Today's Horse Racing
Morning guys, if any of you are around currently its 9:10am, looking at the markets as we speak are there any of you that are able to conclude as to which runners & their prices will drift or come in, I'm not asking in particular which horses but if any of you are able to advise which markets I'd appreciate it?, excluding handicaps to narrow down the list?
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These are my early steamer selections. I am only on them if I can see the price come in for them.Korattt wrote: ↑Wed Feb 22, 2017 9:14 amMorning guys, if any of you are around currently its 9:10am, looking at the markets as we speak are there any of you that are able to conclude as to which runners & their prices will drift or come in, I'm not asking in particular which horses but if any of you are able to advise which markets I'd appreciate it?, excluding handicaps to narrow down the list?
my daily form selections, hope the helps.
5.45K- Chandrayaan
2.20L- Lucky Louie
5.05L- Strictly Art
3.05L- Woodfort
4.00P- Freeway Space
4.35P- Hold onto Your hat
5 05L- Happy Jack
I will be looking for long moves so will take a small loss but let it run all the way to the last 10 mins
- SeaHorseRacing
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Not trading preoff just keeping an eye on a few long terms trends Im on in the background. Student homework, then Holiday for me tomorrow.
- SeaHorseRacing
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- Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm
Intense Tango should get a very easy lead here. In fact I can see runners hitting low in running and getting beat. 7.45 Kempton
- SeaHorseRacing
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Been doing other things today, however have had the trades running in the background.
Just using what I think will win today has produced really nice results.
The only problem have is keeping check of the runners as I had two lossess where if I was trading with my eyes on at all time I would have taken around a £7 loss for each of them.
My selections I posted early today were
Luky louie 6.2 into 5.2
Freeway Space 3.35 into 2.34
Woodfort 5.9 to 3.85 (I think)
Strictly Art 9.6 into 6.8
The rest I never had my eys on the board to take note of how much they moved but i think they all steamed to some extent.
Using £75 stakes had a decent day. Nice experiment.
Just using what I think will win today has produced really nice results.
The only problem have is keeping check of the runners as I had two lossess where if I was trading with my eyes on at all time I would have taken around a £7 loss for each of them.
My selections I posted early today were
Luky louie 6.2 into 5.2
Freeway Space 3.35 into 2.34
Woodfort 5.9 to 3.85 (I think)
Strictly Art 9.6 into 6.8
The rest I never had my eys on the board to take note of how much they moved but i think they all steamed to some extent.
Using £75 stakes had a decent day. Nice experiment.
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Lingfield
14:20 - Back to open @ 6.20 to 5.50 for 6 ticks & £12.73
14:55 - Back to open @ 2.42 to 2.10 for 16 ticks & £15.24
15:25 - Back to open @ 3.15 to 2.84 for 11 ticks & £10.92
15:55 - Lay to open @ 3.20 to 3.20 for 0 ticks & £0.00
16:30 - Lay to open @ 3.55 to 3.70 for 3 ticks & £4.05
17:05 - Back to open @ 5.00 to 4.80 for 2 ticks & £4.17
Kempton
17:45 - Lay to open @ 5.90 to 6.20 for 2 ticks & £4.84
18:15 - Lay to open @ 3.00 to 3.35 for 7 ticks & £10.45
18:45 - Lay to open @ 3.45 to 3.50 for 1 ticks & £1.43
19:15 - Lay to open @ 5.20 to 6.00 for 8 ticks & £13.33
19:45 - Back to open @ 2.62 to 2.58 for 2 ticks & £1.55
20:15 - Lay to open @ 3.30 to 4.30 for 17 ticks & £23.26
14:20 - Back to open @ 6.20 to 5.50 for 6 ticks & £12.73
14:55 - Back to open @ 2.42 to 2.10 for 16 ticks & £15.24
15:25 - Back to open @ 3.15 to 2.84 for 11 ticks & £10.92
15:55 - Lay to open @ 3.20 to 3.20 for 0 ticks & £0.00
16:30 - Lay to open @ 3.55 to 3.70 for 3 ticks & £4.05
17:05 - Back to open @ 5.00 to 4.80 for 2 ticks & £4.17
Kempton
17:45 - Lay to open @ 5.90 to 6.20 for 2 ticks & £4.84
18:15 - Lay to open @ 3.00 to 3.35 for 7 ticks & £10.45
18:45 - Lay to open @ 3.45 to 3.50 for 1 ticks & £1.43
19:15 - Lay to open @ 5.20 to 6.00 for 8 ticks & £13.33
19:45 - Back to open @ 2.62 to 2.58 for 2 ticks & £1.55
20:15 - Lay to open @ 3.30 to 4.30 for 17 ticks & £23.26
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Just looking at the last few posts from Euler on tick movement & setting a Lay to Back as a positive movement (my usual starting position), Back to Lay as a negative movement:
==> Opening Back to Lay was the way to go... (241 tick gain)
Really expected to see this as a zero sum game but over 57 observations, taking into account this is a non random, small sample was still surprised by the drift... it would be really interesting to do some statistical modelling on this.. especially given the new features of bet angel re staking by tick size...
No Tmov Acc
1 -6 -6
2 -16 -22
3 -11 -33
4 0 -33
5 3 -30
6 -2 -32
7 2 -30
8 7 -23
9 1 -22
10 8 -14
11 -2 -16
12 17 1
13 -33 -32
14 -3 -35
15 -5 -40
16 0 -40
17 3 -37
18 5 -32
19 -7 -39
20 -12 -51
21 -3 -54
22 0 -54
23 0 -54
24 6 -48
25 4 -44
26 -1 -45
27 -8 -53
28 -5 -58
29 -1 -59
30 -10 -69
31 3 -66
32 5 -61
33 -13 -74
34 16 -58
35 0 -58
36 -39 -97
37 0 -97
38 -8 -105
39 0 -105
40 5 -100
41 -3 -103
42 12 -91
43 -5 -96
44 -7 -103
45 1 -102
46 -11 -113
47 -25 -138
48 -24 -162
49 -16 -178
50 -26 -204
51 -6 -210
52 -11 -221
53 -3 -224
54 -34 -258
55 19 -239
56 14 -225
57 -16 -241
==> Opening Back to Lay was the way to go... (241 tick gain)
Really expected to see this as a zero sum game but over 57 observations, taking into account this is a non random, small sample was still surprised by the drift... it would be really interesting to do some statistical modelling on this.. especially given the new features of bet angel re staking by tick size...
No Tmov Acc
1 -6 -6
2 -16 -22
3 -11 -33
4 0 -33
5 3 -30
6 -2 -32
7 2 -30
8 7 -23
9 1 -22
10 8 -14
11 -2 -16
12 17 1
13 -33 -32
14 -3 -35
15 -5 -40
16 0 -40
17 3 -37
18 5 -32
19 -7 -39
20 -12 -51
21 -3 -54
22 0 -54
23 0 -54
24 6 -48
25 4 -44
26 -1 -45
27 -8 -53
28 -5 -58
29 -1 -59
30 -10 -69
31 3 -66
32 5 -61
33 -13 -74
34 16 -58
35 0 -58
36 -39 -97
37 0 -97
38 -8 -105
39 0 -105
40 5 -100
41 -3 -103
42 12 -91
43 -5 -96
44 -7 -103
45 1 -102
46 -11 -113
47 -25 -138
48 -24 -162
49 -16 -178
50 -26 -204
51 -6 -210
52 -11 -221
53 -3 -224
54 -34 -258
55 19 -239
56 14 -225
57 -16 -241