
Wish us good luck!
Força Portugal!
A combination of both. I've studied soccer / football matches since I was very young, in the vain hope that one day I'd make money from it. Never thought it would come true!dan_payne182 wrote:on but where do you find the expected goals and who they favour? is it in the betfair markets or from your own data? thanks, Dan
I can quote odds very accurately in a match, to around 99.9% of their probability of occuring over a season. But on an individual match there is a huge variance. So whenever I quote anything on here the way to interpret it is along the lines of 'If this match were played 100 times how many goals would be scored on average'.
By and large the Betfair markets are very accurate, but the volatility in individual markets is often out of kilter and that is where most of the opportunity is.
If you look at today's ratings you can tell which matches are most likely to be a draw. You can't share three goals amongst two teams but you can share two.