Today's Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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Korattt
Posts: 2405
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

Morning guys, if any of you are around currently its 9:10am, looking at the markets as we speak are there any of you that are able to conclude as to which runners & their prices will drift or come in, I'm not asking in particular which horses but if any of you are able to advise which markets I'd appreciate it?, excluding handicaps to narrow down the list?
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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2896
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Korattt wrote:
Wed Feb 22, 2017 9:14 am
Morning guys, if any of you are around currently its 9:10am, looking at the markets as we speak are there any of you that are able to conclude as to which runners & their prices will drift or come in, I'm not asking in particular which horses but if any of you are able to advise which markets I'd appreciate it?, excluding handicaps to narrow down the list?
These are my early steamer selections. I am only on them if I can see the price come in for them.
my daily form selections, hope the helps.
5.45K- Chandrayaan
2.20L- Lucky Louie
5.05L- Strictly Art
3.05L- Woodfort
4.00P- Freeway Space
4.35P- Hold onto Your hat
5 05L- Happy Jack

I will be looking for long moves so will take a small loss but let it run all the way to the last 10 mins
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HRacing
Posts: 278
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 11:25 am

Today it seems like the market is sorting out wat it wants as fav then smashing the living daylights out of it!
Korattt
Posts: 2405
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

it's amazing what liquid markets do for your confidence
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Naffman
Posts: 5924
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Just feels like a normal Wednesday to me haha :)
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Euler
Posts: 26504
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

It feels better to me today
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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2896
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Not trading preoff just keeping an eye on a few long terms trends Im on in the background. Student homework, then Holiday for me tomorrow.
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Dallas
Posts: 23596
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Much better than yesterday from what i've seen
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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2896
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Intense Tango should get a very easy lead here. In fact I can see runners hitting low in running and getting beat. 7.45 Kempton
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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2896
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Been doing other things today, however have had the trades running in the background.

Just using what I think will win today has produced really nice results.
The only problem have is keeping check of the runners as I had two lossess where if I was trading with my eyes on at all time I would have taken around a £7 loss for each of them.

My selections I posted early today were
Luky louie 6.2 into 5.2
Freeway Space 3.35 into 2.34
Woodfort 5.9 to 3.85 (I think)
Strictly Art 9.6 into 6.8

The rest I never had my eys on the board to take note of how much they moved but i think they all steamed to some extent.

Using £75 stakes had a decent day. Nice experiment.
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Euler
Posts: 26504
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Lingfield

14:20 - Back to open @ 6.20 to 5.50 for 6 ticks & £12.73
14:55 - Back to open @ 2.42 to 2.10 for 16 ticks & £15.24
15:25 - Back to open @ 3.15 to 2.84 for 11 ticks & £10.92
15:55 - Lay to open @ 3.20 to 3.20 for 0 ticks & £0.00
16:30 - Lay to open @ 3.55 to 3.70 for 3 ticks & £4.05
17:05 - Back to open @ 5.00 to 4.80 for 2 ticks & £4.17

Kempton

17:45 - Lay to open @ 5.90 to 6.20 for 2 ticks & £4.84
18:15 - Lay to open @ 3.00 to 3.35 for 7 ticks & £10.45
18:45 - Lay to open @ 3.45 to 3.50 for 1 ticks & £1.43
19:15 - Lay to open @ 5.20 to 6.00 for 8 ticks & £13.33
19:45 - Back to open @ 2.62 to 2.58 for 2 ticks & £1.55
20:15 - Lay to open @ 3.30 to 4.30 for 17 ticks & £23.26
sionascaig
Posts: 1676
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Just looking at the last few posts from Euler on tick movement & setting a Lay to Back as a positive movement (my usual starting position), Back to Lay as a negative movement:

==> Opening Back to Lay was the way to go... (241 tick gain)

Really expected to see this as a zero sum game but over 57 observations, taking into account this is a non random, small sample was still surprised by the drift... it would be really interesting to do some statistical modelling on this.. especially given the new features of bet angel re staking by tick size...

No Tmov Acc
1 -6 -6
2 -16 -22
3 -11 -33
4 0 -33
5 3 -30
6 -2 -32
7 2 -30
8 7 -23
9 1 -22
10 8 -14
11 -2 -16
12 17 1
13 -33 -32
14 -3 -35
15 -5 -40
16 0 -40
17 3 -37
18 5 -32
19 -7 -39
20 -12 -51
21 -3 -54
22 0 -54
23 0 -54
24 6 -48
25 4 -44
26 -1 -45
27 -8 -53
28 -5 -58
29 -1 -59
30 -10 -69
31 3 -66
32 5 -61
33 -13 -74
34 16 -58
35 0 -58
36 -39 -97
37 0 -97
38 -8 -105
39 0 -105
40 5 -100
41 -3 -103
42 12 -91
43 -5 -96
44 -7 -103
45 1 -102
46 -11 -113
47 -25 -138
48 -24 -162
49 -16 -178
50 -26 -204
51 -6 -210
52 -11 -221
53 -3 -224
54 -34 -258
55 19 -239
56 14 -225
57 -16 -241
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Naffman
Posts: 5924
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Peter are you picking the fave at 5/10 mins out or are you picking the SP fave and backtracking its movement?
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Naffman
Posts: 5924
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

In-running carnage in the first at Chelmsford with the use of a ground level camera due to the high winds :lol:
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HRacing
Posts: 278
Joined: Tue May 14, 2013 11:25 am

The camera change 5 metres from the finish made me chuckle!
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